First of all, commodity prices are affected by the relationship between supply and demand. Pork is the most common and popular meat in China. Our demand for pork is so strong that even in the 20 19 year when the price of pork soared, everyone in China still ate 40 kilograms of meat every year. China people's demand for pork is warm and stable, so the key to affect the price of pork is supply. In order to increase the supply of pork, we must first increase the number of fertile sows.
Second, it takes time and energy to raise pigs. After the sow is born, it takes about eight to ten months to get pregnant. Raising pigs needs to go through three stages: breeding, farrowing and breeding jade in Hefei. It takes about ten months from sow pregnancy to piglet growth and fat pig slaughter. Because a large number of pigs are listed together, the supply of pork in the market will increase rapidly and the price will plummet. If we can fully obtain market information, we can try our best to avoid this situation. Scattered farmers will always get together, and pork prices will fall.
We can't predict in advance, because the market is too unstable, so we can't predict accurately, in case it will bring more losses. The influencing factors are as follows:
The first is the disease of pigs. African swine fever broke out. In less than a year, 1 more than ten thousand originally happy and healthy pigs were culled. Although the government will give corresponding subsidies for killing a pig in Meipu, the large number of deaths of pigs also directly affects the stock of pigs. Moreover, this is the first time that African swine fever has been introduced into China. Farmers are completely unpredictable and lack coping experience. Even if the swine fever is basically controlled, they dare not make up the order. This sudden blow caused drastic fluctuations in pork prices. ?
Secondly, raising pigs has a great impact on the environment. Pig urine and pig manure have a great impact on the environment. The wastewater produced by one pig is equivalent to the domestic wastewater of seven people, which is one of the most important agricultural pollution. For example, many people do not like pig farms. 20 16 some corresponding environmental protection policies have also affected pig breeding. With the economic development of China, the live pig market is becoming more and more stable and orderly. For example, since 20021,Dalian Commodity Exchange began to trade live pig futures, which can enable aquaculture enterprises to sell ahead of schedule according to the slaughter plan, lock in profits and avoid losses caused by price fluctuations.