Fu Haitang: Fundamental information is the most valuable.
I get the direction of a variety through fundamental analysis. First, I collect basic information. I think information is the most valuable, and I will look at various varieties every day. If I ignore every variety, I will occasionally forget a certain variety for a while. Always pay attention to these varieties. Once a variety has an opportunity, notice it in advance, otherwise it may be that the market for this variety has passed and it has been forgotten. Then through investigation and psychological analysis, if a price stays at a price for a long time, it will definitely have an impact on farmers' planting. It is necessary to analyze the influence of a certain price on the planting area, and then draw a comprehensive conclusion based on the multi-point field investigation.
I study all varieties, but I don't necessarily do it. I watched all the active varieties on the disk study at the same time, because I wanted to seize the opportunity. Some varieties have a cycle of 3-5 years, or 10 years or even 20 years. Maybe one day, a great historical opportunity will appear. The specific operation is mainly to make a variety, or in addition to a major variety, a small number of 2 or 3 varieties are involved.
Liu Fuhou: Only make varieties that you are familiar with.
Be a familiar variety. If there is no familiar variety at first, you can be a familiar variety for 2 or 3 years, and it will naturally become an expert in this variety. As long as you keep doing it, it is difficult to make money and easy to make money. Why is it difficult for you to make money and easy for that person to make money? It means that that person is better than you. If you try to surpass him, you will make money easily. If you have been making copper and soybeans for more than ten years now, you may not have read the delivery rules I mentioned. Many things are flawed and unreasonable. If you don't know and understand this, you will suffer. If you know first, you will trap others. It is relative which is difficult to make money and which is easy to make money, but whether you can make money from this commodity or not. Of course, some old varieties are definitely becoming less and less active and less involved. Like corn, the probability of rising 100 yuan may be only 10%, and the probability of falling 100 yuan may be 90%. In fact, in addition to what I just said, it is also very important to analyze futures from the probability.
Zhong Yan: Looking for relatively clear and trending varieties.
Find some relatively clear and trend varieties to trade, because in the domestic environment, I may have a better understanding of China's politics, economic policies and economic background. For varieties that are highly related to the international market, your vision and research need to keep up. Generally, I will choose this variety to operate at the stage when the balance between supply and demand is obviously broken, and the operation frequency may be lower, but I don't exclude any variety. Because everyone has their own big cycle, it is entirely possible that commodities will have a very good cycle when the stock index is not very good in a certain year. In my investment framework, I hope that the more varieties and strategies, the better, that is to say, give me more raw materials and I will serve. For varieties that you are not particularly good at, you can not rule out some investment opportunities, and you can also look for operational opportunities from some fundamentals and technologies. In fact, your energy must be concentrated, but your vision needs to be broadened. When there are some varieties that may not participate too much at ordinary times, there have indeed been obvious changes in the fundamentals of supply and demand this year. I think you should participate in it at the right time, not exclude it.
Zhang Mingli: There are two standards.
1, a familiar variety;
2. Varieties with good liquidity and large turnover.
There are generally two criteria for selecting varieties in the futures market. One is a familiar variety, and the other is good liquidity and large turnover. Like some oligopoly varieties, under normal circumstances, we will not trade or invest a lot of research power in research. I think the market risk is still relatively large for long-term transactions and transactions with large capital. Everyone earns everyone's money, and I earn fundamental money. As long as it is an oligopoly, I won't participate.
Wang Xiangyang: I like to be a variety with strong market trends.
I prefer to choose varieties with strong market trends, which I usually only intervene in the middle of the trend. Because there are not many technical drawings at the beginning of the market, I generally don't make too many strategic positions. I will only follow the trend of market formation. After the variety is selected, I will observe whether the market trend of this variety has certain stability and sustainability. If this condition is met, I will enter the market. Usually I will add positions at the next breakthrough point after the profit is opened for a period of time. If the position of jiacang cannot be profitable immediately, I will flatten the part of jiacang to maintain the stability of funds. As for lightening positions, I generally don't lighten positions unless the market reverses.
Ding Hongbo: Six Criteria for Optimizing Varieties
The first is formal beauty, which is a very smooth form. Sometimes you don't know why it's so good, because you think good things are good, and I value this more. Futures are sometimes like this. At first, the smooth wave of falling or rising prices has a beautiful shape. Only by looking more at it at ordinary times can we be more sure of the aesthetic feeling.
The second is that the trend is clear, whether it is the trend line, moving average or band, it is relatively clear. However, sometimes the extremes meet, so we should consider the extremes meet. It is a good opportunity to follow the trend, and it is also a good opportunity to reverse Gan Kun.
Third, the characteristics of market fluctuation are obvious. Its fluctuation characteristics are relatively market-oriented, and some varieties suddenly jump up and down. In this case, we should be a little careful and try to avoid this kind of variety. Some are relatively market-oriented. Try to choose this variety when you are active.
