First do as my friends on the second floor say, and then take out 1/3 from my available money and put it into the stock account for actual operation. Choose a stock carefully, buy 1/3 first, and then buy 1/3 when it rises. Don't take the rest of the money as the final preparation pair to deal with emergencies. For example, the first decline, 65438. In this way, you are not only trapped by double funds, but also trapped by confidence in time, efficiency and capital use. Sub-warehouse operation can minimize the risk, and only by saving yourself can you make money. Money can't be earned, but it can be compensated. Of course, the most important thing is to learn to choose stocks, mainly by looking at fundamentals, and then cooperating with technical aspects when buying.
Chromium energy index
Calculation method:
First, the strong cumulative sum HIGHN and the weak cumulative sum LOWN are counted in n days. If the highest price on a certain day is higher than yesterday's middle price, the difference between today's highest price and yesterday's middle price will be accumulated in HIGHN; If the lowest price on a certain day is lower than yesterday's middle price, the difference between yesterday's middle price and today's lowest price will accumulate to the middle and low price.
By default, the system draws four lines on the subgraph, namely, the 26th CR, and the 5th moving average MA 1, 10 moving average MA2 and 20th moving average MA3 of CR.
Apply rules:
CR's personality is between AR and BR, and closer to BR. Generally speaking, CR is lower than 100, so there is little buying risk.
KDJ stochastics
The Chinese name of KDJ indicator is stochastics, which was initiated by GeorgeLane. The formula is: n-day RSV = (CT-HN)/(HN-LN) ×100; Where Ct is the closing price of the day; Hn and Ln are the highest and lowest prices in recent N days (including today).
K line
K-line chart, also known as candle line, yin-yang line or bar line, was originally used by Japanese rice market businessmen to record the fluctuation of rice market. Later, because of its unique drawing method, it was widely cited in the stock market and futures market.
K-line graphically represents the increase and decrease and transformation process of the strength of buyers and sellers and the actual combat results. After nearly a hundred years of use and improvement, K-line theory has been widely accepted by investors.
Painting method:
The opening price and closing price of K-line are expressed in entities. If the closing price is higher than the opening price, it is represented by a hollow entity, which is called a red line or a positive line; If the closing price is lower than the opening price, it is represented by a black entity called a black line or a negative line. If the highest price of the day is higher than the entity, a thin line is added above the entity, which is called the upper shadow line; When the lowest price of the day is lower than the entity, a thin line is added below the entity, which is called the shadow line. Generally speaking, the longer the upper shadow line, the greater the downward pressure; The longer the shadow line, the greater the upward support of the market. K-line entities represent intensive trading areas.
MACD Smoothing Similarities and Differences Moving Average
Moving average convergence and divergence
Similarities and differences smma, or MACD for short, is a technical analysis tool recently established in the United States. MACD absorbs the advantages of EMA. It is very effective to use the moving average to judge the timing of buying and selling when the trend is obvious, but if there is a cowhide consolidation market, the signal will be frequent and inaccurate. MACD developed according to the principle of moving average overcomes the defect of frequent false signals of moving average and ensures the greatest success of moving average.
Calculation method:
MACD is to calculate the smma (moving average) difference of two indexes with different speeds (long-term and medium-term) as the basis for judging the market.
1. First, calculate the closing price HORT daily index smma and long daily index smma respectively, and record them as EMA (short position) and EMA (long position) respectively.
2. Find out the difference between smma of these two indices, namely:
DIFF = EMA (short)-EMA (long)
3. Then calculate the smma of DIFF's daily index, and record it as DEA.
4. Finally, subtract DEA from DIFF to get MACD. MACD is usually plotted as a column chart fluctuating around the zero axis.
DIFF and DEA form two moving average lines, fast and slow, and the trading signal also depends on the intersection of these two lines. Obviously, MACD is a medium-and long-term investment technology tool.
By default, when the short line = 12, the long line =26 and the middle line =9, the system will draw the difference line, DEA line and MACD line (column line).
