Domestic refined oil products have gone through 20 price adjustment windows, of which 14 was raised, 3 was lowered and 3 was stranded. Gasoline has been raised by 1700 yuan/ton, converted into 1.23 yuan/liter; Diesel oil has been raised by 1635 yuan/ton. According to this increase, it will cost at least 66.5 yuan more to fill a box of 50 liters of gasoline than at the beginning of the year, and the oil price will hit a new high this year!
In accordance with the principle of giving consideration to the interests of producers and consumers and maintaining the stable operation of the national economy, appropriate fiscal and taxation policies are adopted to ensure the production and supply of refined oil, and the prices of gasoline and diesel are not raised or raised in principle. And between 40- 130 dollars, it is adjusted according to the changing price of international crude oil.
The raw material of gasoline is crude oil. Although our country also mines crude oil, it is not enough. It needs to import a large amount of crude oil from abroad every year, so the price is affected by the rise and fall of international crude oil prices. In fact, most countries in the world need a lot of crude oil in the process of development, but their own production is far from enough. Some countries don't even have crude oil at all and rely entirely on imports.
The world's largest independent oil trader said that OPEC+will push up oil prices in the coming months. Another agency also said that the price of Brent crude oil may rise to 100 USD/barrel again in the future. At present, mainstream institutions on Wall Street generally believe that the bull market of crude oil will reappear in the short term.
The soaring price of natural gas has prompted people to use crude oil instead of natural gas as fuel, which may increase the demand for crude oil by 654.38+0-2 million barrels per day. Secondly, the demand for energy will increase because the weather in the northern hemisphere begins to get cooler. The cold winter will increase the demand for crude oil by 500 thousand barrels a day.
Although China also mines crude oil, it is far from enough. It needs to import a large amount of crude oil from abroad every year, so the domestic oil price will change with the international oil price. But at the same time, the domestic oil price has also set the lowest price of 40 dollars per barrel and the highest price of 130 dollars per barrel.
In the epidemic and post-epidemic era, the global currency delivery model (such as the United States) was launched, and the global currency liquidity increased by tens of billions in 2020 alone. This part of the currency liquidity entered the energy materials market, which made the prices of crude oil and other energy materials rise continuously, and the crude oil futures and price index broke through new highs.
The demand for crude oil has fallen sharply, which is also the reason why oil prices plummeted last year. At that time, these oil-producing countries lost a lot (in fact, it should be more appropriate to describe that they earned a lot less because their production costs were very low).
From the oil demand side, economic recovery and liquidity have promoted the global oil demand, but the supply in the oil market has failed to keep up with the demand speed, which has brought about the repair growth of oil consumption demand and the price has started to rise. Based on all the reasons, the root cause behind the surge of global raw materials such as oil is the imbalance between supply and demand caused by limited production and supply chain crisis, while the direct cause is the intensification of global inflation.