America is the most indebted country in the world. Its total debt is as high as nearly 50 trillion dollars, and it can even be said that it is an insolvent country! Why does the world economy catch a cold when Wall Street sneezes? What does the American capital group rely on to play with the world economy? To put it simply, it used to rely on one platform and three tools!
The so-called platform is a developed capital trading market; Three tools, that is, dollar, gold and oil, that is, people describe dollar, gold and black gold!
For a long time after the Second World War, the United States originally implemented an economic policy of exchanging dollars and gold at a certain price. People move gold from all over the world to the United States in various ways, and storing dollars is equivalent to storing gold. Therefore, all countries and regions with a little economic strength in the world, as well as the IMF, large companies and enterprises, and even wealthy individuals, will inevitably store US dollars in the past. After all, it is more convenient to reserve dollars than gold, which makes the dollar a hard currency, thus establishing the hegemony of the dollar as a world currency. Therefore, large international capital markets use the US dollar as the settlement currency. Therefore, the United States unscrupulously issued a large number of US dollars and US dollar bonds. It used the world's financial resources to create wealth for the United States, resulting in a serious flood of dollars and dollar bonds, so that it had to give up the policy of exchanging dollars and gold for an ounce of gold at a certain fixed price. Now, the severity of the flood of dollars and dollar bonds has reached a precarious level for the United States! The United States must pass on the crisis through various means.
The first is to change the long-standing strong dollar policy. Since the end of 1990s, the crisis has been passed on to countries and regions around the world and other people with dollars through the depreciation of the dollar.
The second is to create global inflation to reduce the risk of financial crisis in the United States, because the richer the place, the more tolerant it is of inflation, and the more it can pass on the risk. Creating inflation in rich areas is a common means of regulation in the United States and international capital groups.
Third, because the United States holds the largest gold reserves in the world (according to the GFMS Gold Yearbook in 2006, according to the comprehensive statistics of gold reserves around the world on the websites of the International Monetary Fund and the Central Bank, the United States holds 2610.66 million ounces of gold, the second country is Germany: 9510.8 million ounces, and the European Central Bank: 91. International Monetary Fund:103.44 million ounces, and China ranks eighth:12.7 million ounces). At the same time, American capital groups directly or indirectly control the advantages of the world's major oil companies, pushing up the prices of world oil and gold, so as to enhance their own strength and weaken the possibility of other countries solving the financial crisis.
The fourth is to create a small local financial crisis, such as the financial crisis of housing subprime loans, and pass the crisis on to other countries and ordinary people to cushion the possible impact of the big financial crisis. The subprime mortgage in the United States is a small financial crisis carefully planned by the American capital group, with the purpose of transferring the risk of a major financial crisis to the world. This is a way to buffer the shock wave of a big earthquake with many small earthquakes. That is, all countries in the world, especially China, have to pay for it. Several big banks in China bought this subprime debt, which caused direct economic losses. But how good is this subprime debt when it is sold to China and other countries and international institutions? However, the best investment bank and the most powerful investment company in the United States, such as Goldman Sachs, did not lend a penny for this sub-loan! Now, Treasury Secretary Henry Merritt Paulson is the chairman of Goldman Sachs. Is it accidental? Of course, in this crisis caused by subprime mortgage, many middle and lower classes in the United States also suffered greatly.
So, I said, is the American capital group playing with the world economy? Instead of saying that the United States plays with the world economy? Because ordinary Americans are also victims of American capital groups playing with the world economy.
Section two: the world hegemony of the dollar is the lifeblood of the United States.
2. The world hegemony of the dollar is the lifeblood of the United States.
If we stand at a certain historical height, we will see that the means played by American capital groups are all realized through developed capital trading markets. Without a developed capital trading market, the purpose of American capital groups playing with and controlling the world economy cannot be achieved. Moreover, in-depth research shows that they must defend the status of commodity price settlement currency in the dollar-dominated international capital market at all costs! Because if we lose the position of commodity price settlement currency in the international capital market dominated by the dollar, it means the end of the dollar as the world currency hegemony! Even lead to the collapse of the international dollar economic system with the dollar as the commodity settlement currency!