Apply rules:
1, DIFF and DEA are both positive values, that is, when they are all above the zero axis, the megatrend belongs to a bull market, and DIFF breaks through DEA upwards and can be bought.
2.DIFF and DEA are both negative numbers, that is, when both are below the zero axis, the general trend is short market, and DIFF can be sold when it falls below DEA.
3. When the trend of DEA line deviates from the trend of K line, it is a reverse signal.
4.DEA has a high error rate in the game, but if it cooperates with RSI and KD, it can make up for the deficiency appropriately.
5. Analyze the MACD column chart. When it changes from positive to negative, it often indicates selling, and vice versa, it is often a buying signal.
OBV energy tide
The energy tide is to quantify the trading volume and make it a trend line. With the trend line of stock price, we can infer the market atmosphere from the relationship between price change and volume increase and decrease. Its main theoretical basis is that the change of market price must be coordinated with trading volume, and the fluctuation of stock price is closely related to the expansion or contraction of trading volume. Under normal circumstances, the trading volume required for stock price rise is always large; When it goes down, the turnover is always small. If the price rises and falls without the corresponding rise and fall of trading volume, the change of market price is unsustainable.
Calculation method
Based on a certain day, the daily trading volume of listed stocks is accumulated day by day. If the index or stock rises the next day, the base period OBV plus today's trading volume is today's OBV. If the index or stock falls every other day, the base period OBV minus today's trading volume is today's OBV. Generally speaking, it doesn't make much sense to just observe the rise and fall of OBV, and it has practical effect only with the trend of K-line chart.
Apply rules:
1. When the stock price rises and the OBV line falls, it means that buying is weak and the stock price may fall back.
2. When the stock price falls, the OBV line rises, indicating that buying is strong, and the stock price may stop falling and rebound.
3.OBV line rises slowly, indicating that buying gas is gradually strengthened, which is a buying signal.
4. When the OBV line rises rapidly, it means that the strength will be exhausted, which is a selling signal.
5.OBV line shows the determination of the second peak of double peaks in a relatively standard way. When the stock price starts to fall from the first peak of the double top and rises again, if the OBV line can rise synchronously with the stock price trend and the volume and price match, the bull market will continue and a higher peak will appear. On the other hand, when the stock price rises again, the OBV line fails to cooperate synchronously, but falls, which may form a second peak and complete the double-top pattern, leading to a reversal of the stock price.
6. When the OBV line changes from positive cumulative number to negative number, it is a downward trend and the stock should be sold. On the contrary, when the OBV line turns from negative cumulative number to positive number, you should buy stocks.
7. The biggest purpose of the 7.OBV line is to observe when the stock market breaks away from the broader market and the future trend after the breakthrough. The change direction of OBV line is an important reference index.
relative strength index (RSI)
Relative strength index
According to the theory of relative strength index, in a normal stock market, the stock price can be stable only if the strength of both sides is balanced.
Calculation method:
( 1)
(2)
RS in the formula is also called relative strength value, and the formula (1) limits the change range of strength to 0 ~ 100.
By default, the system draws three lines on the subgraph, which are RSI 1 on the 6th day, RSI2 on the12nd day and RSI3 on the 24th day.
RSI reflects four factors of stock price changes: the days of rising, the days of falling, the range of rising and the range of falling. It considers all four components of stock price, so its accuracy in stock price prediction is more credible.
According to the theory of normal distribution, the probability of random variables appearing near the central value is the greatest, and the farther away from the central value, the smaller the probability.
In the long-term development of the stock market, the relative strength index changes between 30 and 70 most of the time, of which 40 and 60 have the most chances, and the chances of exceeding 80 or below 20 are less. The smallest probability is higher than 90 and lower than 10.
Apply rules:
The RSI value of 1 and 66 days is higher than 85, and the market is overbought; On the 6th, the RSI was lower than 15, and the market was oversold. M heads can be sold around 85, and W heads can be bought around 15.
