It is worth noting that although the Shanghai Composite Index has repeatedly fallen below 3,000 points in the past 15 years, the partial stock funds have performed brilliantly for a long time. According to historical statistics, if investors buy partial stock funds when the Shanghai Composite Index falls below 3000 points, most of them can make money. The longer they hold it, the higher the probability of making money. For example, since the Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3,000 points in early 2020, 80% of funds have achieved positive returns; Since it fell below 3,000 points in April 2008, 97% of funds have achieved positive returns, with the highest total return exceeding 4 times.
Most funds beat 3000 points.
For the A-share market in the past decade, the 3000-point Shanghai Composite Index is a symbolic point and an important indicator to judge investor sentiment. Judging from the trend of A shares in the past 15, if short-term shocks around 3000 points are excluded, the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen below 3000 points for eight times.
Although the index revolves around 3000 points, from the performance of partial stock funds, most funds outperform 3000 points. The longer the time, the more money they win.
Choice statistics show that among the 222 active partial stock funds established before April 25th, 2008, only 6 funds failed to achieve positive returns in the past 14 years, accounting for less than 3%. There are 1 19 funds whose total return exceeds 100%, accounting for more than half; There are also 35 funds with a total return of over 200%.
From the perspective of leading funds, the interval return of Yin Hua Fortune Theme Fund is as high as 4. 13 times, HSBC Jintrust Dynamic Strategy Hybrid A is 3.98 times, and Guo Fu Tianhe is 3.93 times.
At the beginning of 20 16, the Shanghai composite index fell below 3000 points again. From the beginning of 20 16 to the present, 1200 of more than 300 partial stock funds have achieved positive returns, accounting for nearly 90%. Among them, the interval return of BOCOM's new return is as high as 4. 17 times, Zhongrong's new economic return is 2.69 times, and the interval returns of funds such as ICBC's strategic transformation, BOCOM trend and Dacheng New Industry all exceed 2.3 times.
If the Shanghai Composite Index falls below 3,000 points in June, 2065,438+2008, nearly 2,400 of the more than 2,600 partial stock funds will achieve positive returns. Among them, the interval income of agricultural bank research selection, ICBC strategic transformation, Dacheng new industry, HSBC Jinxin Zhizao, SDIC UBS Jinbao and other funds all exceeded 2 times. Since it recently fell below 3,000 points in March, 2020, the proportion of funds that have achieved positive returns in the past two years is as high as 80%, among which the income of Agricultural Bank Huili's new energy theme and Dacheng's new industry is as high as 1.5 times.
Greed or fear should be below 3000 points?
The market returned below 3000 points. From the perspective of fund issuance, not only the fundraising period has been extended frequently, but also the funds with partial stock explosions have disappeared. In this case, how should investors lay out the market outlook?
In the eyes of the industry, for investment, the danger is rising and the opportunity is declining. From the historical data, as the market falls below 3000 points, the investment cost performance is gradually improving. If investors focus on long-term investment, it is time to gradually enter the market.
Hu, the fund manager of Fortis Fund's public stock investment department, said that there are many reasons for the recent decline, including the spread of domestic epidemic, the market's concerns about the economic downturn, and the expected increase in the Fed's interest rate hike. Under multiple pressures, the market fluctuated downwards. However, in the medium and long term, the current market valuation is close to the end of 20 18, and the return of valuation contains investment opportunities. In the medium and long term, market opportunities outweigh risks. In the face of market fluctuations, investors should adopt a long-term calm attitude.
In the view of the equity investment team of Changan Fund, under multiple uncertainties, although the market cannot be repaired overnight, the uncertainty of the market has been reflected in
Guo Xiaowen, manager of China Post Science and Technology Innovation Fund, said that in the future, as the steady growth policy continues to exert its strength and the wide credit effect appears, the market will usher in a real market bottom, and industries and stocks with reasonable or undervalued valuations will usher in a trend rebound. In her view, in the past 20 years, China's economy has also faced various challenges. In the current situation where the market is dominated by pessimism, positive observation is more important than hasty judgment.
The investment value below 300 points is gradually emerging. How should investors enter the market? China and Europe indicated that they can make fixed investment according to their own economic situation. In the past, it was only when the Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3000 points that it began to vote. When the Shanghai Composite Index returns to 3000 points, most investors can get better returns because of the existence of the "smile curve" of fixed investment. For example, from June 2008 to July 2009, when the Shanghai Composite Index broke through 3,000 points again, it achieved a return of 3 1.64%. 2065438+June 2008, the Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3000 points, and a fixed investment will be made. By March 20 19, when the Shanghai Composite Index breaks through 3000 points again, it will get a return of 12.44438+0%. If you invest in Public Offering of Fund with excess returns, you can get better returns.
Related Q&A: Where can I see Alipay Fund in 3000? It's not 3000 points for Alipay Fund, but 3000 points for Shanghai Composite Index. You can see it on the main interface of Alipay.