Today, the editor will share with you the knowledge of gold price trends. He will also analyze and answer the 30-year gold price trend chart. If it can solve the problem you want to know, please pay attention to this site.

Will gold fall or rise in the second half of 2022 - Gold trend forecast in the second half of 2022

;? 2022 is a special year, in which many prices have risen. , due to the influence of multiple factors, the price of gold has also been rising. The price of gold jewelry has reached 510 yuan per gram. In the second half of the year, gold is mostly in a stable state, and the chance of a substantial rise or fall is relatively low.

Whether gold will fall or rise in the second half of 2022? It is uncertain whether gold will rise or fall in 2022. This is the largest decline since 2015. In 2021, the global economy is in the process of recovery, which has greatly weakened the hedging function of gold. In addition, the global economy is still in the process of recovery in 2022. In addition, the Fed has a core button, which is to raise interest rates. It is predicted that interest rates will be raised as early as the end of 2022. The inflation rate in the United States is very high right now. There is speculation that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates in the first half of this year, and that one rate increase may last several times, which has put great pressure on gold prices. It's hard to predict whether it will rise or fall. It is reported that due to the impact of the international situation, the price of gold exceeded 500 yuan/gram on February 21, 2022, among which Lao Fengxiang had the largest increase, which was 6 yuan. The highest price is Laomiao gold, with a guaranteed price of 505 yuan per gram. The lowest price of vegetable gold is 495 yuan per gram. Today, the difference in gold prices is 10 yuan per gram, which is relatively large. The spot gold market fell on Friday. Although gold rebounded sharply, finally closing at $1,897.87 per ounce, spot gold rose again today, reaching $1,908.34 per ounce, before falling, hovering around $1,895.

Gold trend forecast in the second half of 2022 It should not rise sharply and be in a stable state. As a precious metal, gold not only has ordinary commodity properties, but also has financial and monetary properties. It has three major functions: risk aversion, anti-inflation and investment. Since the beginning of this year, driven by the global low interest rate environment and risk aversion, the price of gold has risen rapidly and hit new highs repeatedly due to the continued impact of the global epidemic. According to wind data, as of August 4, the London gold spot price closed at 2018.8 US dollars per ounce, the New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures price rose to more than 2037.1 US dollars per ounce, and gold spot and futures prices once again hit a record high. The author believes that there are seven factors responsible for the rise of gold this year: First, sudden natural and man-made disasters have led to risk aversion in troubled times, which has led to an increase in gold holdings and a rise in gold prices; second, the world's ultra-loose monetary policy has pushed up gold prices; third, , the U.S. dollar index continued to fall rapidly, pushing up the price of gold. Fourth, the new coronavirus pneumonia crisis and local conflicts have pushed up the price of gold. Fifth, the risk of inflation pushes up the price of gold. Sixth, the intensification of geopolitical risks has pushed up the price of gold. Seventh, supply and demand fundamentals of short supply have pushed up gold prices.

Factors affecting the price of gold 1. U.S. economic data As we all know, gold is priced in US dollars, so what factors will affect the price of gold? The first answer is the economic data of the U.S. market. The quality of U.S. economic data will directly stimulate the trend of the U.S. dollar, thereby affecting the price of gold, which usually has an inverse relationship. For example, if U.S. economic data performs well, the dollar will appreciate in the short term. On the contrary, gold prices will come under pressure. Therefore, we should pay more attention to the news information columns of high-quality platforms. 2. Global monetary policy In addition to economic data, gold prices are also very sensitive to adjustments in global monetary policy. Of course, U.S. policy is particularly important. Raising interest rates increases the cost of holding gold and therefore generally depresses gold prices. Conversely, lower interest rates will have a positive impact on gold prices. Therefore, whenever the Federal Reserve makes an important decision, the price of gold will be particularly volatile. If we want to trade at this time, we must use the price limit platform to do risk control and protection. 3. Risk aversion: As an investment product with huge risk aversion value in the financial market, gold's price trend is also closely related to the market's risk aversion sentiment. This is also one of the key factors affecting gold prices because it is an uncontrollable factor. Risk aversion is mainly related to factors such as geopolitics, public health events, and economic crises. When market risks increase, investors will choose to hold gold to avoid risks, and gold prices will naturally rise. Tip: In fact, there are many factors that affect the price of gold. In addition to the above three points, it also includes material needs, inflationary environment and technological forms. Therefore, if you want to make profits from gold trading, you must constantly improve your analysis technology and conduct systematic research through the Daejeon Global Gold Research Institute column.

