Looking back at the market, last Friday's non-farm night was the best since the year before last. Wendi gold price opened 1 195.2, spot gold forum. After stepping back to the intraday low of 1 192.3 in the Asia-Pacific period, the gold price has been in the process of consolidation. Before the opening of the US market, the price of gold returned to 168 again. Affected by non-agricultural data, the price of gold rose sharply at first, reaching a high of 12 10.9 in intraday trading, and then fell to 1205.3, and Qitian closed at a Zhongyang column with a long upper shadow line. Compared with the closing price of the previous week, spot gold rose sharply by $24.65 last week, down 2.09%.
Fundamentals: The US Department of Labor released non-farm payrolls data in July, which attracted market attention. As a chronic disease of the US economy, the unexpectedly weak employment data further aggravated the market's worries about the US economic prospects.
According to the data of the Ministry of Labor, 143000 permanent employees who participated in the 20 10 census have left their jobs, because the increase in private sector employment is far from enough to offset the decrease in government employment. In July, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States decreased by 13 1000, which is expected to decrease by 63,000. The left picture exceeds expectations, and the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 9.5%. In July, the number of private sector employees in the United States only increased by 765,438+0,000, and it is expected to increase by 90,000. At the same time, the non-agricultural employment data in June was also significantly lowered; In June, the non-agricultural unemployed population decreased by 22 1 10,000, and the initial value decreased by 1.25 million. The number of non-farm payrolls in the United States in July further proves that the economic recovery is losing momentum.
This shows that the US job market is still not optimistic and inflationary pressure still exists. The speech also showed that the average hourly wage in the United States rose by 0.04 US dollars to 22.59 US dollars in July. The slightly positive news is that the average weekly working hours in the United States in July was 34.2 hours, which is expected to be 34. 1, slightly higher than that in June.
The Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will also hold a regular meeting on interest rates this week after the three major banks of Australia, Britain and Europe all choose to be elusive. It is expected that the focus will be on the Fed's interest rate meeting in August 10, because in addition to discussing interest rate policy, the Fed will also explore new ways of easing, but it is expected that the Fed will not take too many measures.
On the K-line of the skill point, a big column retreated between the decision points of the MA60 moving average on Friday. Li Zhou is still concerned about this and the kinetic energy of the decision-making moving average. BOLL shrinks to 12 17, and the middle rail 1 190 will also be the key support points for the previous week's decline. From the K-line name, 1 196 points; Stouch shows on the daily K-line that there is still room for the gold price to go up, which can be extended to between 12 15 and 12 18, which is also a strong downward exploration of 12 18 in the later period. In line with MACD indicators, the kinetic energy at the top of the overdue period will not increase again, and there is a weakening trend; The weight of the dead fork can be changed at any time under the 0 axis; In the sign of resistance at both ends of the index that closed at 1206.80 on Friday, there was a single bottom trend; On the four-hour K-line, the resistance points of 12 12 and12 on the long-period moving averages of MA240 and MA 270 are very strong, and the temporary short-period moving averages of 5, 10 and 20 are also arranged in multiple positions, and BOLL is also an expansion. Judging from the MACD of the attached figure, there is still some walking space on it. On the four-hour K-line, focus on the beginning of 12 12 and15, and put in short positions, so that after the breakthrough of 1200 and190, you can. 1 hour k-line, after the MACD trend, repair and clean up above the 0 axis, and then continue to explore; Pay attention to the support of 1203 and 1200 points on Monday, and consider temporary bulls, losses and profits at this point during the day; At the same time, pay attention to the 12 10 point after the opening of BOLL.
Looking at the current situation, the author puts forward several points for investors' reference, namely, the launch of1218. If the gold price can effectively break through, then the author has reason to believe that the bull market of gold has returned, but the gold price has failed at this point, so the author also has reason to believe that a new round of decline will begin. 1180-1175 has strong support. From the analysis of the current time window, it is more likely that the gold price will be repaired under pressure in this generation and meet the upcoming gold bull market in September. This round of intraday correction of gold price happened to achieve a correction of 0.502 on Friday night. If you hit a wall in1210-1212, it is more likely to close at night. According to the indicators in the original big cycle chart, they are all overbought. Let's pay attention to the integer mark of 1200 and the first revision of 65438. This wave of strong callback starts from1212-1210, and it will be better if it is broken 1 190.
The intra-day operation interval is1215-185, and the interval operation interval is 1202- 12 12.
The relevant resistance levels are 1205, 1208, 12 12,15, 12 18.
Coherence support bit 1202, Zhengzhou Jintou, 1200,198,1/95, 1 192,/.
Pay attention to today
14:00 Debon's commercial revenue and expenditure before June was 106 billion euros; Market impact ★
14:00 The value before June in Germany was 9.2%/ month.
14: 00 The value before Germany's entrance in June was 14.8%/ month.
14:00 Germany's current account in June was worth 2.20 billion euros.
14:30 France's BOF trade confidence index in July was 100.
16:30 Pre-value of Sentix investor confidence index in the euro zone in August-1.3; market influence
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