The reason why the oil price will not be lowered in the future is mainly because the international crude oil price has started to rise again recently. This is mainly because of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, but apart from the influence of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the recent international crude oil price is very unstable, because the situation in Russia and Ukraine has now entered a critical moment, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries intends to revise the production increase agreement. The combination of these two factors makes the international crude oil price more unpredictable. Faced with this situation, domestic refined oil prices will definitely not change, fearing that fluctuations in international crude oil prices will affect domestic industrial production. Downward adjustment is basically impossible, and upward adjustment is possible.
In fact, when oil prices fall back to the 8 yuan era, we should not think that oil prices will continue to fall. Because even if the international crude oil doesn't rise, it will be stable at around 100 USD per barrel, and the price of our domestic refined oil will not be lower than that of 7 yuan, because we need to refine and decompose the crude oil when we buy it. Moreover, the transportation cost of crude oil is not a small expense, so don't think about the continued downward adjustment of domestic refined oil prices. Of course, if you want to predict whether the domestic refined oil price will continue to decline, you can use the weighted average formula to calculate the difference between two periods (ten days is a period), and the negative number will decrease and the positive number will increase.
Generally speaking, I personally think that domestic refined oil prices can't be lowered any more, because the situation in Russia and Ukraine has been tense recently, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries intends to revise the agreement on increasing production, which has led to changes in international crude oil prices.