When the pound is tough enough to threaten the status of the dollar; When the Japanese yen is so strong that the Japanese arrogantly think that "Japan can buy the whole United States"; Then, the economies of these countries will be in disaster! Because Britain is too small compared with the United States; And Japan has obviously forgotten that it is still a political Confucian under the "control" of the United States! American capital group sent a little Soros to take care of them all!
Imagine: If one day, most countries and regions in the world do not use the US dollar as the reserve currency, and the commodity transactions in major international capital markets do not use the US dollar as the settlement currency, and everyone returns the US dollar and US dollar bonds to the United States, will the US dollar still be in a dominant position in the world currency as it is now? Therefore, in order to defend the hegemony of the dollar in the world, American capital groups will of course do whatever it takes! Examples of this kind are too numerous to mention. Just give an example that everyone knows and is very puzzled. Why do Americans hate Saddam so much, because he is a dictator? Do you have to start a war and die quickly? Why did the CIA stage a coup to kill Chavez? Although Chavez escaped by accident during the coup, it was because the two of them publicly took the lead in changing the history of international oil using the US dollar as the settlement currency and changed it to the euro as the settlement currency. Because Iraq and Venezuela are both important members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, if these two countries take the lead in changing the international oil settlement currency from US dollars to Euro, it may cause a domino effect, many people will follow suit, and many capital markets and financial markets will follow suit, which will inevitably overthrow the hegemonic position of the US dollar as a world currency. American capital groups will lose their most important tools by playing with and controlling the world economy. It's like a clever magician who loses his props and will accomplish nothing! American capital groups have always regarded developed international capital markets as handy "financial alchemy". They create inflation at one time and deflation at the other, transferring the economic crisis to the world and plundering the world's wealth. And one of the important tools of this "financial alchemy" is the dollar! The importance of the US dollar as the world currency is reflected in the international capital market. Most commodity trading markets use the US dollar as the settlement currency.
If everyone stops using the dollar, the serious crisis inherent in the dollar system will not be passed on to the world. The United States can no longer use their best "financial alchemy". The huge debt of the United States will melt like an iceberg, the American economy will be as ugly as a skull, and the United States will definitely collapse in the near future! Saddam and Chavez want to change the international settlement currency oil into euros. Are you Saddam and Chavez strangling America? Kill American Capital Group? You want the life of America, the life of American capital group, then you have to die first! You can check the newspapers a few months before the United States launched the Iraq war to overthrow Saddam Hussein's regime, and you can see the urgency of the matter. The two of them have studied and practiced the idea in detail. Because of this, the United States wants to kick off its so-called "world government"-the United Nations, and even throw away NATO, its "unreasonable" uncompromising old brother, and launch a name. In recent years, although the "conclusive" "weapons of mass destruction" originally said by the CIA have not been found, even though more than 4,000 American soldiers and hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians have died! At the same time, the White House invested more than 660 billion dollars to launch this war. After deducting inflation, the money exceeded the expenditure of the Korean War in 12 and the "cost" of the Vietnam War. Linda Bilms, a professor at Harvard University, and Joseph Stiglitz, a professor at Columbia University, estimated that the budget and actual cost of the war was $2 trillion. But in the eyes of those who think it is necessary to wage war, it is worthwhile because of the importance of maintaining the hegemony of the dollar world currency and for the fundamental long-term interests of the United States! This is the fundamental reason why the United States dares to make such a big war bet.
Politics is the concentrated reflection of economy, and war is the extreme expression of politics! This is a typical example of modern war.