The fourth is that the stop loss point is clearly controllable. Sometimes you can't find where the stop loss is. You may think the opportunity is better, but the market is often bad.
Fifth, the strength is obvious. Among many varieties, this variety is relatively strong, and then there are varieties with both inner disk and outer disk, and the inner disk is relatively stronger than the outer disk.
Sixth, it conforms to the principle of opening positions. You always have your own principles and methods. If you don't conform to your own methods, it is equivalent to being unconstrained. Building a position is not suitable for your own ideas. If you add up the principle conditions and meet the technical analysis and profit-loss ratio calculation method, I will think that this is the most advantageous trading variety, and I will do it in a heavy position or even in Man Cang. I'll take care of it and put all my eggs in this basket. I may break a few, but I won't break all the baskets, because the risk is under control.
Fu Aimin: "Quantity" is the primary consideration.
To choose the main business varieties, first of all, the throughput of the first transaction volume and the amount of funds must be available. Secondly, when the participation structure of investors including institutions, retail investors and various funds is relatively balanced, simply speaking, the products can basically participate after the positions reach a certain level and the transactions reach an active state, and "quantity" is the primary consideration. The second is that when the national industrial policy of this new variety is oriented, or basically has some special advantages for this new variety, this variety may face great opportunities for structural changes, and I will focus on participating. Just these two, one is quantity and the other is the product itself. When there is a big opportunity, there will be funds to speculate.
Wang Xingmin: Which variety is good will do.
The easiest way is to take out your own bills for two or three years and see which variety has the best effect, and the capital curve is clear at a glance. Even if all varieties are losing money, there is always one with the least loss. The one with the least loss is at least the most suitable.
Usually copper and rubber will operate at the same time. These two varieties are necessary. In addition, one or two positive varieties, that is, varieties with a slightly clear direction, will be selected as hedging. Although some varieties lose money, they are used for hedging. If the loss is 654.38+ million, then the profit there should be 654.38+02,654.38+03,000 or 200,000, which plays a protective role. It is rare to focus on only one variety at a certain stage. When I was doing cotton a few years ago, I specialized in cotton and gold. Originally, there were few funds, but now there are a little more funds, so we still have to consider the risks. At different stages, we will not switch the varieties of key operations, but only do these varieties. Switching to other varieties is to send money. I won't change careers in the future, and I may only make one variety of copper.
Personally, after more than ten years of trading, the original ten varieties have gradually become two or three, and maybe only one variety will be made in the future. From this point of view, it is better to be a variety show. Some varieties can be seen clearly without doing it. Wash the dishes when you go in. That's not your point. You just came to fight guerrilla warfare and then you lost. In the end, you will find that there is no good result, so it is better to focus on one variety. However, it is another matter to make a variety combination with large funds, and it is better to make several varieties with small funds.
Sun Peng: A crisp variety is very easy to generate profits quickly.
Among the industrial products, we are familiar with rubber, thread and iron ore. Very similar to the futures index. If people's personality is taken as an analogy, these four varieties belong to simple and agile varieties. Either there is no fluctuation, and once the trend is formed, it is easy to generate profits quickly and get rid of costs.
Agricultural products are affected by weather factors, climate factors, import and export factors, industrial policy fluctuations in various countries and other factors, and there have been many times of high opening and low opening frequencies. We basically don't touch other agricultural products except soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, vegetable oil and cotton.
Zhang Mingwei: Only the parents' meeting.
90% of the money I earned in the futures market was earned in the day and on PTA. The fluctuation of PTA is characterized by fast, big rise or big drop. Earn 50 points after buying, and generally return to earning 30 points to take profit. I will also look at other related products, such as rubber, copper, plastic and so on. If these series of products remain strong, I may not easily close my position, because there may be a daily limit today, and I will give up 30 points, even if I don't make money, I will wait for the next wave to accelerate. However, if rubber, plastics and other varieties are weak, I am ready to close the position at any time, because related varieties may bring down.
Wang: I earned 20 million yuan from 2000 yuan.
It is true to achieve 20 million in three years. At that time, 2000 yuan was not only 2000 yuan, but also a dream and a belief of mine. It is with such dreams and beliefs that I struggle in the futures market. I really take it as my career. At that time, I had no other thoughts in my mind except eating and sleeping. I was thinking about how to do futures when I was walking. Many things happen. It is with this 2000 yuan that I make corn with one hand and corn with the other. The first thing to do is short-term. I'll leave after earning two or three points. I am very happy to earn fifty or sixty dollars a day. Later, with the accumulation of time, experience gradually enriched and profits gradually increased. One-handed corn is slowly made into two hands and three hands, and the three hands do more. Then, by constantly copying the previous methods, it successfully took more than three years to achieve 20 million. Looking back now, I am undoubtedly lucky, and my current success also has some lucky elements. But more importantly, I think this is due to a set of correct methods and ideas that I have explored through years of unremitting efforts.