This has not only caused great trouble for everyone to choose funds, but also brought us a lot of trouble in analyzing this year's fund market. To this end, we will summarize and analyze seven types of funds: index, stock, QDII, hybrid, FOF, bond and currency, and deeply analyze the fund market every week!
In-depth analysis of weekly fund market
Let's make a complete replica.
From 2005 to 2008, it increased five times, 175-940 points.
In 2009, it dropped by 62%, from 940 to 280.
In 2009- 10, from 280 to 1 105, it increased by three times.
From 10 to 12, 1 105 dropped to 625 points, a decrease of 43%.
12-16,625-2340, an increase of about 3 times.
From 16 to 17, from 2340 to 1 154, with a decrease of 48%.
From 17 to 18, from 1 154 to 2 149, with an increase of 80%.
After the adjustment of 18 years, 2 149 fell to 149 1, a decrease of 24%.
From 18 to 2 1, 149 1 point rose to 4490 points, a threefold increase.
From 2 1 to now, 4490 has fallen to the lowest 2679, a decrease of 40%.
Judging from the resumption of trading, the biggest advantage of the food and beverage industry is that it has not fallen by 70%, and other sectors often fall to 50%-70%. You can also look at the previous resumption. New energy, semiconductors and medical care all have resumption.
And most of them will be adjusted within 50%.
And from 2005 to now, the decline has basically not exceeded 2 years.
They all rose within 1 year.
The resilience of the food and beverage sector is stronger than that of the pharmaceutical sector, with rapid adjustment and stable rise.
It can be said that the trend is the least annoying plate.
There are not so many thrilling adjustments.
According to the comparison between the duplicate board and other boards before.
The food and beverage sector is definitely worthy of everyone's attention, and the long-term mood will be second only to the liquor sector.
This food and beverage sector does not include liquor, and there is no liquor enterprise in it.
According to the historical decline, about 50% is basically a relatively limited decline.
According to 4490, that is, near 2245, the valuation of the plate will be very attractive.
You can make a long-term tracking fixed investment according to the valuation of specific core heavyweights and the trend of the sector.
It has fallen by 40% so far. If you like the stable food and beverage sector, you can start to pay attention.
Don't forget to praise the stock friends who are reading books and support them.
I wish my favorite friends peace and joy and benefit from Niu Niu.
Your praise is the biggest motivation that I share every day.
The following are the main points of fund investment
Analysis hint
Never mechanically copy the specific time and place, because these will change with the changes of the market, and it is impossible to help each other.
The last point is the position control problem. It is best to buy it bit by bit.
That is, according to this monthly and weekly fixed investment.
It is important not to invest too much at once.
Because how long it takes to adjust is an analysis, it is king to have enough money in hand to slowly add positions.
Let's call it a day.
Matters needing attention in fund investment:
1, fund management fee+custody fee is very high compared with stock trading fee! Not the same as stocks! So don't invest and trade funds with short-term thinking!
2. Fund investment is not suitable for short-term trading (so it needs to be considered from long-term valuation).
3. Fund position management (5-8 funds of the same type are enough, and the position of a single fund should not exceed 10% as far as possible).
4, the risk of the fund is no less than that of the stock, so don't invest casually (the fund loses money as fast as it does).
5, keep more cash, investment funds are a long stream, you must have enough fixed investment funds, you can't breed horses.
6. Fund investment is slow and fast, steady and accurate, steady and hard, and slow down the fortune, which is very suitable for describing fund investment.
Fund investment guide, for friends who like to invest in funds.
In the industry, there are funds worthy of long-term attention.
Big technology (Internet, new energy, semiconductors, chips, new materials)
Large consumption (food and beverage, medicine, medical care, liquor)
Big finance (brokers, banks, insurance)
High-end manufacturing (consumer electronics, military industry, household appliances)
Recycling industry (nonferrous metals, scarce resources, chemicals, aquaculture)
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
Index funds deserve long-term attention.
SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 100, Venture Market, Shuangchuang 50, Hang Seng Index, Standard & Poor's 500, Nasdaq
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
If you are interested in fund investment, you can study the above funds.
It must be much better than picking some strange funds at random.
Index funds have low management costs and stable long-term returns, which are suitable for all investors.
Don't be superstitious about any fund manager. Any fund that is expensive will lose money.
The key to fund investment is to invest slowly and hold it for a long time when the market is in a downturn.
The industry is very hot, don't chase it when it rises sharply.
As long as it is a high-quality fund that invests slowly in the downturn, the annualized income in 2-5 years will be very good.
Investment funds must be patient.
Analysis hint
Never mechanically copy the specific time and place, because these will change with the changes of the market, and it is impossible to help each other.
The last point is the position control problem. It is best to buy it bit by bit.
That is, according to this monthly and weekly fixed investment.
It is important not to invest too much at once.
Because how long it takes to adjust is an analysis, it is king to have enough money in hand to slowly add positions.
Let's call it a day.
Matters needing attention in fund investment:
1, fund management fee+custody fee is very high compared with stock trading fee! Not the same as stocks! So don't invest and trade funds with short-term thinking!
