The question of why skyrocketing stocks are often poor-performing stocks rather than blue-chip stocks is not rigorous. There are both blue-chip stocks and poor-performing stocks among skyrocketing stocks.
It's just that the contrast between stocks that have skyrocketed and poor performance is too great and attracts more attention, so it is easy to form the impression that the stocks that have skyrocketed are all stocks with poor performance.
Why do some stocks in this stock market perform very well but do not rise but fall, and some stocks do not fall but rise instead of falling when they perform very poorly or even lose money?
To understand these phenomena, we must first understand what are the factors that affect the rise and fall of stock prices? I remember someone once said that there are three main factors that affect the operation of stocks, one is fundamentals, the other is technical, and the third is chips.
noodle.
Regarding the influence that determines the rise and fall of stock prices, fundamentals account for 10%, technical aspects account for 10%, and chips account for 80%.
Did you see that the chips play the most important role?
There is a saying that if the chips are in the hands of the main force, the huge disadvantages will not fall; if the chips are in the hands of retail investors, the huge profits will not rise.
Seeing this, some people will say, isn’t this simple? Can’t I just follow the main chip? You said it is easy. The analysis of the chip surface is the most difficult, and the information about the chips is not completely public, such as
Public funds that are relatively open and transparent only release their position data once every quarter.
Not to mention other things.
The northbound funds that we often see are used as a stock market indicator, not because it really has much influence on the market, but because it is the only fund that publishes data every day. With the data, everyone can analyze it accordingly.
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There was a scandal involving the private equity big V Ye Mou, who also mentioned that in their ecological environment, if a main force wants to dominate the operation of a stock, he can cooperate with a listed company and get at least
List of top 200 investors.
This is the name of the chip structure, and it is very important data. After reading the data, the main force will know clearly which ones are friends and which strangers need to be washed away, and it is also convenient for making plans.
The only opportunity for ordinary people to pry into chip data is the Dragon and Tiger List data released daily by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. This is real data.
This market has methods to speculate on hot topics and strong strategies, and it has leading strategies. The essence of this market is just to follow the main force and follow the chips, which is derived from the market ecological environment.
Seeing this, there seems to be a question. Why don't the main players directly speculate in high-performing stocks when they are so smart, but choose to speculate in low-performing stocks? This problem is also very complicated.
Everyone wants good stocks. The problem is that there is competition between the main players and the main players will fight to the death.
Those with the strongest research capabilities in the market are institutions, public funds, etc. They have already researched every stock in the market. Those blue-chip stocks with excellent performance have long been the standard allocation of various institutions and funds, and each company will allocate some.
Whether it's social security or funds, most of these institutions are long-term investors and don't care about short-term rises and falls.
The other type of funds, large and small, are short-term investors who want to make quick money. If they rashly break into the stock positions where institutions are ambushing them and pull them up wantonly, they will inevitably be tricked by institutions and come back defeated. In the end, they are
Make wedding clothes for others.
Most of the skyrocketing stocks on the market were speculated by hot money, and the targets of the speculation were carefully selected. Not just any stock can be speculated. Some will be stricken, and some may face the risk of delisting. They will not go there.
Being taken advantage of.
After all, funds are limited, and the market value of the selected target cannot be too large. It must have a hot topic, even if it is a hot topic, it must be able to catch up, and it is best not to have any rivals ambush.
As for performance losses, it depends on the situation.
Just like a poor student in the class, if he still has the will to improve, wants to study hard, and is not too stupid. The learning environment he is in also encourages everyone to work hard and strive for the top, and there are people who are willing to help him, then why don't I bet on him?
He will definitely be among the best in the future and become an honors student. As for whether he can become an honors student in the future, that is a matter for the future. At least now I can have great expectations.
After all, there is a lot of room for improvement from a poor student to an excellent student, and this process can be endlessly imagined.
The stock market is originally based on expectations, and the logic of speculating on poorly performing stocks is similar to this.
Of course, you absolutely can’t have the kind of broken jar.
So if no one pulls up the blue chip stocks, will they stop rising? Of course not. The blue chip stocks invested by institutions lead follow the expected performance. When the performance is announced, the performance has already been realized, and it has already risen before.
In the later period, the performance gradually realized a gradual increase.
If you observe carefully, some stocks led by institutions can rise several times in a year, but they are not soaring and hitting daily limits, so they are not very noticeable.
The expectations of institutions are deterministic, different from the hazy expectations of hot money.
But there is one situation that everyone will rush to get involved in. That is when it exceeds expectations, exceeds everyone's expectations, and the performance grows rapidly, and everyone is rushing to get this profit margin.
Whether a stock should rise or fall, the actual situation is still very complicated.
For example, everyone wants a good stock, but if you don’t know what is good about it, you may be fooled. Oh, this stock will depreciate in the future. Don’t hold it. If you give me a discount, I will lose less.
Also do good deeds.
If you sell, then you may really have let go of a chicken that can lay golden eggs.
Another example is that a fund has a heavy position in a high-quality stock, but suddenly encounters a large redemption, then it has to sell it to let others take advantage.
The same is true for top buying and selling.
Therefore, low-performing stocks are soaring, while high-performing stocks are not. This is just a topic, and the actual situation is far more complicated.