Before answering this question, let’s take a look at this week’s trend. On Monday, it rose sharply by more than 30 points, but then fell sharply by more than 40 points on Wednesday. I believe many friends that day were worried that the market would be like the previous negative lines.

After that, it fell sharply again, even falling back to 3200 points. In fact, although it is a big negative line, its inner meaning is different. The so-called inner meaning is the main action behind it. The previous big negative lines were accompanied by large-scale selling by foreign investors.

, usually around 10 billion, but this time the main foreign investors only sold more than 1 billion in net on that day. My own market analysis system shows that the main market players increased their positions slightly that day, which is completely different from the previous large-scale reduction of positions.

, in the two trading days after the sharp drop, the main foreign investors continued to inflow in large quantities. Obviously, the main players did not significantly reduce their positions at this position. This was just the main force deliberately cleaning up their chips in order to win the previous high, which was a complete flop.

This week's closing has stood above 3400 points. The market will definitely attack the previous high in December. Due to the fear of strong resistance near the previous high, technical selling has emerged, funds are selling at the end of the year, and there are worries about the return of institutional funds at the end of the year.

, the probability of an effective breakthrough is low. Even if it reaches a new high in a short period of time, it will fall back again in the end, but it is still just a flop. The most likely way for the market to run in December is to repeatedly consolidate and build momentum near the previous high. A truly effective breakthrough is probably

It will be after New Year's Day, when the previous high resistance has basically been digested, the fund sell-off is completed, and the withdrawal of funds at the end of the year is completed!

There is also the upcoming handover of the new and old presidents of the United States. When these uncertain factors that suppressed the market in the early stage are basically eliminated, it is reasonable for the market to effectively break upward!

The money-making effect of the future market will be mainly concentrated in new energy vehicle cyclical stocks, military industry stocks, agricultural stocks, financial stocks, and some consumer stocks such as hotels and tourism that have been greatly affected by the epidemic in the past year and will recover strongly next year. They are still at relatively low levels.

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Among them, I think the most important ones are new energy vehicles and cyclical stocks. In the future, they will be this year’s semiconductors and liquor!

To understand the trend in December, we need to determine the nature of the previous five-month shock. Such a five-month shock must have its intentions, and it is impossible to continue to be like this forever.

, I will definitely choose a direction in the future.

If the Shanghai Composite Index chooses a direction in December, will it rise or fall?

First of all, we assume that the shocks in these months are building a top. A medium-level top market usually has two characteristics. We will now compare the above two characteristics with the shock market from July to the end of November to see if they are consistent.

Article 1 Is the profit-making effect sufficient during the process of building a roof?

The market from the peak in early July to mid-August still had a certain money-making effect. It can be said that the main shipments were still barely passing. Then from late August to the end of November, the market had no obvious money-making effect. Investors who held shares

After being tortured, after the continuous decline on the eve of the National Day, and the continuous decline for more than ten trading days after the National Day, many investors abandoned their armor and fled in panic.

With such a trend, do you think the main force can complete the shipment?

In the face of so many retail investors' shipments, the index did not suffer a continuous sharp decline. The situation has become obvious. The chips sold by a large number of retail investors have already been taken over.

Article 2: If the shock in these five months is to reach a top, there should be a bullish inducement. This bullish inducement should break through 3458 points cleanly, and even reach above 3500 points. Only in this way can such a trend appear on the surface.

Let the general public think it is very strong, so that on-site investors can hold shares with confidence, and off-site investors chase the highs and buy. However, we have seen that the market has been volatile for 5 months, and the index has never been able to break through 3458 points, or even 3400.

It's not easy to touch it even once, and "fatigue shows". How can this make retail investors on and off the market feel at ease and excited?

Through the above analysis, we can use the method of conclusion to conclude that since the market is not building a top, it must be building a bottom. From the signs at the end of November, we can see that the market broke the oscillating balance in December and launched an upward round.

The possibility of a sharp rise in the market is very high.

The main performance of the three major indexes in December should be the Shanghai Composite Index, while the ChiNext Index, which has shown independent trends in the past two years, will continue to maintain a sideways fluctuation trend for a period of time. This is the conclusion I came to in August. From the sector

From a perspective analysis, I am more optimistic about the coal sector, which has not performed well for a long time.

A-shares will definitely be better in December than November!

Judging from the economic data released so far, the economy has stabilized and maintained steady growth. Corporate profits will explode in December. In previous years, there will be a wave of performance to the end of the year. The improvement in economic data will directly promote the stock market in December.

Stablize.

The U.S. election is over, and the world situation has become stable and clear.

The country is accelerating the construction of the stock market. December to January may be the prelude to a comprehensive registration system and also the time period to improve the delisting mechanism.