Only through the current crisis will the market have a chance to talk about how much the Olympic Games can go up. 3300 is basically a symbol of bulls and bears. Stick to it, there is still hope. If you can't hold it for a short time, you can't get it back. If the main force still does not enter the market, the market will be over. It is suggested to hold the money in your hand for the time being, and the market has not yet determined the direction of operation. Please pay close attention to the trend of main funds, which are the key factors to determine the final development direction of the market. If the main funds continue to maintain the shipping situation, 3000 points is only a matter of time. Only through the current crisis will the market have a chance to talk about how much the Olympic Games can go up. The real reason for the large number of shipments before the main force is the huge non-lifting of the ban and the huge malicious issuance. It is difficult to take over the main funds. In order to prevent the funds from being released, we have to choose to go out before they come out. If these two substantive problems are not solved, the heart of the main force will not fall, and the rebound should be treated with a rebound mentality. Previously, the news released by the media and stock reviews was that institutions opened positions on a large scale, calling on retail investors to bargain-hunting. However, the latest change information of Great Wisdom Fund shows that since the continuous rebound, the proportion of institutional positions has not increased, and the number of retail investors has continued to increase, which means that the current market is mainly to stabilize large-cap stocks, create the illusion that the market will reverse, and attract retail investors to pick up the chips sold by the main force. Please arouse the caution of retail investors. There are two news in the market that bring a glimmer of hope to OTC funds. First, it is rumored that the CSRC issued a secret order to brokers to maintain market stability. Summary: 1. Pay close attention to market changes and establish a sound emergency mechanism (this news is not feasible in the short term, and the big crash cannot form a sound mechanism, and the time period is too long to hydrolyze). 2. In-depth investor education. Provide more and better professional services for investors (as a risk education market, investors have already felt it and will not bring about the recovery of investment confidence. Providing professional services is very empty, purely perfunctory and routine language) 3. Take effective measures to ensure the security of information technology systems (this is the most basic condition that brokers should provide for investors) 4. Strengthen the safety of offices and business premises. Effectively prevent all kinds of unexpected moments (nothing more than preventing investors who are deeply involved from venting in an irrational way after the collapse of confidence). Personally, I think this will not make the stock market soar, purely to prevent investors. 5. Properly handle letters and visits complaints and earnestly safeguard social stability (this is only a way to vent investors' disappointment, but also to prevent investors from venting their dissatisfaction. Although this so-called secret order has been promoting the maintenance of market stability, there is no good news that can really stimulate the current stock market. It is just a series of measures to deal with investors' dissatisfaction, and its positive impact on the stock market can be basically ignored. Second, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) suggested that "the size of state-owned shares" should not be reduced, and delivered a speech: "We have a promise and don't have to worry about the reduction of state-owned shares" 1. Strengthening the dynamic supervision of state-owned shares (whether it is to prevent illegal operations, insider trading, interest transfer and other illegal acts or to strengthen the dynamic monitoring of state-owned shares in listed companies) will not change the overall thinking of the state on the size of state-owned shares, as long as it does not violate the rules, it does not represent anything, but only superficial. 2. Expose the subject matter of blind speculation and reorganization (the size of the most urgent problem to be solved now is indisputable) 3. SASAC suggested that "non-size" should not reduce its holdings (because there is no compulsory measure in this proposal, it will not affect the willingness of non-size to cash out in a weak market, which is equal to not saying) 4. "We have promised not to worry about the reduction of state-owned shares" (Premier Wen once said in front of reporters that the government would pay attention to the stock market, but there was no substantive policy, only verbal commitment, and the stock market continued to accelerate its decline. The key point is that this sentence is perfunctory to retail investors. Since there is a promise, we investors don't know what it is! ) As the above-mentioned so-called good news temporarily aroused the expectation that the government might intervene in the market, it temporarily stabilized people's hearts. However, because they are all irrelevant news, they will not substantially prevent the reduction of non-size, and the main force still has not reached its destination. Therefore, if government intervention measures fail in the market, it may cause panic selling again. Please pay attention to prevent the risk of another big drop. This is indeed a very