Today, pig prices are rising in the north and stabilizing in the south! The market center of gravity continues to move up!
According to the monitoring of a large number of live pig data, on August 19, the national ternary live pig price was 2 1.53 yuan/kg, up 0.08 yuan/kg compared with yesterday.
Nationwide, today's pig price trend is rising in the north and stable in the south, with the overall increase as the main factor, and only the southwest region is weakly adjusted.
For the trend of pig price in the market outlook, from the near point of view, the supply of pig production capacity is at a reasonable level, and the consumption side also has certain favorable factors, and the consumption power is stronger than that in the first half of the year! From a distance, pig futures contracts 2209, 22 1 1 and 230 1 are all on the rise, and the quotations are all above 20,000 yuan/ton!
Based on the near-end and far-end data, the industry still has high confidence in the future pig price. It is generally believed that the center of gravity of pig prices will continue to move up in the second half of the year.
Piglet price fluctuates, run away! Farmers' enthusiasm for filling columns has declined!
A large number of live pig data show that on August 9 15 kg, the national ternary piglet price was 46.87 yuan/kg, up 0.6 1 yuan/kg from yesterday.
Recently, the price trend of piglets fluctuated greatly in a single day, and the overall fluctuation range was lower than before, and remained in the range of 45-47 yuan/kg.
Judging from the situation of raising pigs in first-line pig farms, the enthusiasm of farmers to raise pigs has also decreased compared with before, and more and more farmers have turned from raising to waiting and seeing.
On the one hand, due to the high cost of breeding, feed enterprises have recently raised feed prices, and the cost input has been increasing; On the other hand, although farmers are optimistic about the future pig price, the winter epidemic and dead scouring will bring great uncertainty to the profit of pig farms.
In a word, at present, the piglet market as a whole is in a state of "valuable without market". With the increase of the number of fertile sows, it can also be seen that more and more farmers have chosen the breeding mode of self-reproduction and self-support. In the period of low profit in the industry, reducing costs and increasing efficiency is king!
The price of corn and soybean meal fluctuated at a high level! Feed prices are always difficult to cool down!
Since July, the price of corn has fluctuated obviously, and the corn market has an upward trend recently.
According to a large number of data of live pigs, on August 19, 2009, the national corn price (14% moisture) was 2869 yuan/ton, and the corn market has been running continuously at this price level for nearly half a year.
In terms of soybean meal, its price is still high, and the soybean meal market has also shown a steady and strong trend recently.
According to many data of live pigs, on August 19, the national soybean meal (43% protein) price was 4389 yuan/ton, which continued to fluctuate at a high level.
Judging from the grain situation at home and abroad, the prices of corn and soybean meal will remain high in the second half of the year, mainly due to the decline in corn and soybean meal production caused by climate problems, and the shortage of supply will continue to support food prices.
Due to the high price of feed raw materials, some feed enterprises recently raised feed prices, among which the price of pig feed rose by 30- 100 yuan/ton, which undoubtedly reduced the profit space of farmers.
Based on the above information, the current hog market situation seems to be improving. The situation of "letting a hundred flowers blossom" is obviously more conducive to the large-scale pig enterprises developing the whole industrial chain. The loss of one plate can be hedged with another plate! However, for farmers who participate in a certain link, their ability to resist risks will be relatively weakened. For example, free-range farmers only participate in raising pigs. Therefore, under the premise of relatively weak anti-risk ability, it is suggested that free-range farmers control the scale of farmers on the one hand and reduce costs and increase efficiency on the other.
Bottom line: Recognize the situation clearly and do what you can!