2. Below 2.RSI is a weak market, and above 50 is a strong market.
3. The accuracy of 3.RSI above 50 is high.
4. RSI is higher than the bottom during consolidation, indicating that the bulls are strong and the market outlook may rise for a while. Conversely, if the bottom is lower than the bottom, it is a sell signal.
5. If the stock price is still in the consolidation stage and RSI has been sorted out, the price will break through the sorting area.
6. When RSI deviates from the stock price, it is generally a signal of change. It represents a reversal of the general trend. At this time, it is necessary to choose the right trading opportunity.
Combine the fast and slow RSI lines to determine the trading opportunity: 6 days and 12 days RSI are used together. When the RSI line breaks through 12 RSI on the 6th, it is a buy signal. When the RSI line falls below the RSI 12 on the 6th, it is a sell signal. Especially when RSI is below the low 30, the buy signal and sell signal above the high 70 are extremely reliable.
7. When the back pressure line (downward trend line) of RSI diagram shows 15 to 30 degrees, it has the most back pressure significance. If the angle of the back pressure line is too steep, it will break quickly and lose the meaning of back pressure. On the contrary, when the support line (upward trend line) of RSI chart is negative 15 degrees to negative 30 degrees, it has the most supporting significance. If the angle of the support line is too steep, it is easy to break and lose its support significance.
ROC change rate
rate of change
This is a way to measure price momentum. The rate of change fluctuates around zero. If ROC is above zero and continues to rise, it means that the upward momentum continues to increase. If the ROC value is above zero, but it is currently in a downward trend, it shows that the upward momentum has weakened and the selling point has appeared. If the ROC value is below zero, and the ROC continues to decrease, it means that the "downward momentum" is still increasing. On the other hand, if the ROC reverses and rises, it means that the "downward momentum" is weakened and the buying point appears.
Calculation method:
The difference between the closing price of the day and the closing price before N is divided by the closing price before N, and then multiplied by 100. The default value of n is 12.
Apply rules:
1. When ROC falls below 0 from top to bottom, it is a selling opportunity, and when ROC breaks through 0 from bottom to top, it is a buying signal.
2. When the stock price hits a new high, but ROC does not cooperate with the rise, it shows that the upward momentum is weakened. Care should be taken to prevent this deviation from reversing the stock price.
3. When the stock price hits a new low and ROC fails to cooperate with the decline, it means that the downward momentum is weakened. This deviation should be accepted on dips.
4. If the stock price and ROC rise synchronously at a low level, it means that the short-term trend is normal or there will be a stock price rebound in the short term.
5. If the stock price and ROC fall synchronously at a high level, it means that the short-term trend is normal or the stock price will fall back in the short term.
BOLL bolling line
Calculation method:
Cotton boll belt draws support line (bottom), resistance line (top) and center line.
Midline: closing price N moving average.
Offset value = p× standard deviation of closing price
The center line plus the offset value of the resistance line and the support line minus the offset value.
Parameter: n Sets the number of statistical days, and the default value is 26.
P Set the BOLL band width, and the default value is 2.
Apply rules:
1, the stock price crosses the support line to buy the signal.
2. The stock price crosses the resistance line and sells the signal.
VOL volume
K-line chart, if the closing price of the day is higher than the closing price of the previous day, it is represented by a hollow column; Instead, it is represented by a solid column.
Outstanding rights and interests
Is the total amount held by the contract market of the futures product.
Momentum line
It is based on the principle of constant speed. In the upward trend, the increase in each period should be consistent, and in the downward trend, the decrease in each period should be consistent. If the amplitude is inconsistent, it often means that the trend may be reversed. Algorithm and formula: MOM = today's closing price-closing price n days ago.
BBI long and short index
Calculation method:
Three-day average index (stock price) plus six-day average index (stock price) plus twelve-day average index (stock price) plus twenty-four-day average index (stock price), and divide by four. By default, the system draws BBI lines on the main map.
