First, why is 95% defeated by the market?
Most trendsetters died in shock;
Most people who do consolidation die in the trend;
Most people who do short-term jobs die in Larry;
Most people who have no choice die in chaos;
Most people who have methods die in execution;
Most people who rely on subjectivity die in their feelings;
Most people who rely on news die in the news;
What didn't die was the invulnerable old demon.
Trading is a learning school, and its most popular major-behavior!
Give way to the bottom, give way to the head and eat more in the middle. That's what surgery is all about.
Do stocks: first, the tools should be simple; Second, the idea should be simple. There are two ways to buy, bargain-hunting and forced buying. The stock is at the high end, I don't know if I want to run. In the end, it must be a waste of time. Paper has money. It is the apprentice who knows how to buy and the master who knows how to sell. Look for support when going up and pressure when going down. Don't make a mistake about the general principle of this trend operation, and the operation skills will certainly be greatly improved. How to make profits? You can go when you are satisfied. The simple way is: when your reason for buying disappears, it is a good opportunity to play. Don't look too good up there, and don't look too ugly down there. When the winning percentage is more than 70%, sometimes it is enough to shoot once a month. Hunters don't shoot when they see birds. He will slowly aim at a limited number of bullets and then hit them with one shot.
Second, why is it so difficult to follow suit?
First, because you don't believe in trends. The trend does not exist, but you don't believe it. The second reason is that you are always thinking about callback, afraid of callback, and don't know how to deal with callback. The third is because you don't have a set of homeopathic rules.
The principle of successful stock market speculation is based on the assumption that people will repeat their past mistakes in the future; A few successful people in stock market trading are repeating the correct method; Losers are repeating all kinds of mistakes; The market exists by the mistakes of most people;
Everyone can beat the market, and the market will not exist.
The essence of homeopathy is to follow; If you want to follow the trend, you must wait for the trend to be clear and don't walk in front of it; Acting in advance is not a trend, but letting the market follow your imagination; If you want to follow the trend, you must give up your imagination so that you can follow the actual transactions in the market; Normal thinking, normal emotions and normal habits are impossible to succeed in the market; Where a few people succeed, it must be extraordinary; There must be different places, different thinking, methods and habits; The crueler the execution of discipline, the higher the possibility of success. If you don't follow the potential rules and have no strong discipline, you will undoubtedly be eliminated!
Long wave? A wave of bears? A village that keeps up with the general trend is a good village.
Long wave: one is high and the other is low, and the low point is not broken. Short wave: one is lower and the other is lower, and the high point is not higher than before. If it falls deeply, it will rebound, and if it rises too much, it will return to the file. This is the inertia of the stock price, as well as the time and space for sorting out. The leading wave comes first, and the following wave comes last. Look at the market first, then look at the plate, and finally pick stocks. Knowing how to wait is the secret of success in the stock market. "I want to lose first and then win" is the high wisdom left by our ancestors. When I understand, I will enter the arena. When I don't understand, I will wait and see. Waiting and seeing is also a strategy. It's not enough just to see how to buy and sell. The exercise of mentality is what retail investors lack most. What retail investors lack is the essence of the killer. They are not cruel enough. Don't dare to buy when you should, hesitate when you should kill, and don't insist when you should hold on.
Third, the reasons for investors' losses
The root cause: there is no correct trading concept, no trading system suitable for you, and no trading plan; Imagine trading through forecasting. Generally, you will close your position if you earn a little, and delay your stop loss if you lose. Making a small loss is against the fundamental principle of success. Investors are often short of funds and have large positions; Anxious to make money, the more frequently you enter the market, the harder it is to make money. Taking big risks and grabbing small profits is doomed to lose money. It is impossible to pursue perfection, treat yourself as a fairy, and always want to grab the top or the bottom. It is enough to catch a fragment of the trend. Many investors trade with feelings and emotions, not with their brains, but with trading systems. Man Cang's operation, with little fluctuation, may also be a big loss, and he is too psychologically stressed to stop loss, and finally he is forced to lighten up his position and go out.
There are only a few opportunities in a year, and the main fluctuation range in a day is completed in ten minutes. Too much trading is a risk in itself. There is nothing new about stock market trading! The rules of the game have not changed; Human nature has not changed. Life is never a straight line. Every adult knows this. However, when we look at the chart, we forget this point too easily. Tolerate the market, and the market will tolerate us! Excessive pursuit of investment opportunities and price perfection will only bring us unexpected losses. Only trends in the stock market can take care of you. If the trend ignores you, it means you are wrong or the trend has changed. The most hateful thing is fluctuation. Fluctuation is a liar, which always keeps you from seeing the trend and the change of the trend. So to distinguish between fluctuations and trends is to find friends and enemies.
