According to the Meteorological Observatory, since July, 20021,the SST in the equatorial Middle East Pacific has been decreasing continuously, and a La Nina event with weak to moderate intensity will be formed in winter. But the arrival of La Nina phenomenon does not mean that this year is a cold winter.
The Meteorological Center announced the average winter temperature level during the recent 15 La Nina events in history. The data shows that in the recent 15 La Nina events, not all La Nina years have cold winters.
Winter analysis in 2022
The winter temperature in 10 La Nina year is low, and the winter temperature in the other five La Nina years is high, which means that the probability of cold winter temperature is high when La Nina phenomenon occurs. But in fact, cold only means that the average temperature is low, not completely "cold winter." For example, there was a moderate La Nina event in 2020.
But last winter was actually a "warm winter". Therefore, it is actually a very complicated matter to define whether it is a cold winter or a warm winter. In a word, it's already 1 1 month, so you just need to keep warm. After all, whether it is warm winter or cold winter, it is still cold on the whole.