2. Fund investment is not suitable for short-term trading (so it needs to be considered from long-term valuation).
3. Fund position management (5-8 funds of the same type are enough, and the position of a single fund should not exceed 10% as far as possible).
4, the risk of the fund is no less than that of the stock, so don't invest casually (the fund loses money as fast as it does).
5, keep more cash, investment funds are a long stream, you must have enough fixed investment funds, you can't breed horses.
6. Fund investment is slow and fast, steady and accurate, steady and hard, and slow down the fortune, which is very suitable for describing fund investment.
Fund investment guide, for friends who like to invest in funds.
In the industry, there are funds worthy of long-term attention.
Big technology (Internet, new energy, semiconductors, chips, new materials)
Large consumption (food and beverage, medicine, medical care, liquor)
Big finance (brokers, banks, insurance)
High-end manufacturing (consumer electronics, military industry, household appliances)
Recycling industry (nonferrous metals, scarce resources, chemicals, aquaculture)
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
Index funds deserve long-term attention.
SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 100, Venture Market, Shuangchuang 50, Hang Seng Index, Standard & Poor's 500, Nasdaq
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
If you are interested in fund investment, you can study the above funds.
It must be much better than picking some strange funds at random.
Index funds have low management costs and stable long-term returns, which are suitable for all investors.
Don't be superstitious about any fund manager. Any fund that is expensive will lose money.
The key to fund investment is to invest slowly and hold it for a long time when the market is in a downturn.
The industry is very hot, don't chase it when it rises sharply.
As long as it is a high-quality fund that invests slowly in the downturn, the annualized income in 2-5 years will be very good.
Investment funds must be patient.
This week, the fund returned blood obviously, but it also experienced a relatively complete rebound. It's not easy to stay strong here.
Many previously undervalued funds, the valuation became reasonable again, and their attractiveness began to decline.
Friends who like investment funds, don't blindly chase high here, and then buy after adjustment.
Control the position, and you can sell some if you have profit.
The short-term market is more exciting, but the market is not completely strong, so controlling the position is the most important thing for fund investment at present.
Brief comment on popular industry funds
Liquor:
A very obvious trend of lateral adjustment
There is no obvious decline, and the index does not have much room for fixed investment.
This trend is mainly to give individual stocks opportunities, and fund investors still need to wait.
Semiconductors:
Beautiful rebound trend. I have repeatedly reminded that the valuation of the semiconductor sector is very attractive. At present, it has been rebounding, and it is not recommended to chase high for the time being.
If you fall back, you can continue to pay attention to opportunities in the sector, as well as individual stocks. The semiconductor sector is more promising, and every adjustment is an opportunity.
Lithium battery:
Like the semiconductor sector, it has been rebounding, but the valuation is relatively high, and the sector has no chance for the time being. Fund investors should not vote easily.
Pay attention to the adjustment opportunities of individual stocks. If there is a callback, it mainly depends on the performance of individual stocks. The sector as a whole is on the high side, and it is not the time for fund investors to play.
Photovoltaic:
The trend is stronger than that of lithium batteries, but the valuation is also high, and the sector is also at a high valuation, so the fund is not suitable for fixed investment.
There are many opportunities for individual stocks and the industry is booming. Leading enterprises have many bands to do, and every adjustment can pay attention to leading enterprises.
Fund investors still need to wait.
Brokerage business:
A few sectors have relatively low valuations, but have not performed well in the near future.
You can continue to vote, which is currently at an all-time low.
I don't want to make big money yet. It doesn't matter. Fund investment time is relatively long, and the brokerage sector is one of the few that can be fixed at present.
China-EU connectivity:
The valuation is very low, but there are also many negatives. Policy pressure, adjustment can be concerned, leading enterprises and industry funds can.
But don't chase after the heights.
Because this set is quite uncertain, we should play slowly.
Medicine:
Before the pharmaceutical sector fell below 2000 points, it was repeatedly suggested that the pharmaceutical sector was undervalued.
After a round of rebound, the valuation is still not high
If adjusted, you can invest in the pharmaceutical sector.
This sector may take a long time, but the pharmaceutical sector below 2000 points has long-term investment opportunities.
Defense space:
The national defense sector performed well in the short term. Before, the sector index fell to 1 100, with high investment value and a relatively fast short-term rebound.
It is not recommended to chase high for the time being, and then pay attention after adjustment.
This sector deserves long-term attention. As long as you don't chase high, it's easier to make money.
Automobile board
Talk about today's automobile industry.
This sector has always been strong. Before the automobile industry was saturated, the automobile was a high-growth and high-consumption department.
There are a large number of white horse stocks, high-quality stocks.
After the automobile industry was saturated, the concept of new energy vehicles was born.
Therefore, the automobile sector has not only performed well in recent years, but also the historical trend of the automobile sector has always been excellent, with new highs appearing after each adjustment.
Let's make a complete replica.
From 2005 to 2008, the big bull market rose by 624%.
In 2008, the adjustment rate decreased by 78%.
From 2009 to 10, it increased by 393%.
From 10 to 13, it dropped by 50%.
14- 15 The big bull market rose by 273%.
