The game of pig price has officially begun. Bian Xiao's "game" is not a "game", not a game of consumption, slaughter and shortage of pigs, but a game between the group's big manufacturers and the "big hands". We free-range farmers are just spectators because we are not enough in magnitude. What we can do at this time is to follow the trend, not to operate against the trend.

Some old iron will say, why does the "big hand" always manage the pig price, regardless of the feed price? You know, what are the main ingredients of feed? Soybean meal! # Pig #

The pricing power of soybean meal is not here, but in beautiful countryside, it is in the hands of a few grain merchants in beautiful countryside.

You know, the soybean export association of the beautiful country has been operating here for more than 30 years, and they only do one thing: "use the values of soybean meal" to promote it to the whole world.

Especially in China, they give lectures to feed enterprises and formulators all over the country. The main content is that soybean meal and corn are the best feed materials.

This has led domestic feed enterprises to become the main users of corn and soybean meal.

At the same time, it is best for these feed enterprises to sell corn+soybean meal feed to dealers and salesmen, and then they sell it to farmers, which leads to the best concept of corn+soybean meal feed in aquaculture.

Therefore, the sales of soybeans in the United States continue to rise, and we continue to import soybeans in large quantities.

In fact, the output of the world's major soybean producers is not monopolized by the United States, but also by Brazil, Argentina and other countries. However, it is not at the same level as the United States in marketing and futures, which leads them to manipulate the global soybean market at will.

Because of this, we put forward the substitute of soybean and soybean meal to reduce our dependence on soybean.

Now each of us wants to sell our pig price to the highest point, but Bian Xiao advises you not to do so.

In the matter of selling pigs, it is good to sell the highest point as burning high incense, but you can't sell the highest point as the second highest point.

We should not only have courage, but also be cautious. Don't blindly bet on the so-called highest point, but the part of pigs that will be slaughtered at every high point.

Is the second fattening still the beginning?

1 First of all, it must be clear that there is a threshold requirement for secondary fattening, and there must be funds at the same time.

Now the price of second fattening is about 13.5 yuan/kg, and it costs more than 2,000 yuan to buy a pig weighing about 200 kg.

Want to buy 100 pigs, more than 200 thousand went in. If you want to buy 100 pigs, you will get more than 2 million. This money is only for buying pigs, as well as various breeding expenses such as feed and selling pharmacies. This is really not operated by ordinary people, and ordinary people can't afford it.

Everyone feels lucky and always wants to take a chance, so don't you earn money by gaining weight twice? Yes! Some pig farmers bought pigs for 6 yuan in March, with an average of 200 kg per pig 1300 yuan, and kept them until September 10 or so.

Intermediate loss 14 head, average slaughter price 12.8 yuan/kg, and average weight of 395kg. The total feed is 650 tons, and the profit per head is close to 2000 yuan.

This is a pig farmer who makes money, but many people lose money.

So if the pig price falls, if there is no money in hand, can we bear the consequences? Be sure to think about it, sometimes luck is not for everyone.

Don't just look at the information of others making money, but also listen to the information of losing money. Comprehensive various factors before deciding whether to engage in secondary fattening. Do what you can. Don't be carried away by all kinds of information about raising prices to make money. Be careful again.

How do we pig farmers study pig prices?

Bian Xiao personally thinks that we pig farmers only need to know the pig cycle, four-year cycle, two-year minimum price and two-year minimum price. Knowing this trend, you will know how to raise pigs and how to sell them. If you want to refine it to a few months, it is basically unrealistic, because the market is dynamic and the mood changes the fastest.

Just like the weather forecast, no one can do it, only one step at a time.

From 20 17 to 2027, the price of live pigs is the worst at 10. No matter how hard you work, you won't make much money. There is still a long way to go, old irons. Hang in there, the dawn is waiting for us.

The most important thing for people to make money in this life is to live happily, instead of being slaves to money like we pig farmers.