Under normal circumstances, the market will not develop in any straight line. The so-called market trends are three trends: rising, falling and horizontal extension, which are composed of the rising or falling directions of peaks and valleys in turn. In most of the time in the stock market, most investors are wrong, and the mistakes are mainly induced by callback fluctuations. There are many people watching the trend, but more people think that the trend may be adjusted back, while closing the position or doing the opposite operation, ignoring the trend. If you want to grasp the trend, you have to give up small fluctuations; It is also important to find tools for trends. It is better to believe than to believe your own eyes. Most technical tools and systems are essentially in line with the trend, and their main design intention is to follow the rising or falling market.
You don't have to buy stocks every day, but you should do your homework every day.
Find out the top 30 stocks that rise every day and look at the K-line chart. Why is it rising? What are the precursors before the rise? Which stocks rose the most? Is it electronic? Finance? Or medicine? Which price has gone up the most? High price? Medium price? Or low price? What kind of stocks are the funds concentrated on? Electronic? Finance? Or plastic? From this information, you can find out which stocks may become mainstream, which technology will make the stock price soar, and then find your favorite stocks among the possible mainstream groups. Grab five stocks that meet the conditions of ups and downs every day, or find five stocks that have fallen, and make a record to see how good you are. If it really rises within three days, hit "○", otherwise hit "×", from which you can examine and improve your stock selection ability. Buy after optimistic, rest after buying, wait for selling point, rest after selling, wait for buying point. Do more when the bulls are long, and short when the bears are short. When the boxes are sorted, a small amount can be thrown high and sucked low, and short-term response can be made. The fluctuation of K-line is the starting point of inflection point. If you meet the cut-in criteria, you can bravely enter the market. Within three days of entering the market, you will know whether the dealer wants to make waves. If there is a point where the dealer can't keep it, you should run quickly. Keep hugging if you don't show up. If you don't move, you don't have to spend money with him. Anyway, there are ready-made stocks at any time.
Fourth, losing money is a punishment:
Punish your ignorance; Punish your greed; Punish your luck; Punish your violations; Ten thousand empty theories are not as good as an actual rule of action; No amount of market analysis is as good as the actual trading plan. Genius is to concentrate all your energy on a specific goal; Trading genius is to focus on a trading method and form trading habits. A true philosopher must be as generous as the sea; Tolerate the market and the market will forgive us. Only by giving up some opportunities can we seize more opportunities.
A penny-only mind will never get a penny. Staring at the opportunity of 20 o'clock every day will definitely miss the opportunity to turn over.
Once you change your way of thinking, you change your beliefs;
Once you change your beliefs, you change your expectations;
Once you change your expectations, you will change your attitude;
Once you change your attitude, you will change your behavior;
Once the behavior changes, the performance will naturally change;
Once the performance changes, your life will be completely new!
In fact, the most talked about is the moving average, which is the control line. The main basis of operation is also the control line. In order to operate easily in the market, the moving average is a course that must be explored hard. Simply apply the principle of "market dynamic philosophy" and wait for the price to break through the high point of the previous day. Only in this favorable situation will you place an order, because this is the most time-saving way to place an order and the most likely way to buy it at the starting point. The opening price broke through yesterday's high, which may indicate the trading trend of the day or the next few days, especially after the bullish or bearish news came out. Remember, if your stock has appeared, or there has been a wave of short positions, then cut the gordian knot and leave first, and there will always be endless burns.
5. Why are there too many transactions? Why did Man Cang have an operation? Why do you want to go against the trend? Why don't you want to stop? It's all because:
Be eager for success, be lucky. Most investors do better in stop loss and holding. Stop loss can control risks, but the most important thing for success is to "hold on" when you seize the opportunity. If we can't keep up with the growth, we can't realize the principle of "small and wide, big and small".
The trick to selling stocks is:
What most investors are doing is trading habits such as earning and losing, which is the root cause of failure. Is it convenient to open the password of the stock market? Is it time? Is it a stop loss? Is it money management? Neither! The password to open the stock market is to implement-simple rules, long-term strict implementation. No matter how good the map is, it can't take you to your destination, and no matter how good the law is, it can't stop crime. Most investors know the methods and rules of stock market success. If you do it for a long time, you will succeed if you implement it. The dividing line between success and failure is not how much you know, but how much you have achieved.
Sixth, the harm that rebound brings to you.
* Just because I was thinking about rebounding, I closed my position prematurely and missed a bigger trend profit;
* It's because I'm thinking about rebounding and waiting for it to open a position. As a result, the rebound did not appear, missing a wave of trends;
* Just because I was thinking about the rebound, I should have stopped the loss and wanted to wait for the rebound stop loss, so I missed a better stop loss opportunity;
* It is precisely because of thinking about rebounding and doing rebounding that we embarked on the contrarian operation, which caused great risks;
* To make a big trend, it is necessary to filter out small fluctuations and rebounds; The contrarian rebound is the main reason to induce investors to make mistakes.