Apply rules:
1. All functions of the long and short indicator line are the same as those of the moving average.
2. Prepare to sell when the closing price of the high-priced area falls below the long-short indicator line.
3. When the closing price of the low-priced area breaks through the long-short indicator line, prepare to buy.
4. When the stock price of the day is on the long-short indicator line, it is a short-short market, and when the stock price of the day is below the long-short indicator, it is a short-short market.
The long-short indicator line is upward, and the stock price above the long-short indicator represents a strong bullish trend.
The long-short indicator line is down, and the stock price below the long-short indicator represents a strong short position.
Negative quantitative index
Negative volume index
Like a positive indicator, it is an indicator calculated according to the change of trading volume and the rise and fall of stock price. An increase in NVI indicates weakness. This indicator can set an average. It can be explained that "eye-catching funds" have entered the market before the public has found the market direction. These funds may be insiders or big investors. Studying the trend of negative indicators will have a certain guiding role for the market outlook.
Algorithms and formulas:
If the turnover today is less than yesterday.
NVI = the previous day's NVI+ 100 * increase or decrease.
Otherwise, NVI = the previous day's NVI.
Application principle:
1. When the NVI indicator crosses its moving average downward, it is a buy signal.
2. When the NVI indicator crosses its moving average upwards, it is a sell signal.
Deviation rate
If the stock price is above the moving average, the deviation rate is positive, and vice versa; When the stock price is the same as the average value, the deviation rate is zero. The deviation rate shuttles back and forth above or below zero. It can be seen from the long-term graphic changes that the selling time is when the positive deviation rate is above a certain percentage, and the buying time is when the negative deviation rate is below a certain percentage. The skyrocketing bull market and the plunging bear market will make the good high rate reach an unexpected percentage, but it appears very rarely and for a short time.
Calculation method:
By default, the system draws three lovely downlines on the secondary diagram, namely day 6, day 12, day 24, BIAS 1, BIAS2 and BIAS3.
Apply rules:
Judging from the calculation method, the deviation rate represents the difference between the closing price of an index or individual stock and the moving average. For example, the ten-day deviation rate indicates the buyer's profit in the last 10 day. The greater the positive deviation rate, the greater the short-term profit, and the higher the possibility of profit taking. The greater the negative deviation rate, the higher the possibility of short covering.
To what extent is the right time to buy? Without a unified principle, users can only judge the strength of a market by experience as the basis for buying and selling stocks.
Price line
It's a closing line without a K-line.
Opening k-line
It is the K-line chart drawn by the opening price.
OBV energy tide
The energy tide is to quantify the trading volume and make it a trend line. With the trend line of stock price, we can infer the market atmosphere from the relationship between price change and volume increase and decrease. Its main theoretical basis is that the change of market price must be coordinated with trading volume, and the fluctuation of stock price is closely related to the expansion or contraction of trading volume. Under normal circumstances, the trading volume required for stock price rise is always large; When it goes down, the turnover is always small. If the price rises and falls without the corresponding rise and fall of trading volume, the change of market price is unsustainable.
Calculation method
Based on a certain day, the daily trading volume of listed stocks is accumulated day by day. If the index or stock rises the next day, the base period OBV plus today's trading volume is today's OBV. If the index or stock falls every other day, the base period OBV minus today's trading volume is today's OBV. Generally speaking, it doesn't make much sense to just observe the rise and fall of OBV, and it has practical effect only with the trend of K-line chart.
Apply rules:
1. When the stock price rises and the OBV line falls, it means that buying is weak and the stock price may fall back.
2. When the stock price falls, the OBV line rises, indicating that buying is strong, and the stock price may stop falling and rebound.
3.OBV line rises slowly, indicating that buying gas is gradually strengthened, which is a buying signal.