What do you think of the gold price chart? Three simple methods

;? For gold investors, judging gold price trends is an important prerequisite for making gold investment decisions. So what do you think of the gold price chart? Let’s take a look at how to judge gold price trends.

1. K-line gold price trend analysis. The K-line trend chart uses green to indicate the negative line and red to indicate the positive line. The negative line indicates that the closing price of gold is lower than the opening price. The positive line is the opposite. The closing price is higher than the opening price. The market trend It is possible that it will continue to rise. The bar between the opening price and the closing price is called an entity. Generally, the larger the entity, the greater the possibility of the gold price rising or falling. For novice investors, the future trend of gold prices can be roughly judged based on the number of two K-lines.

2. Bollinger Band gold price trend analysis The Bollinger Band indicator is mainly used to analyze spot gold trading prices. The Bollinger Bands indicator consists of three trend lines: upper track, middle track and lower track. When the upper rail is upward, the lower rail is downward, and the Bollinger Bands are open, it indicates that gold is on an upward trend in the short term. On the contrary, when the Bollinger Bands are shrinking, it means that gold is in a short-term trend of volatility and weakness. Bollinger Bands will change in real time according to market fluctuations, but there is always a certain lag, so investors need to set up stop-profit and loss settings.

3. Market Forecast The rise and fall of gold prices will be affected by many factors, such as U.S. dollar trends, economic data, inflation, etc. For example, the trend of the U.S. dollar and the trend of gold generally have an inverse relationship. If the U.S. dollar strengthens, investors tend to hold U.S. dollars, and gold will weaken. On the contrary, if the U.S. dollar weakens, investors will be more inclined to hold gold as a safe haven, and gold will strengthen. I hope the above content on how to view the gold price chart will be helpful to everyone. Warm reminder, financial management is risky, so investment needs to be cautious.

What is the basis for the rise and fall of gold?

1. Supply and demand: When the supply of gold exceeds demand, the price of gold will rise; conversely, when the supply of gold exceeds demand, the price of gold will fall.

2. Amount of funds: When the amount of funds to purchase gold is relatively large, the price of gold will rise; conversely, when the amount of funds to purchase gold is relatively small, the price of gold will fall.

3. U.S. dollar appreciation and depreciation: Gold is negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar. When the U.S. dollar appreciates, the price of gold will fall; on the contrary, when the U.S. dollar depreciates, the price of gold will rise.

4. Oil price rises and falls: Gold and oil are positively correlated. When the price of oil rises, the price of gold will rise; conversely, when the price of oil falls, the price of gold will fall.

It should be noted that the relationship between supply and demand and the amount of funds are the most important factors affecting the rise and fall of gold. In addition to the above factors, factors such as international situations and wars will also affect the rise and fall of gold prices.

A collection of gold trend chart analysis skills

;? First, let’s talk about how to see the trend of gold, and what does the pricing of gold have to do with it?

1. Gold pricing mechanism The most mainstream gold price in the world currently comes from the London gold market. The price is determined by 5 banks from different regions based on the closing price of the New York market on the previous trading day at 10:30 GMT time in the morning. Then, based on the closing price of the Hong Kong market that day, the fixing price at 3:00 pm is determined. The fixing price is proposed by the chief representative bank, and the remaining four banks send the price to the proprietary trading system to start inquiry. If the buying and selling balance is balanced, the price will become the opening price of the day; if the balance is not reached, the chief representative bank will adjust the price and re-inquire until the buying and selling balance is balanced. Subsequently, the price information will be released to the world through Reuters, and all financial markets will adjust the opening price of gold in the country based on this price, combined with exchange rates and technical factors.

