Domestic:
Major Event 1: The "Two Sessions" elect a new national leader
The "Two Sessions" in 2008 are unusual. This is the tenth meeting of the party. The first national "Two Sessions" held after the Seventh National Congress is also a re-election meeting held every five years. At the first session of the 11th National People's Congress and the first session of the 11th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, leaders of national institutions and leaders of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference will be elected to form a new government.
Big Event 2: Olympic Games
On August 8, 2008, the 29th Olympic Games will grandly open in Beijing. Athletes from all over the world will compete in 28 sports, There are 302 minor events to compete in. The Beijing Paralympics will be held on September 6.
Major Event 3: 30th Anniversary of Reform and Opening Up
At the end of 1978, the Third Plenary Session of the 11th Central Committee of the Communist Party of my country, which has great historical significance, was held in Beijing, kicking off reform and opening up. , In 2008, our country will celebrate the 30th anniversary of reform and opening up.
The new decision to implement reform and opening up made by the Third Plenary Session of the 11th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has begun China's transformation from "taking class struggle as the key link" to economic construction as the center, from rigidity and semi-rigidity to comprehensive reform, and from being closed to the outside world. A historic transition from semi-closed to open to the outside world. This plenary session is a sign that China has entered a new era of socialist development. Since then, reform and opening up has gone through a magnificent historical process from rural areas to cities, from economic systems to various systems, from domestic invigoration to external opening up, and has blazed a path of socialism with Chinese characteristics. In his speech on New Year's Day this year, Hu Jintao stated that he would systematically review and develop the 30 years of reform and opening up, which will inevitably lead to some singing and dancing.
Big Issue 4: Preventing Inflation
How high will the CPI increase? How stringent will be the government's anti-inflation measures? Judging from a series of measures taken in 2007, the central government will not waver in its determination to tighten monetary policy overall, especially in the first half of the year. In the second half of the year, with the gradual decline of CPI and the completion of the new general election, corresponding policies There will be some looseness.
Big Event 5: Stock Index Futures
Gold futures are finally confirmed to be listed on January 9, 2008. Will the launch of stock index futures be further delayed? Judging from the situation on the first trading day of 2008, the collective sluggishness of large-cap stocks expressed concern about this uncertainty.
Stock index futures are an inevitable product of the development of the stock market to a certain stage, and its introduction is of great significance to the development of my country's stock market and the optimization of financial structure. On the one hand, stock index futures can play a hedging role and hedge against stock market risks and losses; on the other hand, they can also enhance the pricing power of my country's capital market. In recent years, overseas markets have launched various Chinese stock index futures products, which over time may affect the trend of my country's stock market and pose a potential threat to my country's financial security.
Major Event 6: "Shenzhou 7" launches Chinese astronauts for the first space walk
The Shenzhou 7 manned spacecraft will be launched in 2008, when Chinese astronauts will leave the spacecraft for the first time. The time for walking is estimated to be after the Olympics. The launch of "Shenzhou 7" will be another milestone breakthrough in China's manned spaceflight project, and at the same time it will continue the myth of "Shenzhou 5" and "Shenzhou 6". Therefore, the aerospace sector is still worthy of attention.
Major Event 7: Reform of Housing Policy
The promotion and implementation of low-rent housing and affordable housing policies in various places is not only a test of the ruling party’s ability to govern, but also a test of the future. A great test for the real estate market.
Major Event 8: Medical System Reform
The medical system reform has been proposed for several years, but only the sound of the stairs is heard and no one comes down. I hope this people's livelihood policy will be implemented in 2008. It can be effectively promoted after the leadership changes in various places. The state will increase financial investment to support the construction of four major systems: public health system, medical service system, medical security system and drug supply security system covering urban and rural residents, and promote the solution of the problem of difficult and expensive medical treatment.
Topic heading 1 Global economy: The United States is facing a recession crisis
Event: In 2008, the U.S. economy, the locomotive of the global economy, will face the possibility of recession. The main reason for the recession is the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis.
Opinion: With the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, the U.S. economy has been severely affected, the stock market has experienced major turmoil, and the real estate market has suffered heavy losses. In order to prevent a recession in the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve has continuously cut interest rates. However, with the spread of the subprime mortgage crisis, U.S. economic growth has shown signs of slowing down.
Once the U.S. economy slows down significantly or even enters a recession, it will have a great negative impact on the global economy and will have a significant impact on China's exports. In 2008, China's export growth slowed down. It will be about 6 percentage points lower than in 2007. At the same time, European economic growth will also be affected, and the growth rate will drop slightly, which will also have an impact on China's exports.
At present, China's economic growth mainly comes from exports. Once export growth slows down, China's economic growth will rely more on domestic demand.
The country has obviously fully realized the importance of domestic demand to economic growth. Judging from the recent discussion of raising the personal tax threshold, it hopes that residents will have more discretionary income and disposable income. If there are more, consumption will further increase.