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What will happen to the stock market on Friday?
Slightly lower.

The market has reached a turning point.

Although previous major earthquakes will not have a fatal impact on the stock market, the weakening of the psychological level and the resumption of related disaster-stricken companies may affect the stock market (of course, there will also be favorable sectors), and the CPI may continue to run at a high level due to demand issues in Sichuan.

, continues to increase expectations for macroeconomic control, and the Bank of China decided to raise the deposit reserve ratio again starting on May 20th, which once again put great pressure on the current weak investor confidence. In the past few trading days, there has been a rapid rise in short-term funds.

As for the flow between various sectors, the market trend is very short-lived and difficult to grasp. Many stocks soared on the first day and then ended the market the next day. Now we must be cautious to chase the rise.

After the market rebounded and continued to rise, it encountered heavy selling pressure and the suppression of the moving average above. Now it has been violently oscillating in a small range for several consecutive trading days. The 20 and 30 moving averages of the market cannot fall in the market outlook. If they fall, they may rebound.

That's it.

The short-term market is compressed to fluctuate within a narrow range between the 5 and 10 lines, and is not far from the chosen direction. The daily line status shows that the large capital inflow and outflow indicator has been broken down in the past few trading days and has continued to decline, and is now close to the trend line.

It is also time to choose the direction below. In the weekly state, the large capital inflow and outflow indicator has been compressed between the two trend lines. It is time to choose the direction for the midline of the market. If the support point of 3500 falls in the market outlook, it will not be possible in a short time.

With a strong recovery, institutions may choose to continue shorting, and the market may once again test the policy support of 3,000 points. Since a lot of chips have been sold during the early pull-up, institutions will have less burden on their chips and profits if they sell in this wave.

Quite a few.

Pay attention to controlling positions now). If the market replicates the last bear market's continuous decline and strong rebound to impact the annual line, and finally ends in failure, accelerating the trend of falling to the bottom, you must be careful (no one wants this, but the operation of the stock market is

It is not based on human will. Although stock commentators are building a good market outlook and have to be more cautious), in general, the rebound of the market is weaker than expected. If you choose to break above the 10 or 60 line, there will only be a strong breakthrough.

Only when the market outlook reaches 3800 and stands firmly, will there be any success. That will be a sign.

The rebound is expected to continue to around 4,400. Failure to break through the rebound may make the hopes of stock analysts predicting a level above 5,000 points once again dashed.

When the huge amount of crazy money brought about by the stamp duty reduction hit the stock market, I thought that the reduction of positions by major institutions should slow down. Although I still believed that institutions would continue to increase shipments, I did not think that shipments would be made that day.

However, there was a wave of selling behavior of huge funds during the day, which greatly suppressed the stock index and overwhelmed the huge funds that were chasing the market. I thought it was wrong, but now the results have come out.

According to the latest statistics, the two major institutions, funds and insurance, capitalized on the sharp rise that day and significantly reduced their positions by as much as 31.7 billion. Retail investors once again became the main force chasing prices higher.

If the main funds accumulated in the past few days still maintain the selling trend on the 24th, from the 24th to now, the institutional reduction in positions is estimated to be close to 50 billion, and these chips have once again fallen into the hands of retail investors. The main shipping trend will not stop, and the market outlook will still be

It is not optimistic, but after Hongda shares opened the limit, Xiaofei increased its shipments. According to statistics, Pingyuan Industrial and Yiduoyuan Real Estate reduced their holdings to 6.96 million shares and 7.5136 million shares respectively, and all of them were cleared. The total sales ratio in one day reached 2.81%.

Exceeding the last so-called limit of size, only 0.99% of goods can be shipped in a month, and the punishment measures taken by the Shanghai Stock Exchange are indeed symbolic punishments. It will have no impact on Xiaofei who has already cleared his position. If it cannot be handled properly

There will not be a few "followers" of this violation in the future (this week, Guanfu Home's large and small non-illegal lifting exceeded the 0.99% limit and reached 1.19%. TCL took a sideways shot and sold 1.01%. Following the trend has already appeared, which is a big deal for institutions.

Said to be a lot of psychological pressure), the previous series of so-called good policies that restricted large and small crimes have become a good thing full of loopholes.

3300 is still the turning point for bulls and bears.

Investors can choose the point to reduce their positions based on the strength of the rebound. When the market rebound is weak, it is time to exit.

The supply and demand of funds determines the operating rules of the stock market. If there are more funds to buy than to sell, it will rise, and if there are more sells than to buy, it will fall. If within a trend, because of a big bad news, the funds to sell are greater than the funds to buy in the long term, then this will be longer.

There will be a falling market within a certain period of time.

The market surged on the 24th, and most retail investors are trading above 5,000 points. Most stocks have not increased more than 20% and the rebound is relatively weak. Most retail investors with deep trading will not choose to sell. Can the current volume be simply considered

Institutions have come in and have a one-sided understanding. Now the game between new and old funds is very complicated. New funds are forced to build positions, while old funds are gradually spitting out chips at high levels and withdrawing while playing, gradually reducing positions to avoid the pressure of large and small disputes. On the 24th

There has been a sharp decline in the market. Facing the huge crazy funds brought by the good news, it is definitely not possible for those short-term retail investors and hot money to do it. It cannot be ruled out that it is a matter of big or small

It was not caused by the reduction of holdings (now that the data has come out, it was caused by the two main players, funds and insurance, significantly reducing their positions by 31.7 billion).