Most of the real money earned by stock trading is based on technical band operation. The wave was caught and quickly left the cost area, and then the disk surface could be easily controlled without changing lines. Money is the driving force; Stocks are a downward force. The red K-line is painted with silver, and the black K-line is painted with stocks. Generally speaking, there are two opportunities to get involved: one is when you go all out-low-end, and the other is when you show your purchasing power-to catch up. The wave source is a red K. The high point of the red K is higher than the previous day, and the low point is lower than the previous day. This is the basic skill of catching waves.
Seven, in the observation of customers, it is often found that two types of people lose more than 50% in a month:
* The first category is that there are very few transactions, only a few times in January, but if you are wrong, you will not stop and die, and finally you will lose a lot.
* The second category is that there are many transactions, and there are fewer one-time losses, but they have been losing money continuously.
* There is not much short-term space in the day, and the pursuit is that the number of successes is greater than the number of losses; If you can't do this, you must look for short-term trading methods again. If you have been losing money, why not continue trading? Eager to earn back the lost money, eager to trade, not trading truthfully, often lose more. Investors often say, "I know those are right, I can make money, but I can't."
There are no secrets in the market, the truth of success is well known, the winners insist on doing it themselves, and the losers follow their own psychological feelings. For example, if you earn a little, you want to run, for fear that the money you get will fly again; If you lose, you always want to wait for the callback. It is often a small loss and a big profit, and eventually a loss. For example, making big money is a long-term trend, but most investors feel that short-term is the safest day. Is it safe? Do short-term work every day, week, month and year. Is the fund in the account increasing or decreasing? Handle the correct principles of making money; Don't accept deals that you feel comfortable with. Some people have done research, if you don't stop loss, then 80% of the transactions can be carried forward to make money and close the position, but this 20% can't be carried forward, which determines the inevitable sudden position! Then, you can open a smaller position and make a bigger stop loss, which can control the risk and improve the success rate of making orders. Compared with the stock market, the futures market has greater motivation and freedom. Today, it can be long, short today, flat tomorrow, and the funds can be used less or more. Philosophers have said that no one with power can be abused.
The people who do futures, Man Cang is the power and freedom to misuse funds, and the trend is also done. All fluctuations must be seized; Is to maximize the power of trading. Individuals who do futures have more space and flexibility, and in turn, self-control has become the most important success or failure factor.
Eight, do stocks to give up.
1, give up your imagination, prediction, and long and short views; So as to conduct actual transactions according to technical rules and market conditions;
2. Give up the contrarian callback and grab the top; In order to follow suit;
3. Give up local short-term small fluctuation opportunities; In order to seize the long-term megatrend opportunity;
4. Give up luck; In order to trade according to the rules;
5, give up the abnormal situation; In order to grasp the market that can be grasped;
6. Give up the concept of money; For the convenience of transaction.
Quantity, price, index, stock type, strength and intraday trend are all important factors in my stock selection. There is a saying: if you don't chase it after three times, it will rise for four days. How much space do you think? How strong is it? Plan, but don't expect, this is the principle of trading. If you want to see more, show it to me soon. If the waves are bigger, I will definitely step on the waves and never confront the dealer head-on. You can predict more waves, but I want to see its "real" growth. If you don't take the first wave, you won't die, because with the first wave, another thousand waves will be set off, and the waves will become more and more fierce, so that you can enjoy the real fun of surfing. Every moving average is a horse. If there are many horses running, the horsepower is naturally large and they run fast and steadily. The market can talk, and he will tell you what he wants in various ways, including K line, type, moving average, pointer and so on.
Nine, novices have to go through five levels:
1, another way of thinking: it is true to make money in the market, but the market is not an ATM; First think about how to control risks and pay less.
2, stop loss: no one does not know the stop loss, but Fan Da's mistake still has no stop loss; Let stop loss be as relaxed and natural as eating and sleeping.
3. Make a big loss: don't try to run if you earn a little, and don't stop if you lose. Earn more than three times the stop loss before trading.
4, trading system: to drive a train, first repair the railway. To make a deal, do the system first.
