How should aquaculture respond to the current market changes?
First, the processing of raw materials has led to a sharp rise in feed prices.
According to relevant statistics, in the first week of July, the prices of corn and soybean meal were around 1.5 1 and 2.2 yuan respectively. Compared with the same period of last year, the price of corn increased by 1%, and the price of soybean meal increased by more than 18%.
The feed price prepared with these two cereals is 1.94 yuan per catty, which is 7.2% higher than the same period of last year, and it is 13% higher than the same period of last year in the first week of 2022.
According to the calculation of pig slaughter 120kg, the pig breeding cycle is about half a year. According to the calculation that 1kg pork needs 3kg feed, the feed breeding cost accounts for more than 50% of the whole breeding cost, and some even reach 70%. The decline in pig prices in the first half of the year has put great pressure on farmers.
The increase of feed cost will inevitably lead to passive losses and reduced profits. Under this influence, farmers will reduce their production capacity and the number of supplementary columns, which will also put some pressure on the market.
Second, the reasons for the increase of feed processed grain
As far as soybean meal is concerned, due to the drought in the international market, soybean output is lower than before, especially the soybean futures price, and the import cost is higher.
As an import-oriented country, the output of soybean meal was originally low, so the market price rose sharply when the market was in short supply.
From the perspective of corn market, under the influence of rising corn planting cost and processing cost, it has played a certain supporting role in the rise of corn price. In many areas, corn keeps running at a high level, and the limited feed processing corn is in short supply. At the same time, due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the import cost of raw materials has increased, which has also led to an increase in domestic corn prices.
Based on the above analysis, the rise of domestic feed prices is relatively affected by the prices of corn and soybean meal.
Thirdly, how to reduce the impact of feed cost on aquaculture?
Relevant experts pointed out that while optimizing sow variety and management, how to improve feed feeding efficiency is the key.
At the same time, make full use of crop by-products and gas to replace raw materials for feed processing.
At present, there is still a big gap in feed processing raw materials in China, so it is necessary to establish a certain resource layout, optimize the feed supply system, finely manage the domestic corn grain sources, and ensure the supply of feed grains.
In addition, we should explore other alternative food processing raw materials, increase the development of related crops, and break the traditional feed processing.
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