2. Factors affecting gold price trends Due to the special properties of gold, central banks of various countries regard gold as an important tool for maintaining macroeconomic stability and combating systemic risks. Based on the research on gold in recent years, we divide the factors affecting gold into three categories: guiding factors, correlation factors and stage factors.

Guiding factors Guiding factors, we usually understand as the impact of national macroeconomic policies and central bank financial data on gold prices. These data are usually not quickly reflected in the price of gold, but they can provide long-term guidance for gold prices. Among them, we focus on: central bank balance sheet, money supply, commodity price index, expected annualized expected yield of government bonds, expected annualized interest rate of London interbank offered, and various confidence indexes. Taking the central bank's balance sheet as an example, it has had a significant long-term impact on the price of gold, as shown in the figure below: It can be seen from the figure that as the balance sheet of the monetary authority expands, the price of gold gradually rises. This trend has been running smoothly for 13 years since 1999. The key to keeping the two relevant lies in the nature of central bank balance sheets themselves. The expansion of the balance sheet reflects the growth of currency stock and various deposits, the expansion of foreign exchange and gold holdings, and the expansion of the capital account. In 2013, with the expectation that central banks around the world will shrink their balance sheets, it is not difficult to predict that gold prices will be dominated by the following trends.

Correlation factors Correlation factors refer to assets and data that have a large correlation coefficient with gold. Changes in these factors have a significant impact on gold in a short period of time. According to our research, these factors mainly include: US dollar index, CRB index, US stock market index, employment data, SPDR data, etc. Changes in this type of data can have a large impact on gold prices in a very short period of time. Such as employment data.

We are currently focusing on observing the changes in the U.S. unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls released each month. Judging from the current situation, the impact of this data is almost greater than the impact of the US dollar index on gold prices. Another example is SPDR data, changes in this data are directly reflected in transactions in the financial market. Increase in holdings will bring about an increase in prices, while reduction in holdings will suppress prices. At the same time, the continued one-way operation of SPDR will greatly affect the psychological expectations of the entire market participants, which will form an important intervention in the market in a short period of time.

