Source | Decision-making Magazine
Author | Yang Wenxue
Counties must innovate models to avoid falling into the "low-end tradition" trap.
Identify the “tipping point” of county economic development and avoid reliance on traditional paths.
"Thousands of billion counties" are developing vigorously
In recent years, the number of "thousands of billions counties" has grown rapidly. In 2021, there will be 5 new "counties with hundreds of billions" and 43 "counties of hundreds of billions" Completed GDP of more than 7 trillion yuan.
In 2021, the average growth rate of "100 billion counties" is 12.6, which is 1.6 times the domestic GDP growth rate in the same period. Among them, Shenmu City and Zhungeer Banner lead the list of “100 billion counties” with a year-on-year growth rate of about 30%.
From the perspective of regional distribution, the distribution of "100 billion counties" in the east, middle and west is extremely uneven, and the distribution is relatively concentrated in urban agglomerations. In 2021, there will be 35 "100 billion counties" in the east, only 5 in the central part, Nanchang, Ningxiang, Liuyang, Changsha, and Feixi, and only 3 in the west, Zhungeer, Renhuai, and Shenmu.
Looking at the distribution of urban agglomerations, the number of "counties with hundreds of billions" in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration accounts for more than half, reaching 23; the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration and the central Guizhou urban agglomeration both have one, and Qian'an City and Renhuai City.
Jiangsu and Zhejiang are the main gathering places of “100 billion counties”. In 2021, 43 "100 billion counties" are distributed in 11 provinces (regions) including Jiangsu and Zhejiang. Among them, the number of "100-billion counties" in Jiangsu has been increasing for many consecutive years; Anhui, Guizhou, Hebei, Jiangxi, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi provinces (regions) each have only one "100-billion counties"; Inner Mongolia and Anhui are both born for the first time "One Hundred Billion Counties".
"Thousands of billions of counties" have sufficient industrial support. Among the "100 billion counties", except Yiwu City, which has obvious advantages in the service industry, the other "100 billion counties" are all industrially strong counties (cities). Kunshan City has the highest industrial output value exceeding one trillion yuan, reaching 1,028.448 billion yuan.
The real economy is the cornerstone of the newly promoted “100 billion county”. In 2021, among the five new "100 billion counties", the total industrial output value above designated size in Zhungar Banner exceeded 100 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.8; the total industrial output value above designated size in Shishi City was 145.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8; Xinghua City The total industrial output value above designated size reached 82.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33%; the industrial output value above designated size in Feixi County exceeded 160 billion yuan.
The "100 billion counties" have sufficient reserves, and the number will reach a new breakthrough in 2022. In 2021, another 9 counties (cities) will have a GDP exceeding 90 billion yuan. Among them, Yijinhuoluo, Shouguang, Zoucheng, Pinghu, Peixian, Xiantao, etc. all maintained high growth rates. The growth rate of Yijinhuoluo Banner reached 28.3 and Shouguang reached 17.5. It is expected that in 2022, more counties (cities) will enter the ranks of “counties with billions of dollars”.
Six major development models
An in-depth review can reveal that there are six typical development models for “100 billion counties”.
Model 1: Innovation-driven dominant model of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration.
An important feature of this model is the agglomeration of innovative elements, regional development has been integrated into the global industrial system, and initial industrial upgrading and technological innovation development have been achieved, and new technologies and new technologies such as knowledge, data, and senior innovative talents have begun to be developed. Factor-driven stage transformation, knowledge economy and innovation economy have become important new driving forces for development.
Through refinement and deep exploration of the industrial chain, we will create innovative leading industries with outstanding specialization and distinctive characteristics. The region is home to 70 of the top 100 counties in the country. Focusing on manufacturing, it actively integrates into the development of regional central cities, continues to deepen collaboration in the global industrial chain, strengthens "one county, one characteristic" differentiated, complementary and coordinated development, and strives to be more refined and detailed. Industry chain in a certain segment.
Actively integrate into the global innovation system by attracting global corporate resources and innovation resources.
