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Is a new round of oil price adjustment coming?
Since the last round of domestic refined oil price increase, a new round of refined oil price adjustment window will be opened again at 24: 00 on September 29. Due to the recent upward trend of international crude oil market, domestic refined oil price adjustment will usher in "two consecutive rises", or the range may be around 130 yuan/ton.

By the close of September 23rd, Beijing time, the price of crude oil futures for delivery in WTI 165438+ 10 rose by 0. 1 1 USD, up 0. 22%, $50.66/barrel, a four-month high, up 0. 4%; Brent 1 1 crude oil futures also closed up 0. 43 dollars, an increase of 0. 76%, 56.86 dollars/barrel, the cumulative increase this week is about 2. 2%, rising for four consecutive weeks.

Under this, the change rate of crude oil is extending to the interval. According to estimates, as of the sixth working day of September 25th, the average price of reference crude oil varieties was 53. 83 dollars/barrel, the change rate is 3. 62%, the corresponding gasoline and diesel will be increased by 135 yuan/ton, and the crude oil change rate calculated by Zhuochuang Information is 3. 98%, the corresponding gasoline and diesel prices are expected to increase by 137 yuan/ton.

With the end of the peak demand season in summer, the international crude oil price may fluctuate under pressure, but it is expected that the production reduction of oil-producing countries will continue in the later period, and the demand for heating oil will be boosted in winter. From the news, there is little difference between the fourth quarter and the third quarter. As far as the domestic refined oil market is concerned, with the end of the peak demand season of "Golden September and Silver 10", the consumption of refined oil market will gradually fade, and it will be difficult for the refined oil market to have obvious support in the later period.

The normal adjustment range should be acceptable.