Hope to adopt
Question 2: What does a bear market mean? Bear market, also known as bear market, is a market with lower prices. When some investors began to panic, they sold their stocks and kept short positions. At this time, the market is dominated by the empty side, and the atmosphere of doing more (optimistic about the market outlook) is seriously insufficient, which is generally called a short market. In the securities market, it means that the overall running trend is downward, although there is a rebound during the period, but the wave is lower than the wave. In such a market, most people lose money. Of course, there are many opportunities in the short market, but the opportunities are fleeting and difficult to capture, especially in the short market. Of course, there are margin financing and securities lending, stock index futures and commodity futures. Everyone can make a profit by shorting, and it will fall faster and make a profit faster. Shorting is king.
Bear market characteristics:
1, the market is generally optimistic, the popularity is boiling, and investors flock in, indicating that a short market is coming.
2. There is good news, but the stock price falls instead of rising.
3. The unfavorable news of the market keeps coming out, and the market is in a downturn, all of which are hung on the daily limit.
4. Enterprises, institutions and large households ship in large quantities. The trading volume has obviously enlarged, but the stock price has stagnated.
Investors have abstained, and the stocks that are about to be ex-dividend have no performance.
6. popularity spread, stocks sold off one after another, and stock prices fell rapidly.
7. Macroeconomic indicators showed an obvious downward trend, and the surrounding markets fell in succession. * * * adopted a tightening policy on the capital market, and prices rose rapidly.
Reasons for the formation of bear market
The reasons for the formation of bear market (short market) can be divided into three stages:
The first stage is the "delivery" period. Its real formation is the last stage of the last bull market. At this stage, far-sighted investors realized that the surplus of enterprises reached an abnormal high point and began to speed up the pace of shipment. At this time, the turnover is still very high. Although there is a tendency to decrease gradually during the rebound, the public is still keen on trading at this time, and it is only beginning to feel that the expected profit has gradually disappeared.
The second stage is the panic period. People who want to buy start to shrink back, and those who want to sell are eager to get rid of it. The downward trend of price suddenly accelerated to almost vertical level, when the proportional gap of volume reached the maximum. After the panic period, there is usually a long second rebound or lateral change.
The third stage includes selling those who lack confidence. In the third stage, the downward trend did not accelerate. "Low-priced stocks with no investment value" may have fallen off the rising part of the previous bull market in the first or second stage. Stocks with better performance continue to fall, because the holders of such stocks are the last to push confidence. In this process, the final decline of the short market is concentrated on these outstanding stocks. The short market ended with frequent bad news. The worst has been predicted and realized at the stock price. Usually before the bad news comes out completely, the short market has passed.
Bear market bottom judgment
As for the judgment of the bottom in a bear market (short market), we can adopt the method of contingency synthesis, that is, to establish a comprehensive analysis system, whose standards are revised with historical changes and can adapt to the changed status quo. This analysis method is also suitable for balancing the market.
Contingency analysis system consists of two parts.
1. Basic theoretical calculation The basic theoretical calculation is to give the approximate time and price (target time and price) of the bottom based on the overall analysis of the trend, and adjust the target time and price according to the actual time and price of market changes, so that the basic theoretical calculation can finally show the time and scope of the bottom more accurately. The method includes: (1) determining the time window. The basic principle of determining the time window is to calculate the average cycle days only by taking nearly 2-3 cycles (from low point to low point), and increase the weight of nearly one cycle (average cycle and near cycle are added and divided by two). After that, every forecasting period should be calculated according to this principle, and new time windows can be obtained. When determining the cycle low point, we should pay attention to distinguish between the rebound bottom and the reversal bottom. There is a small period between rebound bottoms and a large period between reversal bottoms, which are used to predict the timing of rebound bottoms and reversal bottoms respectively.
2. Determine the amplitude window. The range window is defined as the range of 5% above and below the target price of the stock index. There are several ways to determine the falling target price: one is morphological analysis; Second, the empirical method, that is, according to the proportion of decline when the rebound bottom or reversal bottom appears in the previous period (that is, the proportion of decline and rise of the rising market before the decline), calculates the proportion of decline in this period, so the previous one >>
Question 3: What do you mean the bear market is over? The idea of a bear market comes from the way the bear walks. He walks with his head down. The stock fell.
The bull market comes from the way cows walk, holding their heads high. The stock will go up.
The so-called "bull market", also known as bull market, refers to a big market that is generally bullish and lasts for a long time. The so-called "bear market", also known as short market, refers to the widespread bear market and the relatively long-lasting plunge.
Question 4: What does a bear market mean? The so-called "bear market", also known as short market, refers to a general bear market that lasts for a relatively long time.
The first stage of the bear market. Its initial stage is the last stage of the third stage of the bull market, which often appears in the highest investment climate in the market. At this time, the market is absolutely optimistic, and investors are completely unaware of the changes in the market outlook. All kinds of good news abound in the market, and the company's performance and profits have reached an abnormal peak. Many enterprises accelerated their expansion during this period, and news of mergers and acquisitions came out frequently. Just when the vast majority of investors are crazy about the stock market rally, a few wise investors and individual big families have begun to gradually withdraw their funds or wait and see. Therefore, although the transactions in the market are very hot, there are also signs of gradual cooling down. At this point, if the stock price rises further, but the volume can't keep up, there may be a big drop. During this period, the stock price fell, and many people still think that this decline is only a callback in the process of rising. In fact, this is the beginning of the stock market crash.
