Recently, various places have intensively introduced supporting policies to encourage childbirth, which shows that increasing the fertility rate is becoming common sense, and the encouragement policies are likely to continue to evolve.

However, judging from global cases, increasing the fertility rate cannot be achieved overnight, and we must be prepared for a protracted war.

Beijing's Chaoyang District recently issued an announcement to start organizing housing selection for waiting families with "a large number of minor children". Families with multiple children can directly rent public rental housing without having to wait for a long time. This shows that the local government has begun to allocate welfare housing from the aspect of welfare housing.

Focusing on families with many children, future public housing policies are likely to continue to favor families with many children.

Not only public rental housing, but also commercial housing, there may also be preferential policies for families with many children.

Housing is a scarce resource in major cities, especially first-tier cities, and many families are trapped in housing problems.

In addition to housing, there are also various policy incentives, such as extending maternity leave and paternity leave, and directly providing a certain amount of financial subsidies to families with children, the latter of which is particularly concerning.

Currently, the annual subsidy ranges from 10,000 yuan to 3 years old.

There are also some local villages that voluntarily donate to establish subsidy funds to encourage those who have children.

The reason why direct monetary subsidies have attracted attention is that there are concerns about the emergence of people who will work full-time to have children in order to receive subsidies, which will undoubtedly change the flavor of the incentive policy.

However, the current subsidy level will not lead to the emergence of full-time childbearers.

As a birth unit, the family has its own economic accounts.

On the one hand, the policy should reduce the burden on families, and on the other hand, it should also provide direct benefits to families with many children.

Families with multiple children are at a disadvantage in social competition. This disadvantageous position must be changed through policy guidance and preferential policies.

In addition to food, clothing, housing, transportation, travel, shopping and entertainment, people's daily expenses also include education, among which food, clothing, housing and transportation are hard expenses. The government can make a fuss about housing and food, and can also actively guide areas with high public expenditures such as education.

The proportion of direct subsidies should be reduced to avoid the situation of poorer people getting worse.

Childbirth subsidies and preferential policies are more attractive to low-income families, but from the perspective of the country's financial resources, it is difficult for the subsidies to be high enough to change the middle class's desire to have children.

Childbirth will occupy a human resource, and with the modern division of labor breaking up the family unit, it is difficult to reduce costs.

Nowadays, many situations have fundamentally changed. After having no worries about survival, people are not very enthusiastic about having more children, and having more children and grandchildren is no longer a sign of social success.

Data from the seventh census show that China's total fertility rate in 2020 is 1.3, which is at a relatively low level. Only a total fertility rate higher than 2 can maintain the number of people in the population.

Population is very important for maintaining economic vitality and economic scale. It is very important for a large country to maintain a certain number of people. It should be guided by a total population target. This requires long-term efforts.

At present, policies should focus on soft guidance. For example, the above-mentioned local encouragement policies can at least make families with multiple children feel valued by society, guide families during the childbearing period to change their concepts, and make having more children become a healthy and positive behavior in public opinion.