Taking Kunshan City as a model, Kunshan has built the country's "Hometown of German Enterprises", gathering thousands of German enterprises and more than 8,900 foreign investment projects from 56 countries and regions around the world, in order to accelerate its integration into the global innovation system. As of the end of 2020, the number of existing invention patents in Kunshan exceeds 12,000, the total number of national high-tech enterprises exceeds 2,000, and the high-tech industry accounts for 47.6% of the industrial output value above designated size.
Mode 2: The dominant model driven by industrial clusters in the coastal urban agglomerations of Guangdong, Fujian and Zhejiang.
This model highlights the technological innovation capabilities of regional industries, cultivates a complete high-level industrial chain, and the industrial organization method presents cluster network characteristics. At the same time, we will cultivate a number of large international enterprise groups with world influence. The government is committed to building a sound legal environment, market environment and first-class public service functions.
By playing the "three cards" of private economy, brand economy and real economy, we will cultivate a number of industrial clusters with world influence. Support private enterprises to "get bigger" and go public, cultivate and expand distinctive advantageous industries such as sporting goods, textiles, shoes and clothing, build regional industrial clusters across the entire industrial chain, cultivate a series of regional brands and well-known Chinese trademarks, and continuously expand the scale of the county economy.
Create an industrial ecology around advantageous industrial clusters and enhance industrial competitiveness. Taking Jinjiang City as a model, it has cultivated two industrial clusters exceeding 100 billion in textile and clothing and shoemaking; cultivated sports technology, sports events and other industrial formats around sports shoes; cultivated 49 listed companies and a series of well-known brands; advantageous industrial technology and equipment It has fully caught up with the level of international peers.
Mode 3: Changzhutan urban agglomeration regional integration-driven dominant mode.
This model focuses on the coordination between counties and core cities in the region in areas such as planning leadership, supporting facilities, industrial development, and public services. The county economy is deeply integrated into the regional industrial chain and innovation chain, forming a supporting region. a powerful driving force for development.
Focus on industrial collaboration and cultivate economically strong counties and cities around major cities. Around regional central cities such as Changsha City and Zhuzhou City, the county economy is based on manufacturing. It continues to enhance the competitiveness and influence of industries such as engineering machinery, automobiles and parts, and fireworks industries, and cultivate new growth points for the county economy.
Leverage the leading industries in the county to accelerate industrial resources to drive the development of the entire region. Taking Changsha County as a model, relying on core enterprises such as Sany Heavy Industry and SAIC Volkswagen, it has created three pillar industries of construction machinery, automobiles and parts, and electronic information; it has driven more than 400 companies in the construction machinery industry chain to flourish in various districts and counties of Changsha City. layout, the output value exceeded 250 billion yuan.
Mode 4: The traditional industry upgrading-driven dominant model of the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration.
The county economy under this model uses digital empowerment, innovation-driven and other measures to promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, cultivate new models and new business forms, accelerate the formation of new driving forces for regional development, realize the transformation of old and new driving forces, and promote regional development. The economy continues to develop.
Relying on the foundation of traditional industries, we will accelerate transformation through regional collaboration and brand empowerment. There are many powerful counties in the urban agglomeration of the Shandong Peninsula and the private economy is active. However, the industrial structure of the counties is relatively similar and the industrial characteristics are not distinctive enough. By linking with economically powerful cities such as Qingdao and Yantai, we have tapped into resource advantages such as agricultural products, oceans, and petroleum, accelerated the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, and established well-known regional brands such as Longkou Vermicelli, Manufacturing City, and Brand City, empowering the county economy. develop.
Introduce emerging industries to replace traditional industries. Taking Longkou City as a model, it has implemented the "upgrading" project of traditional manufacturing to eliminate backward production capacity, enter high-end fields, promote the integrated development, transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing, and successfully cultivate strategic emerging industries such as biotechnology, general health, and new materials.
Mode 5: The resource-driven dominant model of the Hohhot-Baotou-Eyu urban agglomeration.
This model is more related to local characteristic resources. It promotes county economic development through resource development, lays out industrial chains around coal and other resources, forms a sustainable momentum for industrial development, and promotes resource-based cities to become innovative cities. The transformation of commercial and logistics cities and leisure and vacation cities will lead to the development path of getting rid of the "resource curse".
Give full play to resource advantages and gradually form unique industrial advantages. County development relies on the development of energy resources such as coal to expand the county economy and innovate a new development path of "resource-based mining-refined processing-high-quality development".
