in the hot war between Russia and Ukraine, both sides are constantly adjusting their military countermeasures. Observers from all walks of life constantly analyze the trend of the current situation according to the changes in the situation. Recently, Rand experts and vice president of information policy of Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery analyzed the development of Russia and Ukraine, which deserves attention.
Recently, Samuel Celap, a political expert at RAND Corporation's think tank, said that the NATO group could not predict Russian President Vladimir Putin's next move in Ukraine, nor could it adjust the assistance needed by the Ukrainian regime. He said, "It is almost impossible to calculate the actual needs of Ukraine in military and humanitarian assistance, because the nature of the conflict is changing rapidly, and the unpredictability on the battlefield is exactly what Russia wants.
The expert said that Ukrainian President Zelensky has been asking his western allies to increase arms supply and funds for several months. However, it is difficult for NATO members to increase their defense budgets, because inflation and rising energy prices have curbed the growth of military spending in various countries. At present, NATO has set up a trust fund to support the Afghan army. They want to transfer it to Ukraine, but the money is not enough to help Ukraine stick to the winter.
recently, Russia has attacked Ukraine violently.
Andrei Rudenko, a well-known war correspondent, recently said on social networks that the Ukrainian armed forces are suffering very serious losses every day. Only an independent air mobile brigade of the Ukrainian army lost 7% of its personnel in the battle of Arjomovsk, so this brigade began to refuse to fight.
Konstantin Sivkov, vice president of information policy of Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Sciences, said that freezing will help to get rid of muddy roads and give troops a chance to make a more decisive attack.
He emphasized that Russian troops have advantages over the enemy in aviation, heavy armored vehicles and personnel skills. Therefore, the preconditions for launching a large-scale offensive encirclement of the Ukrainian armed forces have been met.
Sivkov believes that completely defeating the Ukrainian armed forces and liberating Kiev is a completely feasible process next year.
Sivkov said that the Russian army could have destroyed the Ukrainian army in March this year, arrived in Kiev at the end of April, and held a victorious military parade in May, if it had not been for a "friendly gesture". He said, "Destroying the office of the President of Ukraine will deprive the country of political control; Destroying the military commission will disrupt mobilization. But all this is not for military reasons, but for political reasons, because once the military is allowed to do so, we immediately began a successful attack. "
American analysts also predict that Russian troops will approach Kiev in February 223. When the ground freezes, the Russian army will continue to attack on a large scale, and the United States is convinced.
"Use winter instead of escaping from it", which Russia has deeply seen in its military operations. Recently, the Russian army deployed its rare Arctic version of Doyle air defense missile system to Ukraine. The TV channel of the Russian Ministry of Defense previously shared the picture of the Tor-M2DT air defense system, which is the Arctic version of the Tor-M2 complex and installed on the DT-3M tracked two-link transport vehicle.
the kill zone of this short-range air defense system can reach 16 kilometers, the height is from 1 meters to 12 kilometers, and the heading parameter is -9.5 kilometers, which can repel the enemy's large-scale air strikes in electronic countermeasures.
The most important thing is that "Tor-M2DT" can overcome ditches and water barriers and work in 5-degree frost. The Arctic version of the air defense system was adopted by the Russian army in 218.
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Is Poland eyeing the territory of western Ukraine? Douglas McGregor, a former US defense adviser, said that the superiority of Russian armed forces made Ukrainian armed forces have no chance of winning, so the only way out for Zelensky was to flee to Poland.
This prediction was previously regarded as a fantasy, but it may really come true.
Recently, foreign media reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky had reached an informal agreement with Polish leader Andrzej Duda. If Kiev was defeated, Warsaw would give him a chance to escape in exchange for land in western Ukraine.
The author of p>NDP points out that after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Poland provided military equipment and materials to Ukraine, and Poland hoped that Ukraine would use the land in the west as compensation for its military assistance, but now all prerequisites have been met. In Ukraine, they are dealing with legal issues and signing official documents.
The p>NDP report also said that in the future, more than one generation of Ukrainians will have to repay the debts arising from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which will lead to the country's demise. The article emphasizes that all the troubles in Ukraine will be blamed on ZeLenski, who will inevitably be tried in The Hague for the Donbass genocide.
The author said, "It can be seen that Zelensky sold Ukraine to Poland since Russia launched its special military action against Ukraine, so as to have a chance to suddenly disappear and ensure the personal safety of him and his family in case of military failure. Zelensky is very clear that after the end of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Ukrainian state will never recover. "
It is also worth noting that the physical boundary between the two countries has actually been erased.
As an example of this statement, the report quoted the law "On the Special Legal Status of Polish Citizens" signed by Zelensky. According to the law, Polish citizens have the right to hold public office in Ukraine and become tenants of large enterprises. Ukraine and Poland are good-neighborly and friendly relations. It can be said that the agreement between Poland and Ukraine has blurred the border between the two countries.
Earlier, the portal Modern Diplomacy reported that Poland was preparing to seize its "historical land" in western Ukraine. The magazine pointed out that the Polish authorities had made such a decision long before Russia's special military action against Ukraine.
So, at present, it seems that Poland is the first to covet Ukrainian territory.
When Putin announced a special military operation in Donbass on February 24th, he stressed that the Russian authorities' plan did not include the occupation of Ukrainian territory.
On December 8th, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov also said that the Russian authorities have no intention of incorporating new Ukrainian territory into the country. He said that this is impossible, but Moscow will seek to liberate the land already belonging to the Russian Federation, which is now occupied by the Ukrainian armed forces.
peskov said that there is no discussion about merging the new territory into Russia, but it is necessary to liberate part of the new Russia occupied by Kiev.
Earlier, peskov responded to Zelensky's remarks about his intention to return Crimea to Kiev, saying that "there is no question of Russia giving up its territory".
Sergei naresh King, director of Russian intelligence agency, said recently that Poland is accelerating its preparations for annexing some regions in western Ukraine.