The second stage of the bear market. At this stage, the stock market will trigger "panic selling" as soon as there is a sign of trouble. On the one hand, there are too many hot spots in the market, and people who want to buy are hesitant because they are difficult to choose. On the other hand, more people began to rush to sell, which aggravated the sharp drop in stock prices. In the market where credit trading is allowed, speculators engaged in short selling are hit harder. They are often forced to sell because of the pressure to repay the integrated funds, so the stock price is falling faster and faster, and it is out of control. After a round of crazy selling, the stock price plummeted, investors will feel that the decline is a bit excessive, because the current situation and economic environment of listed companies have not reached such a pessimistic level, so the market will rebound and rebound. This mid-term rebound may last for weeks or months, and the rebound or rebound range is generally one-third to one-half of the total decline of the whole market.
The second stage of the bear market. After a period of mid-term rebound, the economic situation and the prospects of listed companies tend to deteriorate, the company's performance declines, and financial difficulties. A variety of bad news that is difficult to distinguish between true and false followed, further undermining investor confidence. At this time, the whole stock market was filled with pessimism, and the stock price rebounded and fell sharply.
In the third phase of the bear market, the stock price continued to fall, but the decline did not intensify. Because those stocks with poor quality have almost fallen in the first and second periods, it is unlikely that they will fall again. At this time, due to the collapse of market confidence, falling stocks are concentrated in blue-chip stocks and high-quality stocks with good performance. This stage coincides with the beginning of the first stage of the bull market, and far-sighted and rational investors will think that this is the best time to absorb. At this time, they will buy low-priced and high-quality stocks and get rich returns after the market rebounds.
Generally speaking, the experience time of a bear market is shorter than that of a bull market, accounting for only one-third to one-half of that of a bull market. But the specific time of each bear market is different, because the market and economic reserves will be very different. Looking back at the period from 1993 to 1997, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets in China experienced a sharp rise and fall in stock prices, which was a complete periodic process from cattle to bears, and then from bears to cattle.
Question 5: What are the bear market and bull market? What is the difference? The bull market is rising and the bear market is attacking.
The red one is on the top and the green one is on the bottom.
Those lines are technical indicators, and the colors can be customized, such as the five-day moving average, the ten-day moving average and so on.
Question 6: What does a bear market mean? What does bull market mean? The so-called "bull market", also known as bull market, refers to a market that is generally bullish and lasts for a long time.
The so-called "bear market", also known as short market, refers to the widespread bear market and the relatively long-lasting plunge.
The equilibrium market, commonly known as the "soft cowhide market", is a depressed market in which the stock price gradually sinks during consolidation, and generally the accompanying trading volume is very small.
Question 7: Why are some stocks called bear market and others called bull market? As far as all the information at present is concerned, in the UK of 1785, the words "cow" and "bear" have appeared in a book called "Guide to Small Street Exchanges". However, at that time, the meaning of bull and bear was different from now. At that time, the London Stock Exchange was called the Small Street Exchange.
According to the author of this book, it can be seen that the meaning of cattle and bears was much clearer more than it is now. Cattle doesn't mean people who want the stock market to rise, but people who bought stocks on margin today but lost money.
The tulip exchange in the Netherlands invented the margin system as early as the middle of17th century, but in London of 1785, there seems to be no margin for buying stocks, and "cows" can not buy stocks for a penny, hoping to sell them before they pay the money. According to the practice at that time, even if a person's total property was less than 10, he could buy shares on the London Stock Exchange. For example, this person can buy stocks worth 40,000 pounds in March and pay in May, and the financing multiple is as high as four or five thousand times.
Before the settlement, this person can try his best to sell the stocks he bought and get rid of the super heavy burden on his shoulders. If cows gather in the whole market and he can't find anyone to take over, he will suffer heavy losses. Therefore, before paying, he had to travel all over the exchange, from one cell to another, and find someone to take over. His heart is full of hope and fear, his expression is uncertain, his mood is low, his face is unhappy, his temper is bad, and his behavior is like an ox. So this kind of hand is called "cow".
More than 200 years ago, Xiong was not only a pessimist, but also an actual short seller, that is, he sold a batch of stocks or bonds and agreed to hand over what he didn't actually own at some time in the future, so he kept looking for someone to buy the securities he had to hand over at a low price in the future. Therefore, for all the unfortunate news, bad news, rumors that may depress the stock price, etc., he will be very happy and gloat.
Therefore, it was easy to distinguish between cattle and bears at that time. The person with a heavy and melancholy expression must be a cow, and the person who keeps looking around and scaring people with bad news must be a bear. Cattle want the share price to go up, while bears want the share price to go down. Later, people may call the rising stock market a bull market and the falling stock market a bear market.
Later, it was said that because the bull attacked upward (the horn went up), it represented the bull market and Lido, and the stock price went up; The bear's paw swings downward, which means that the market is short, the interest rate is negative, and the stock price falls. It seems to be "taken for granted" as Su Dongpo said.
Question 8: What's the difference between a bull market and a bear market? What do you mean? A bull market means that the market is generally bullish, and a bear market means that the market is generally bearish.
Question 9: What does a bear market mean? Bear market: also known as short market, refers to a big market that is generally bearish and lasts for a relatively long time.
Bull market: also known as bull market, refers to a big market that is generally bullish and lasts for a long time.