1. The oil price continues to adjust, and it is expected to fall by 280 yuan on September 2 1!
On September 16, domestic gasoline and diesel price adjustment entered the seventh working day. Due to the narrow fluctuation of crude oil price, WTI crude oil price fell to 85. 1 USD, and Brent crude oil fell to 90.84 USD.
During this pricing period, the fluctuation range of crude oil price is maintained at -6.4 1%!
According to the current fluctuation range of crude oil, it is estimated that the domestic gasoline and diesel prices will drop by 280 yuan/ton, which is equivalent to a drop of 0.2 1~0.25 yuan/liter for ordinary gasoline and diesel. Based on the volume of an ordinary private car of 50L, it costs less to fill a tank of oil 10.5~ 12.5 yuan!
Second, the price of eggs has "fallen miserably"!
At the beginning of September, the domestic egg market warmed up rapidly. With the help of Mid-Autumn Festival, the average wholesale price of eggs in the production and marketing market soared by 5.9 1 yuan/kg, and the price of eggs in the retail market generally ranged from 6.5-7.5 yuan/kg! In my hometown, before the Mid-Autumn Festival, the price of eggs hovered around 6.5 yuan/kg, and the price soared to 6.8 yuan/kg in some areas (the problem of masks also aggravated the shock of egg prices). However, with the arrival of Mid-Autumn Festival, the consumer market has declined. At present, the brown-shelled eggs in the local rural market have dropped to 5. 1 yuan/kg, and the white-shelled eggs have dropped to 5 yuan/kg!
The price of eggs has fallen badly. From the domestic production and marketing market, at present, the price of eggs in the wholesale market has dropped to 5.05~5.2 yuan/kg. In most parts of northern China, the delivery price of eggs at the breeding end has fallen below 5 yuan/kg. Among them, the average price of eggs in Shandong has dropped to 4.89 yuan/kg, and that in Hebei has dropped to 4.87 yuan/kg, while the average price in the sales market and Guangdong is 5.62 yuan.
At present, the domestic egg price has dropped significantly compared with that before the holiday. On the one hand, the egg-laying capacity of the breeding end gradually recovered. After the dormancy period, the egg laying rate at the mating end rose sharply. The number of newly opened laying hens has been increasing this month, and the supply level of eggs in the market has gradually improved. On the other hand, the consumer market is sluggish, the price of eggs is high, residents' willingness to buy is not strong, and food factories also lack the willingness to replenish stocks. The eggs in the terminal market are not smooth, and the inventory consumption is mainly. Traders are cautious in taking goods, and they have a strong sentiment of price reduction!
Therefore, in the short term, egg prices will remain weak and volatile. However, due to the recent increase in feed prices, the soybean meal market has risen to more than 5,000 yuan/ton, and there is a reluctance to sell at the breeding end. It is expected that there is not much room for egg prices to continue to fall, and the market outlook will still be sideways!
Third, the price of live pigs is too worrying! The price is "falling and rising"!
During the Mid-Autumn Festival, domestic pig prices rose against the trend, but the upward trend also weakened. In the last two days, pig prices have risen and fallen, and the market has shown a narrow and weak trend. Pig prices in northern and southern China are mostly arranged sideways, with a slight local decline. The rise and fall of pig prices is "too worrying", and the price lacks a one-sided trend!
The data shows that on September 6th/kloc-0, the domestic average price of live pigs was 1 1.73 yuan/kg, and the price of live pigs fluctuated weakly, down 0.02 yuan from the previous day. The market continued the trend of great stability and small movement, and fell partially. The trend of pig prices in the north and south regions stands out!
At present, the price of black chicken feed hovers around11.2 ~1.5 yuan/kg, and the price of pigs in Guangdong and Guangxi in high-priced areas hovers around1.8 ~1kg, Sichuan.
On the one hand, the price of breeding end is property hoarding, the expectation of retail pig farms is insufficient, the stock of live pigs in the market is small, the phenomenon of secondary fattening is increasing, and the number of pigs flowing into slaughterhouses by group pig enterprises is reduced, which also causes the shortage of pig sources in slaughterhouses, and the procurement of live pigs is still difficult!
On the other hand, 1.5 million tons of reserve pork was put into use, the domestic consumer market cooled down after the holiday, the demand side took delivery slowly, the surplus of white pigs in the wholesale market increased, the follow-up consumption was not smooth, the difficulty of taking delivery of white pigs in slaughterhouses increased sharply, and the slaughter enterprises were depressed!
However, due to the shortage of pigs in slaughterhouses and insufficient support from slaughterhouses, domestic pig prices are mainly sideways, and the rise and fall of pig prices are mutually restricted. Therefore, based on the current situation of market supply and demand in the short term, the pig price is still expected to "fall in the dark and rise in the dark", and the downside of the pig price is limited. The end of the month is approaching, the National Day holiday is approaching, the pressure on the breeding side rebounds, and the average price of domestic pigs strengthens again. Before the end of September,
Oil price adjustment, 280 yuan fell on September 2 1! The price of eggs has fallen miserably, and the rise and fall of pig prices is "too worrying"! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!