International demand is sluggish and export growth is weak; The domestic economy is slowing down and domestic demand is insufficient; New economies such as Southeast Asia have sprung up by virtue of their cost advantages and tariff advantages. Domestic environmental pressure, raw material pressure and new capacity pressure have increased; The benefit is obviously reduced; The structural contradictions and problems within the industry are outstanding ... which makes China Chemical Fiber, a huge industry with output accounting for 70% of the world, fall into unprecedented confusion. How can China Chemical Fiber really shoulder the heavy responsibility of the world's leading chemical fiber brand? How can we really realize the goal of strengthening the country with chemical fiber?

Recently, at the 19th China International Chemical Fiber Conference held in Tongxiang, Zhejiang, Duan Xiaoping, president of China Chemical Fiber Association, pointed out: "The fundamental way to solve the chemical fiber problem in China lies in science and technology. At present, there is an urgent need to transform and upgrade the development mode, enhance the ability of independent innovation and increase the added value of products. "

It is urgent to change the development mode.

When talking about the current recession faced by China Chemical Fiber, Duan Xiaoping summed up the following points: First, the industry benefits have dropped significantly, especially the sales profit rate has dropped from 3.8% last year to 2.8% in the first half of this year. "Chemical fiber is an industry with high input and output and high debt ratio. Therefore, the net asset-liability ratio of 3.8% is very good, but the 2.8% in the first half of this year has indeed dropped significantly. " Second, the operating rate is low. Judging from the operation in the past two years, almost all major chemical fiber varieties are facing the situation of insufficient construction. The worst operating rate of polyester staple fiber has been around 70% since the beginning of last year, and it is close to 65% at the worst, which is significantly lower than the same period last year. But this year, the operating rate of spandex industry has risen sharply, reaching more than 95%. "The operating rate of the whole industry is insufficient, indicating that the products are not so good to sell." Third, although exports increased slightly by 2. 13% year-on-year, the growth rate has dropped sharply, mainly because of the price increase, and the quantity growth is even smaller. "On the one hand, this stems from insufficient demand in foreign markets, and on the other hand, competition mainly comes from new economies. With the advantages of labor costs and tariffs, they are carving up the market that originally belonged to us. China Chemical Fiber's external dependence is close to 40%, and the impact of insufficient external demand on China Chemical Fiber can be imagined. " The last aspect comes from the industry mentality: it is obvious that everyone is unclear about the direction of the macro economy and tends to be pessimistic. China International Chemical Fiber Conference is known as the weather vane of the international chemical fiber industry. It attracts more than 500 people every year, including representatives from all the powerful chemical fiber countries in the world. This year, the number of participants reached a record 700, covering almost all major countries and regions that produce chemical fiber. "It shows that everyone is watching, thinking and inquiring, and wants to see the future development direction." Duan Xiaoping said.

Faced with the above-mentioned unattractive transcripts, Duan Xiaoping thinks that the main reason is the insufficient demand brought by the economic slowdown in China. Gao Yong, vice president of China Textile Industry Association, also holds the same view: "Chemical fiber, as an important basic raw material industry, involves aerospace, national defense industry, automobile industry, medical and health industries. The industrial chain of the chemical fiber industry continues to expand under the new economic development trend. The impact of changes in the national economic situation on related industries will be transmitted to the chemical fiber industry through the industrial chain of the textile industry, and the technological progress of the chemical fiber industry will also affect many fields through end products. " Duan Xiaoping believes that the rapid development of China chemical fiber can not be separated from the background of China's economic golden decade. "In this context, it is impossible to develop rapidly. The invisible hand of the market economy has promoted the rapid development of the chemical fiber industry. " At present, the demand brought by the domestic economic slowdown is insufficient, so it is natural not to stimulate the growth of chemical fiber too much.

Another unavoidable problem is the escape sequence of chemical fiber production capacity. The production capacity of conventional varieties is increasing too fast, which makes the problem of order escape more and more prominent. In the past ten years, the polyester industry has been the biggest beneficiary of technological progress. Our unit investment is one-eighth of that of ten years ago, the construction period is half of the original, the processing cost of products is half of the original, and now the spinning speed is eight times that of ten years ago. Scientific and technological progress has brought a lot of demand to the polyester industry and attracted a lot of investment. The polyester industry has become the most important industry in the chemical fiber industry, accounting for 80% of the chemical fiber production in China. Even in the current situation of insufficient total demand, the polyester industry is still in the inertia growth channel of production capacity, and the total production of polyester projects in the first half of this year exceeded 3 million tons. Xu Kunyuan, honorary president of China Textile Industry Association, said: "It is not backward overcapacity, but the rapid development of equally advanced technology and equipment."