Accelerate the iteration from raw materials to products, and promote the extension, reinforcement and strengthening of the industrial chain. Taking Shenmu City as a model, we will practice the concept of ecological civilization development, explore new paths for the transformation and development of resource-based cities, develop new coal chemicals, new building materials and other emerging industries, strengthen the coordination of the industrial chain, and promote the transformation from raw materials to materials, and from bulk chemicals to The expansion of terminal application products and the leap from the low-end to the high-end of the industrial chain.
Mode 6: Featured industries and core enterprises drive the dominant model.
Relying on the characteristic resources of liquor and leading enterprises in the industry, integrating regional resources, and supporting the entire industry chain around core enterprises, we will promote comprehensive regional development and achieve a GDP exceeding 100 billion.
In recent years, Renhuai City, Guizhou Province has achieved "leap-forward" growth. The Kweichow Moutai Group in Renhuai City had an operating income of 66.1 billion yuan in 2017, a year-on-year increase of 5.05%. In 2018, the operating income reached 77.2 billion yuan; in 2020, the revenue reached nearly 100 billion yuan, with a profit of 46.7 billion yuan, and a profit of almost 1/3 of Renhuai City’s GDP. In addition, Renhuai also gathers nearly a hundred other alcohol companies above designated size and thousands of related companies in the liquor industry chain.
"Small" counties release "big" energy levels
Counties have unlimited development potential. More and more counties have a total economic output exceeding 100 billion, and more counties have a total economic output exceeding 100 billion yuan. The city will normalize, and we should objectively view the potential and potential of county economic development, and face the trend of continued expansion and strength of county economy.
County development should not be limited to the stereotyped understanding of the county economy. There is no upper limit to the development of the county economy, and 500 billion-level and trillion-level counties (cities) may appear in the future. Counties have been given a greater mission at present. When formulating development goals, they should combine the long-term, medium-term and short-term, and appropriately raise the development goals.
The head counties (cities) may sprint towards one trillion in the future, while more counties should aim at the development goal of "100 billion counties". For example, Kunshan City's GDP will reach 474.806 billion yuan in 2021, its economic aggregate will exceed that of Ningxia, Qinghai and other provinces, and its total industrial output value will historically exceed one trillion yuan.
In the process of development, counties must innovate models to avoid falling into the "low-end tradition" trap. Choose the right direction, find the right breakthrough, and strike a good combination to promote the transformation of county economy from traditional isolated development to regional coordinated development.
Integrate into the regional development pattern, take advantage of the central cities in the region, integrate into the regional industrial chain, supply chain, and innovation chain, and promote cross-regional industrial collaboration, talent exchange, and innovative cooperation. Strengthen the matching with the industrial clusters in surrounding core cities, make leading industries bigger and stronger, create advantageous industrial clusters, and enhance the competitive advantages of the industrial chain and supply chain.
Cultivate regional brands and industrial brands, enhance the visibility and reputation of the county, and enhance the influence of the county industry. Excavate regional advantageous resources, cultivate and strengthen the real economy based on county economic characteristics, and transform resource advantages into industrial advantages and development advantages.
At the same time, identify the "tipping point" of county economic development and avoid traditional "path dependence." Break out of the inertial thinking of traditional county economic development, strengthen benchmarking learning from "100-billion counties" and "model counties", refine strengths and weaknesses, adapt measures to local conditions, provide classified guidance, and formulate personalized plans for county economic development.
Enhance the status and role of “100 billion counties” in the strategy of strengthening the province. Some provinces can formulate corresponding strategies to strengthen counties, enhance the important position of county economies in the development of strong provinces, and promote the balanced development of the provincial economy.
Strengthen policy support for county economic development. Study on providing policy support in specific directions such as project investment promotion, urban construction, talent introduction, and assessment and appointment of leading cadres.
Accelerate the formation of a batch of reserves, upgrade a batch, and develop a batch, guide counties to move towards "100 billion counties" and "top 100 counties", and focus on supporting the county economy to become bigger and stronger.
Especially around the country’s central cities, metropolitan areas and other regions, we will strengthen the cultivation of a number of economically strong counties and “100 billion counties” with distinctive industrial characteristics and outstanding competitiveness.