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Ray Dalio's thinking method.
Recently, I was reading Ray Dalio's Principles, and I was deeply inspired.

In particular, Dario concluded that the method of establishing his own thinking model is very useful.

Combined with my actual use effect, I summarized a set of SOP (standard workflow), which can help you build your own thinking model.

Who is Ray Dalio?

First, let's see who Ray is.

To put it simply, Ray is the president of bridgewater. By establishing some principles, thinking models and computer assistance, he turned Qiaoshui Company into the largest hedge fund in the world.

Later, he wrote a book "Principles", which popularized the process and method of establishing principles and thinking patterns and helped readers to establish their own principles.

Through this book, we can get a glimpse of the millionaire's thinking mode.

After introducing Lei, let's take a look at what a thinking model is.

The thinking model can be understood as an algorithm, and if it is assisted by computer, it can become an APP.

Imagine that when we use WeChat, we only need to input the information to be sent and specify the recipient, and WeChat will automatically help us send the message to this person through a series of algorithms and computer assistance.

The thinking mode is like this. When we build a thinking model, as long as we input the values to be calculated, the model will help us calculate the results through a series of processes, and it is accurate and efficient.

The process of building a thinking model is similar to building an APP.

Let's first look at how Ray thinks and builds his own model.

From these two paragraphs, we can get a glimpse of Lei's way of thinking.

The first is to imagine this process as a system. (imagine an APP)

Then think about the internal causal relationship (animals eat food, the growth rate of animals)

Finally, it is summarized into a mode of thinking. (Forecast the time to market of meat and food consumption)

In the process of use, the thinking model is constantly updated iteratively.

Among them, the most important point is to "discover causality".

This is very difficult, because of the limitations of our own thinking, we can't see the overall situation, and the understandable causal relationship is also superficial.

For example:

Water cups are made of ceramics, and ceramics are fired with clay. The firing process needs fire, so it needs wood and so on.

Through this exercise, I can improve my thinking development ability.

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