From this example, we can see how important it is for the US dollar to defend the status of commodity price settlement currency in the international capital market dominated by the US dollar, how important it is for maintaining the hegemonic position of the US dollar as a world currency and how important it is for the economic development and survival of the United States!
It is precisely because of the loss of the status of commodity price settlement currency in the international capital market dominated by the US dollar that the American capital game will come to an end, which means that the end of the American capital market is coming, and it also declares the end of the era when the United States dominates the world!
Therefore, in the period when the United States is a super military power, the world dominance of the US dollar will continue to be maintained. Because the United States will do everything possible to take all kinds of proper or improper means, create all kinds of excuses, attack other currencies, and weaken the threat of other currencies to its hegemony. For the hegemony of the dollar as the world currency, the United States will do whatever it takes! This is not decided by the American people, but by the American capital group!
Section 3: Why does oil become a weapon? ( 1)
3. Why does oil become a weapon?
The position of commodity price settlement currency in the international capital market dominated by the US dollar is of great decisive significance to the dominant position of the US dollar in the world currency. We can demonstrate and discuss from many aspects.
For example, oil is easier for everyone to understand. In the eyes of ordinary people, oil was originally just a simple industrial product and daily necessities. How did it become an "oil weapon" in the hands of American capital groups? But also a "weapon" that is very destructive to other countries' economies. Because oil is the blood of modern industrial economy.
Now most people think that President Reagan set up a fictitious "Star Wars" plan to lure the Soviet Union into an arms race and bring down the Soviet economy. Actually, that's not the case at all. The economic war between the United States and the Soviet Union has started!
The United States and the Soviet Union are two evenly matched superpowers. Just because oil is settled in dollars, American capital groups can use their developed capital markets to manipulate world oil prices! In the 1960s, the highest exchange rate of the Soviet ruble against the US dollar was 1:2, and then it remained at 1: 1 for a long time. Because the Soviet Union is an oil-producing country, the United States uses the commodity prices in the world capital market it controls to suppress international oil prices. At that time, the international oil price was kept at a level far below the cost price of Soviet oil production. At that time, the price of international oil was only 1.3- 1.9 USD/barrel, which is a low-cost oil that people dare not expect today. In other words, the more oil the Soviet Union produces, the greater the loss. Crushing the naive and rigid capital and financial markets of the Soviet Union with oil weapons hindered the economic development of the Soviet Union from one side.
The international gold price is also settled in US dollars. The Soviet Union is also a big gold producer. In order to deal with the Soviet Union, the United States joined seven European countries, namely Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Switzerland and the Netherlands, and established the "Gold Mutual Fund" on1961. At the beginning, the purpose of setting up this institution was to clearly suppress the gold price in the international capital market and take compulsory measures to prevent the gold price from rising in order to wait for the opportunity. From 1962 to 1963, there was a food shortage in the Soviet Union and a serious national food panic. Therefore, it has to sell a lot of gold on the international market at a very low price in exchange for importing rice and other grains to make up for the domestic food shortage. The amount of gold it sold made the world's big financiers stunned and overjoyed! After the Soviet Union sold a large amount of gold from its treasury, the international gold price began to rise sharply, and the Soviet Union had no chance to pick up cheap again.
It is precisely because of the policy of the United States and western countries to jointly contain the Soviet economy that, in the end, in more than 20 years, the Soviet ruble and its economy completely collapsed. The ruble depreciated from the original exchange rate of 1: 2 to 5600: 1. Causing the Soviet Union to abolish the old ruble. The economic base of the Soviet Union completely collapsed, which led to complaints from younger brothers in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, extremely unstable people's lives, and complaints and opposition from all over the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. Finally, the disintegration of the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe is inevitable.
This is a great victory for American capital group to use the international capital market with US dollar as the dominant commodity price settlement currency! A war without bloodshed and smoke.