Wang Tiankai, president of China Textile Industry Association, pointed out: "If the industrial transformation and upgrading are completed by increments, it is already incomplete and impossible. As a basic raw material industry, chemical fiber should see the past development path. Many enterprises take advantage of scale to reduce costs. This practice cannot be said to be wrong, and it may still exist in the future, but it is not feasible to complete industrial upgrading in this way without quality improvement. "

Xu Kunyuan also said: "Our entrepreneurs should remember that there are fewer and fewer opportunities for the chemical fiber industry to make big money by one or two machines, or they are gone forever. Talent, technology and capital are the most active factors in the market, which is the way out for development and the magic weapon to maximize profits. "

Scientific and technological progress is the first magic weapon.

In China, economic transformation has been unable to support simple scale expansion, and the chemical fiber industry in traditional developed countries has further shrunk, which has led to a continuous decline in the power and ability of technological progress in the chemical fiber industry. In the future, with the rapid development of science and technology, the technological breakthrough and application development of various high-tech fiber materials as strategic emerging materials will become the commanding heights for textile industries in various countries. In this context, Duan Xiaoping pointed out that the chemical fiber industry must make full use of the favorable opportunity of the development of related industries and technologies, strengthen the transformation and upgrading of high and new technologies to the textile chemical fiber industry, accelerate the innovation and breakthrough of high and new technologies in fiber materials, and enhance the core competitiveness of the industry, so as to truly grasp the initiative in the new round of competition.

To this end, Duan Xiaoping's keynote speech at this meeting was entitled "Scientific and Technological Progress and Chemical Fiber Industry". According to the report, after decades of rapid development, especially in the last decade, China chemical fiber industry has formed a complete industrial chain supporting system, including corresponding scientific research, personnel training and equipment manufacturing departments. It has advanced equipment and technology in the field of conventional fiber production, and its products range from conventional chemical fiber, high-performance chemical fiber to bio-based chemical fiber, which is the country with the widest product coverage and application scope. These advantages have laid a solid foundation for the scientific and technological progress of the chemical fiber industry in China, and are also favorable conditions for the transformation, upgrading and innovative development of the chemical fiber industry in China. The development of chemical fiber industry in China runs through the track of "technological progress", and every technological breakthrough is accompanied by incremental rapid development. Scientific and technological progress has also promoted the structural adjustment of the chemical fiber industry, the economic scale of enterprises has been significantly improved, and industrial technology has been upgraded in an all-round way, which has strong international and domestic market competitiveness. The report discusses the current and future scientific and technological progress of China chemical fiber industry from four aspects: multifunction and high differentiation of conventional fibers, low-cost production and quality improvement of high-performance chemical fibers, research and development of bio-based chemical fibers and raw materials, industrial production and market application, and green and low-carbon production technology of conventional fibers.

In order to put the above theory into practice, the Chemical Fiber Association has already taken a set of effective measures to promote it: using the Hengyi Fund of China Chemical Fiber Association to reward outstanding papers in the chemical fiber industry and provide basic theoretical support for the scientific and technological progress of the industry; Promote the combination of upstream and downstream of the industrial chain with the release of China fiber fashion trend, and create conditions for innovative enterprises to open up markets; Actively do a good job in the standards of chemical fiber association, and make third-party hangtags for new products that have just been listed and have not yet had time to formulate national standards and industry standards to help enterprises publicize and protect intellectual property rights.

Differentiated development is an effective way.

"China's economy is crossing the crossroads. For enterprises, it is necessary to slow down and watch the three levels after crossing the crossroads." Duan Xiaoping said. In his view, the safe way at this stage is to innovate products and take the road of differentiation. "As for the development of quantity, I think it can be slowed down now."

Since taking the road of differentiation, enterprises can try to develop downstream through mergers and acquisitions and lengthen the industrial chain, because the added value of fiber alone will not be too high. Duan Xiaoping specifically mentioned an example: Xuzhou Silk Branch's "One-step Technology and Application Project of Different Shrinkage Mixed Fiber Industrialization" won the first prize of China Textile Industry Federation for scientific and technological progress 20 1 1. The silk spun by this technology earned 5000~ 10000 yuan per ton two years ago, but with the popularization of this technology, the supply of silk products spun by this technology exceeds demand, resulting in a profit of only 100~200 yuan per ton, which is on the verge of loss. But the profit of this technology has not decreased. Why? It applies this fiber technology to fabrics, and it weaves a unique cloth, which lengthens the industrial chain.

For powerful large enterprises, Duan Xiaoping encourages the global allocation of resources and must expand upstream of the industrial chain. Because the upstream of China Chemical Fiber is still trapped abroad, China Chemical Fiber will eventually get rid of these constraints. "Ethylene glycol and PX are important chemical fiber raw materials, and they are still facing such a dilemma. The protection and control of China government in the production and investment of oil refining and petrochemical products are still relatively strict, so the best way is to go out and allocate resources. Hengyi has now gone to Brunei to invest in petrochemical products. This is a direction. "