contradictory question about whether to save the market. If the government rescues the market, because stamp duty is a powerful medicine, institutions will have the opportunity to pull the boat again. After the institutions are out, the stock market may die faster, and retail investors will really be full. Now the government is also very contradictory. What we should do now is to save ourselves, instead of waiting for the government's help. Now you should follow the trend, don't be a dead cow and a dead bear, just be a diaosi. The market has reached a turning point in the stock market in recent weeks, which may determine the final market outcome this year. The 20-day moving average, which hit 3653 before the market, failed again and ended in a big drop. After the short-term rebound of the market, we should still pay attention to whether the 20-day moving average can break through a "huge amount" to stand firm, and pay attention to controlling positions when it is unstable. Only when we stand firm and fluctuate higher can we open up the opportunity of rising. Next week, the continued issuance of new shares will draw blood from the stock market. In the case that the continuous volume can shrink, the issuance of new shares may become a negative factor in the market operation during the two weeks when the OTC funds are carefully watched. There were many good rumors about the reduction of stamp duty and the announcement of stock index futures in the market before. Now the results are all false, and now they are basically institutional rumors. Six weeks ago, Space Diary pointed out that many indicators continue to be in danger (some indicators have not been tested since July 2005, but now they have been seriously penetrated to prevent the market from reversing). If the index can't be repaired by continuous amplification and upswing, there may be a cold current in the stock market in 2008. 3600 points was easily broken down that day, and I hope the market can be as optimistic as I predicted before, but the short-term market is indeed facing a very dangerous situation, which was never encountered in 2006 and 2007. If the stock market weakens again in the afternoon and continues to break through 3400 points, it is recommended to control the position. Although many people believe by experience that the bottom of the market will be born when the previous strong stocks make up for the decline, the nature of this wave of plunge caused by the main selling of blue chips has changed greatly. The previous crackdown was for stock exchange. Nowadays, under the suppression of many negative factors, such as huge refinancing, sustained high inflation and non-lifting of the ban, the operating pressure of institutions is increasing. The main force now is not only to suppress the stock exchange, but to force the government to adjust the stamp duty, regulate the negative problems such as vicious huge issuance and non-lifting of the ban. This embarrassing situation often leads to unexpected situations. The bottom of the market is not just the so-called analyst's analysis based on the past experience of the market. In fact, the emergence of the bottom of the market only needs two conditions. First, the policies required by the main institutions are fulfilled, and second, the main funds enter the market on a large scale. To judge whether the bottom is formed by these two basic conditions, we should try our best to reduce the probability of failure in bargain hunting and prevent ourselves from copying halfway up the mountain. On the previous trading day, there was a situation of killing more and killing less in the market, mainly because the fund was shorted, which was caused by the redemption of the fund, which offset the income from the opening of the new fund. The panic selling of funds is different from that of retail investors, which is very destructive to the market. Now there is also a serious market target differentiation within the organization, which will make the fund's actions contradictory and make the market unstable. Please remember that the bottom of the market is copied by the main force, not by the retail investors. It is wise for the main force to do more before and after without a unified rhythm. It is safest to have money in hand. No matter where the bottom is, if these two conditions are not met, it is not the bottom. Some indifferent benefits are just to ease the decline of the stock index. In view of the huge risk of current positions, investors are advised to control their positions below 1/3 to cope with the uncertainty of the current market. Because the quantity is not ideal, the stamp duty adjustment has not been fulfilled for the time being, so it is just a rumor. It is necessary to prevent the main force from deliberately creating it again to boost positions and lighten positions. As the conditions have not yet appeared, please be careful to regard it as an oversold rebound. Now in the case of too many market uncertainties, controlling positions is to avoid risks and avoid risks. 3500 points is no longer the point of capital competition, and may become a turning point for bulls and bears. If it falls below 3,500 again, it will still be unable to stand firm at 3,500 without the continuous large-scale intervention of large funds. It is suggested to temporarily hold the money in your hand to avoid risks, and the market may bottom out again. If there is no breakthrough in the support level of 3300~3400, you can still be optimistic about the market outlook. If it falls below, look down at the next support level of 3000 points. good luck