4. When the OBV line rises rapidly, it means that the strength will be exhausted, which is a selling signal.
5.OBV line shows the determination of the second peak of double peaks in a relatively standard way. When the stock price starts to fall from the first peak of the double top and rises again, if the OBV line can rise synchronously with the stock price trend and the volume and price match, the bull market will continue and a higher peak will appear. On the other hand, when the stock price rises again, the OBV line fails to cooperate synchronously, but falls, which may form a second peak and complete the double-top pattern, leading to a reversal of the stock price.
6. When the OBV line changes from positive cumulative number to negative number, it is a downward trend and the stock should be sold. On the contrary, when the OBV line turns from negative cumulative number to positive number, you should buy stocks.
7. The biggest purpose of the 7.OBV line is to observe when the stock market breaks away from the broader market and the future trend after the breakthrough. The change direction of OBV line is an important reference index.
Closing price
The closing price refers to the transaction price generated by call auction within five minutes before the closing of the futures contract. If there is no transaction price in call auction, the closing price shall be the last transaction price before call auction.
W&R william index
Williams overbought/oversold index
The full name is "William overbought and oversold index", which belongs to the technical index to analyze the short-term trading trend of the market.
Calculation method:
HN:n-day maximum price
Ln: the lowest price in n days
C: closing price of the day
N: The default value is 14.
The value of William index fluctuates between 0- 100. The smaller the value of William index, the heavier the buying power in the market. The greater its value, the stronger the market for selling natural gas.
Apply rules:
1. When the William indicator line is higher than 80, the market is oversold and the market is about to bottom out. The horizontal line of 80 is generally called the selling line.
2. When the William indicator line is below 20, the market is oversold and the market is about to peak. The horizontal line of 20 is generally called the "buy line".
3. When used together with relative strength indicators, give full play to their complementary role in judging strong and weak market and speculation, and you can get a more accurate judgment on the trend of big market.
4. William index and dynamic indicators can be used together to confirm the peaks and valleys of stock prices in the same period of the stock market cycle.
Using William index as a tool to measure the market, it is not easy to miss the big market, nor easy to get stuck in the high-priced area. However, because this indicator is too sensitive, it is best to judge it together with relatively mild indicators such as relative strength index in the operation process.
PSY psychological line
Psychological line mainly studies the psychological tendency of investors, and converts the psychological fact that investors tend to be buyers or sellers in a certain period into numerical values, forming popularity indicators, thus judging the future trend of stock prices. Generally 12 is a short-term investment index, and the 24th is a medium-term investment index.
Calculation method
Taking the N-day psychological line as an example, its calculation method is as follows:
Psychological line =(N days /N)× 100
By default, the system draws 12 psychological lines on the auxiliary map.
It is best to compare the psychological line with the K line, so that we can better understand the overbought or oversold situation from the stock price changes.
From the psychological point of view, when a rising market starts, there are usually two oversold lows. Therefore, if investors observe the psychological line and find that the oversold phenomenon is serious on a certain day, the probability of falling below this point in the short term is extremely small. When the psychological line changes upwards and falls back to this point again, it is an opportunity to buy. Or vice versa, Dallas is in the audience. Therefore, there will be more than two trading points before the rising or falling market starts, so that investors have sufficient time to judge the direction of future stock price changes and then make the final decision of entry and exit.
Apply rules:
1, usually the oversold low will appear twice before a rising market starts. Similarly, before the decline begins, the highest point of overbought will appear twice.
2. The range of psychological line index is between 25 and 75, which belongs to normal distribution.
3. Over 75 or below 25, there will be overbought or oversold. At the beginning of the big short market, the overbought selling point can be adjusted to be higher than 83 and lower than 17, and then adjusted back to 75,25 until the market ends.
4. When it is lower than 10, it is really oversold and the probability of rebound is relatively high. This is the time to buy.
5. Two high-point intensive appearances are selling signals, and two low-point intensive appearances are buying signals.
6. When the psychological line and the volume ratio (VR) are used together to determine the short-term trading point, the high and low points of each wave can be found.