/kloc-the annual decline in 0/5 was 48%.
16—— 18 Slow cattle increased by 64.7% in three years.
From 18 to 19, it dropped by 38%.
19-2 1 annual growth 123%.
2 1 This round of adjustment has fallen by 40% at most, and has recently started to rebound.
Through the historical trend of the plate, we can see that although the overall performance of the automobile plate is good, the overall saturation influence of the automobile industry is still great.
It is not easy for the automobile industry to make money from 17, and the net profit of many enterprises has stopped.
The statistics of the automobile sector also started in 2005, with the largest increase in history 1575%.
Compared with the hot sectors such as semiconductors, liquor, medicine, food and beverage, it is still worse, and the biggest increase is not within the range of 20-30 times.
The cumulative increase of about 50% is missing.
After 15, the gap with various hot plates is particularly obvious.
From 16 to 18, Slow Cattle increased by 64.7% in three years, and many other popular sectors were 100%-200%.
From 19 to 2 1, it increased by 123%, and the new energy and semiconductor sectors increased by 200%-400%.
It can be seen that the weakness of performance is also reflected in the technical aspect.
Without the concept of new energy vehicles, the automobile industry is likely to be completely backward.
Plate adjustment will basically be adjusted by about 40-50% every time, which is sufficient.
This round of adjustment to 40% began to rebound sharply, with 30%, 40% and 50% in previous rounds.
Basically, when the plate is adjusted to more than 40%, you can start to pay attention. When it is adjusted to more than 50%, the lower limit of comparison will be adjusted.
It is rare that the super bear market fell by more than 70% in 2008.
At present, the automobile sector is mainly supported by vehicle companies.
Parts, tires, etc. Don't take up so much.
There is no new energy vehicle fire in traditional cars, and new energy vehicles account for a high proportion in the automobile field.
The weakness of the automobile plate is obviously a performance problem.
Traditional car performance can't keep up.
The performance of new energy vehicles is not reflected.
This is the embarrassing situation in the automobile field at present.
If you want to invest in the automobile industry
It is suggested to pay attention to the new energy vehicle sector directly, and it would be better to exclude traditional vehicles.
Moreover, the core parts of auto parts and new energy are more prosperous than traditional vehicles.
Both funds and stocks should be biased towards new energy sources, and the core part should be selected. The whole car is not that big.
usually
Automobile is an important consumption, but industry saturation has a great influence on vehicle performance.
The new energy vehicle, a sub-sector with a high degree of prosperity, is slowly eroding the market share of traditional cars.
The plate will still be a little weaker than other popular plates.
Not necessarily for individual stocks, especially those closely related to new energy and core components. The performance is to follow the new energy sector.
This is a point that we need to pay attention to when screening the automobile sector.
Analysis hint
Never mechanically copy the specific time and place, because these will change with the changes of the market, and it is impossible to help each other.
The last point is the position control problem. It is best to buy it bit by bit.
That is, according to this monthly and weekly fixed investment.
It is important not to invest too much at once.
Because how long it takes to adjust is an analysis, it is king to have enough money in hand to slowly add positions.
Let's call it a day.
Don't forget to praise the stock friends who are reading books and support them.
I wish my favorite friends peace and joy and benefit from Niu Niu.
Your praise is the biggest motivation that I share every day.
The following are the main points of fund investment
Matters needing attention in fund investment:
1, fund management fee+custody fee is very high compared with stock trading fee! Not the same as stocks! So don't invest and trade funds with short-term thinking!
2. Fund investment is not suitable for short-term trading (so it needs to be considered from long-term valuation).
3. Fund position management (5-8 funds of the same type are enough, and the position of a single fund should not exceed 10% as far as possible).
4, the risk of the fund is no less than that of the stock, so don't invest casually (the fund loses money as fast as it does).
5, keep more cash, investment funds are a long stream, you must have enough fixed investment funds, you can't breed horses.
6. Fund investment is slow and fast, steady and accurate, steady and hard, and slow down the fortune, which is very suitable for describing fund investment.
Fund investment guide, for friends who like to invest in funds.
In the industry, there are funds worthy of long-term attention.
Big technology (Internet, new energy, semiconductors, chips, new materials)
Large consumption (food and beverage, medicine, medical care, liquor)
Big finance (brokers, banks, insurance)
High-end manufacturing (consumer electronics, military industry, household appliances)
Recycling industry (nonferrous metals, scarce resources, chemicals, aquaculture)
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
Index funds deserve long-term attention.
SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 100, Venture Market, Shuangchuang 50, Hang Seng Index, Standard & Poor's 500, Nasdaq
The ranking is mainly based on valuation changes.
If you are interested in fund investment, you can study the above funds.
It must be much better than picking some strange funds at random.
Index funds have low management costs and stable long-term returns, which are suitable for all investors.
Don't be superstitious about any fund manager. Any fund that is expensive will lose money.
The key to fund investment is to invest slowly and hold it for a long time when the market is in a downturn.
The industry is very hot, don't chase it when it rises sharply.
As long as it is a high-quality fund that invests slowly in the downturn, the annualized income in 2-5 years will be very good.
Investment funds must be patient.