5, trading habits: most investors fail, not knowing, but not doing it;
Three magic weapons of stock market operation:
Control of mentality, technology and capital. Strong stocks do not buy up and down; Don't sell weak stocks at the end of the decline. When rising, strong stocks rushed to buy; At the end of the rebound, weak stocks rushed to sell. Swallow (swallow the positive line in front of the high-end model), which appears at the top of the high-end model, is a sell signal, but if it appears at the bottom of the low-end model, it is a swallow. But pay attention to the timing of buying. Low-position bear swallowing (better, breaking the bottom) is a kind of K-line dish washing. This kind of swallowing is the last bite, indicating that the bear's strength has been exhausted and disappointment has been sold out. In the future, many parties have little power to fight back. K-line tactics classify it as a short deception line and a buy signal! K-line will constantly reveal the reversal news at critical moments. The amount of broken bottom shrinks and it is easy to bottom out. The amount of broken bottom is large and the bottom is unfathomable. The strength of the moving average is greater than that of the K-line. K-line is suitable for grasping the turning point, but the moving average can point out the trend, so the combination of the two will be clearer. How to achieve the harmony between the turning point and the trend, not deviating from the trend in the turning point, and seeing the turning point in the trend is an artistic effort and the goal of our efforts.
Just be centered, fixed, legal and run naturally. Determination, in short, after you have learned many methods, try to integrate them into a simple formula that fits your operation cycle. Including, how to cut in? How to stay still? Stop loss point? Profit point? Centering, in a nutshell, is to pay attention to whether there is a trading point in your own stock, and then, execute it according to law, regardless of others. The most important thing for traders is their ability to cope with the market, not their prediction of the market. Learning a set of operation methods with time and spirit will be an inexhaustible skill in life. When you have a suitable operation mode, you will find that it will be a great pleasure to have a well that will automatically gush out. Don't look back until you see long red, and don't look back until you see long black.
Make your own ideas and methods a habit.
It is the stock market farmers who work for a few hours, the stock market workers who work for dozens of hours, the stock market businessmen who work for the band, and the stock market bosses who make a big trend.
These are the golden words obtained from the stock market trading of vomiting blood. Every brother who enters the stock market must learn and accept.
Remember not to get stuck at eight o'clock;
First, get ready. Whenever you buy stocks, you should find out the reasons for buying and calculate the delivery target. Don't blindly go in and buy, then blindly wait for the rise, and then blindly lock up.
Second, we must set up a stop loss point. Where there is a huge loss, it is because there is no stop loss when entering the market. When the stop loss point is set, it must be executed. Even if you get stuck when you just buy it, if you find it wrong, you should sell it. Long-term investment must be a stock with a long-term stock price. Once it falls for a long time, it must be sold!
Third, if you are not afraid of falling, you are afraid of heavy volume. It is not terrible that some stocks fall for no reason. What is terrible is the enlargement of trading volume. In particular, the varieties in which the bookmakers hold more shares must not have huge turnover. If it appears, nine times out of ten it will be the main shipment. Therefore, in any case, we should be extremely cautious about sudden heavy volume.
Fourth, reject the negative line. Regardless of the market or individual stocks, if it is found that it has fallen below the strong support level recognized by the public, and there is a trend of closing the negative line on the same day, we must be vigilant. In particular, the stocks that had a good trend, once there is a negative line, may cause panic in the mid-line positions and sell in large quantities. Sometimes even if the main force doesn't want to ship, it can't support the stock price, and it will inevitably fall in the end. Sometimes the main force will take the opportunity to ship. So in any case, when you see the negative line, you should consider shipping.
Fifth, only recognize one technical index, and slip away immediately if it is found to be bad. It's no use giving you 100 technical indicators. Sometimes, when you have thoroughly studied an indicator, you have completely grasped the trend of a stock. When you find that the market has broken the key support, leave immediately.
Sixth, don't buy problem stocks. When buying a stock, we should look at its fundamentals and see if there are any worrying places, especially several important indicators, to prevent fundamental changes. In the case of poor confirmation of fundamentals, intervene cautiously and remain vigilant at any time.
Seventh, fundamentals are subject to technical aspects. No matter how good the stock is, it will fall if it is in bad shape, and it will rise if it is in good shape. Even if you invest a lot of money, you have to pay at least 30% if the shape is broken, and then buy it when the shape is repaired. You can't be superstitious about any stock. You can be loyal to your family, friends and motherland, but it is foolish to be loyal to stocks. Someone bought SDB 10 years ago and didn't sell it today. I don't think it's worth taking Because if you really like it, you should sell it at the right price and buy it at the right price. Holding shares all the time is a sign of laziness.
Eighth, don't be the victim of the banker. Sometimes there is news from the dealer, or there is news from outside the dealer. You can believe it before buying, but you must not believe it about the delivery. Shipment is your own business, no dealer will tell you that you are shipping, so the shipment should be decided according to the disk, not according to the news.
Remember: don't chase after a big rise, and don't cut meat at a low level when you fall. This is one of the operating principles that friends should pay attention to. When hesitating, friends can follow the 50% principle.