This is a book written by James Montier of the United States, and is rated as one of the 22 financial masterpieces that Wall Streeters must read.
In the book, the author teaches investors how to avoid becoming their own worst enemy?
Benjamin Graham, the godfather of Wall Street, said: "The primary problem investors face, and even their biggest enemy in investing, is probably themselves." Cognitive biases, emotion-driven and overconfidence are three typical behavioral flaws among investors.
Performance.
In this book, the author explains common behavioral biases and psychological flaws and provides simple and effective strategies to avoid them.
Prepare in advance, make a plan and follow the plan, conduct investment research in a calm state, and then act strictly according to the plan, avoid the impact of emotional fluctuations, focus on gaining insights into the current situation, and do not try to predict the future. When investing, focus on the process rather than the results...
…Beware of impulsiveness: Strategies for planning and following through.
Who is afraid of a bear market: Investing begins when fear strikes.
Be wary of over-optimism, be optimistic in life and pessimistic in investment.
Beware the experts: Confidence does not equal correctness.
Predictions are foolish, don't predict, let alone follow predictions.
Be wary of information overload and identify the signal from the noise.
Turn off the bubble view, market fluctuations equal opportunities.
Be wary of turning a blind eye, not listening, and work hard to prove yourself wrong.
Give up sunk costs, if things change, my heart will change too.
The temptation of stories, touching stories, shocking reality.
Be wary of predictable surprises and you may have an advantage over professional investors.
Investors should remember that bubbles are a by-product of human behavior, and human behavior is predictable. Bubbles and their bursting are obviously not black swans. The time when a bubble finally bursts is always full of uncertainty, but the pattern of the bursting event itself is predictable.
expected.
Sometimes what matters is not how low the probability of a market situation turning bad is, but what the consequences will be if it actually happens.
Be wary of hindsight bias and keep a record of your mistakes and biases.
John Kenneth Galbraith said: Financial memories are extremely brief, so financial disasters are quickly forgotten.
Self-attribution bias refers to people's habit of attributing good results to their own skills as an investor, and blaming bad results on other people or things.
We need to keep a written record of the decisions we make and the reasons behind them, which can be called an investment diary. Soros wrote in "Financial Alchemy": I wrote a diary to record my thoughts in investment decisions in real time.
This endeavor was a huge success financially, my fund has never been in better shape, and it gave me completely different expectations for the future.
An investment diary helps us understand exactly what we really thought at a certain point in the past, rather than re-evaluating it after we know the results. An investment diary is a simple, but very effective way to learn from mistakes.
, and should become the core content of the investment approach.
The Dangers of Investing in ADHD: Never underestimate the value of doing nothing.
If you can't find investment opportunities, your best option is to do nothing.
Buffett once said: Holding cash is uncomfortable, but it is better than doing something stupid.
Inside the Mind of a Lemming: Becoming a Contrarian Investor.
The endowment effect is that once you own something, you usually value it higher than others.
You have to know when to give up: when the time comes to sell.
Process is process, the only thing you can control is the process.
Knowledge does not equal action. Focus on the process and take every step.