Now, they are surprised that China has become the largest foreign exchange reserve country in the world, which the United States did not expect. Because China has so many foreign exchange reserves, it seems to be stuck in the throat of American capital groups. However, China's economic development needs to import oil. However, the international oil price has gone against its previous weakness and soared abnormally. In just over a decade, it rose from $8/barrel to the highest price this year1$47/barrel. Actually, it starts at $50/barrel. When it rose to 147 USD/barrel, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) repeatedly stressed that the world oil supply and demand were normal and the supply was balanced, and did not agree to increase production. The rise of oil price is because someone is manipulating the price, which has nothing to do with the contradiction between supply and demand. Many people of insight in the world know that this is an economic war mainly aimed at China, which has a direct causal relationship with China's regard of automobile industry as a pillar industry of national economic development and the large-scale strategic oil reserve base being built in China! The purpose of American Capital Group is to consume a lot of China's foreign exchange reserves and slowly turn China's foreign exchange reserves into lampblack! Into car exhaust! According to a report published in 2005 by RAND Corporation, a famous American government think tank, "China will be a very poor country in 20 years".
Section 4: Why did oil become a weapon? (2)
However, Russia has benefited a lot from the surge in international oil prices in the past decade! Russia's oil and gas fields have doubled in value and become the target of competing development by neighboring countries. It took Putin six years to pay off all the debts owed by the former Soviet Union for more than 70 years with the money earned from selling oil and natural gas. Russia unexpectedly earned extra money in this Sino-US economic war. But for the United States, China's huge foreign exchange reserves are the main problem, and Russia has nothing to fear!
So, how can China develop its own energy? How to develop energy-saving vehicles? It is an urgent problem that must be taken seriously!
This is a means for American capital groups to use the capital market to play with the world economy. Ordinary and black oil has thus become a powerful "oil weapon"! This is the fundamental reason why the United States should defend the dollar-dominated international capital market commodity price settlement currency at all costs!
Some people may ask: when commodity prices rise, everyone can make money. How did the American capital group make money by uniting with western countries to suppress oil and gold prices in the past? Capitalists always aim at making money, right?
This is another brilliant point for American capital groups to use the capital market to play with the world economy. Because the developed capital markets in the west have developed huge futures markets, which completely manipulated the commodity price trend in the futures market! Any market is bound to have fluctuations, some small fluctuations, perhaps ordinary institutions or hedge funds can also stir up and even make money. However, the real big fluctuations and trends can only be mastered by the capital groups that really control the infinite large-scale funds and the inside information! The money they earn in the futures market is actually no less than the money they earn by directly buying and selling oil and gold! They can do business at a loss for greater benefit! Or as long as the futures market makes a lot of money, it doesn't matter if the industrial capital loses a little money. Without information, they can even make news to push the market in the direction they want. For example, release the news of "unexpected increase" or "unexpected decrease" of US strategic reserve oil to stir up the market to skyrocket or plummet in the direction they need! In this way, they can use the leverage of the futures market to earn more super profits than industrial investment. Poor many futures speculators who speculate by guessing will eventually become fish on the chopping block. In fact, whether it is increasing or decreasing, only the ghost knows! What can't be done for the national interests of the United States, in fact, for the interests of those capital groups? In 1960s, the CIA could clearly find out how Brezhnev, the general secretary of communist party of the former Soviet Union, flirted with his mistress in his special car. Why is the address of the Embassy of China in Yugoslavia unclear? Knowing this, we will know how to understand the news they released.
Why did Europe bow to the United States? Because they can't unite against the United States, they can't compete. France and Germany played some time ago, and they are really not American opponents! Because they have no oil, Europe has no pricing power for oil; Because the settlement currency of commodity transactions in major capital markets around the world is US dollars, not euros! The euro is still weak and can only be obeyed by others! So the United States blamed China, saying that China pushed up oil prices. In fact, at present, China's oil imports account for a small proportion of the world oil market, because China itself is an oil-producing country.
Section V: The pricing power of international commodity prices is the lifeblood of the US dollar.