Phase factors Phase factors mainly refer to the impact of a certain emergency on the price of gold, such as coups, crises, wars, natural disasters, etc. The inherent hedging function of gold causes gold to react extremely violently to phased factors. The main reason lies in investors' concerns about the sovereign currency of the country where the incident occurred. In recent years, when crises occur, gold and the U.S. dollar often rise simultaneously, which to a certain extent reflects the weakening of gold's overall function and the return of a strong U.S. dollar. For research work on stage factors, almost all positive cycle research is carried out smoothly through the development of time. Take war as an example, that is, friction between two countries, coordination of the international community, local wars, large-scale wars, the end of the war, and post-war recovery. We can only make a non-systematic analysis through changes in economic conditions, capital flows, population flows, military strength and other factors in the country where the event occurred during the event stage. The reason is that the factors are not highly replicable. To sum up, we believe that there are three types of factors that have a significant impact on gold prices. Among the three types of factors, guiding factors belong to the macroeconomic category and are not highly sensitive to gold prices, but have a long-term guiding effect; correlation factors are more often used in actual financial transactions because they have a strong influence on gold prices. It is extremely sensitive, and investors can relatively easily obtain this type of data information; for the study of stage factors, due to technical aspects and the reasons of the event itself, it is not appropriate to obtain more first-hand information. Therefore, research on stage factors belongs to positive period and empirical research. So what are the gold trend chart analysis techniques? The gold trend chart is a technical graphic that displays the price, time, trading volume and other information of the gold trading market within a certain period of time on a coordinate chart using curves or K-lines. The horizontal axis of the coordinate is a fixed time period, the upper half of the vertical axis is the gold price or index in that time period, and the lower half shows the trading volume. According to the definition, trend charts can be divided into two types: curve charts and K-line charts. The most critical thing for the success of gold investment is whether you can make correct analysis and judgment on the gold price trend chart. Changes in gold prices are related to market conditions. There is no guarantee of profit in investment and financial management. The same is true for gold. Like stocks, predictions should be made through certain analysis. There are two main methods of predicting price direction: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. The two analyze the market from two different perspectives, and each has its own characteristics in actual operations, so investors should use them together. "Paper gold" is a kind of personal certificate gold. Investors buy and sell "virtual" gold on their books according to bank quotations. Individuals can earn the price fluctuation of gold by grasping the trend of international gold prices, buying low and selling high. Investors' buying and selling transaction records are only reflected in the "gold passbook account" opened in advance by the individual, and no physical gold withdrawal and delivery occurs. The paper gold trend chart is an important analysis tool in paper gold investment. Using the paper gold trend chart, we can accurately understand the current market and speculate on the next market trend based on the price trend. Paper gold trend chart analysis is the abbreviation of the gold price trend analysis and forecast report. Through the analysis of fundamentals, technical aspects, and news, the paper gold price trend prediction is obtained. As a very important reference tool in investment analysis, the K-line chart is often used in the foreign exchange market, stock market and futures market. The so-called analysis of foreign exchange trends is mainly based on the K-line chart. In paper gold investment, the basic purpose of K chart is to find "selling and buying points", so mastering some K chart analysis skills is very useful for those who invest in paper gold. The gold trend chart is a technical graphic that displays the price, time, trading volume and other information of the gold trading market within a certain period of time on a coordinate chart using curves or K-lines. The horizontal axis of the gold coordinate is a fixed time period, the upper half of the vertical axis is the gold price or index in that time period, and the lower half shows the trading volume. According to the definition, the trend chart can be divided into two types: spot gold curve trend chart and spot gold K-line trend chart. Many investors don't know much about the technical analysis of spot gold, especially novices. Many feel a little confused when they see the gold K-line chart. So here are some basic and effective technical analysis methods.

Why did international gold fall sharply? Will the future trend collapse or bottom out?

The sharp decline in international gold is due to the Federal Reserve's monetary tightening; as for the international gold price trend, it will definitely bottom out and rebound in the future, but it will still be in a state of stagnation in the short term.

First of all, let’s talk about why the national gold price has fallen sharply. The reason is that the Federal Reserve has implemented a tightening monetary policy. Many people may not understand this, so I will try my best to explain it in simple language.

Tight currency is also called deflation. It is the department responsible for currency. Tightening the current national monetary policy usually reduces the liquidity of currency and takes back part of the money that has been printed. The impact of this is also obvious, that is Raising interest rates means that your money deposited in the bank will earn more interest. This means that compared to the safe haven of gold, the U.S. dollar has become a better safe haven, so everyone is selling gold and going to allin. US dollar, then the price of international gold will naturally fall sharply.

Let’s talk about the future trend of international gold. I personally think that it will still be in trouble in the short term, because the inflation in the United States is very serious now. This operation of the Federal Reserve is to reduce the inflation in the United States as much as possible. However, inflation cannot be solved in a short period of time. It takes time to settle. Therefore, the Federal Reserve will most likely maintain this tightening monetary policy for a relatively long period of time, so the U.S. dollar will It is the best safe haven, but gold still has no chance, so gold will not bottom out. But in the long run, the price of international gold will definitely bottom out, because this policy of the Federal Reserve is relatively drastic and cannot be maintained for a long time. Once the policy is over, the price of international gold will definitely bottom out, but it may not be possible. Get to where you are now.

In general, the Federal Reserve’s tightening monetary policy has caused the US dollar to become a safe haven, which in turn has caused a sharp fall in international gold prices, and there will be no change in international gold prices in a short period of time until the Fed resolves the issue of U.S. currency Only due to the problem of inflation will international gold bottom out and rebound.