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Influence of iron and steel futures on iron and steel industry
(1) production reached the highest level in history. 2013-1-June, the national production of crude steel was 390 million tons, up 7.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 5.6 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. In the first six months, the average daily output of crude steel was 210.54 million tons, equivalent to an annual output of 786 million tons. Among them, it reached a record high of 2.208 million tons in February, but it remained at a high level of more than 265,438+10,000 tons in March-June. By province, the crude steel output of Hebei and Jiangsu provinces increased by 6.8% and 13.2% respectively from June to June. The total new output of the two provinces accounted for 42.4% of the country's new 26.94 million tons, and the output of Shanxi, Liaoning, Henan and Yunnan provinces also increased by more than 6.5438+0 million tons. From the perspective of enterprise types, the crude steel output of key large and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises increased by 5.5% from June to June, which was 2 percentage points lower than the national average, but 60% of the increase still came from key large and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises.

(2) Steel prices are running at a low level. 2013-1-June, the overall performance of the domestic steel market was sluggish. With the release of crude steel production capacity, the market supply and demand are in an unbalanced state, and steel prices have entered a downward channel and remained weak for more than 4 months. By July 26th, 20 13, the steel price index had dropped to 100.48, lower than 6.6 at the beginning of the year. Compared with the beginning of the year, the prices of eight kinds of steel products, which are the key statistics of the Iron and Steel Industry Association, have declined to varying degrees, with an average decline of 5.7%. In terms of varieties, the prices of construction wire and rebar, which account for a large proportion of China's steel output, decreased by 4.9% and 6.7% respectively, while the prices of medium plate and hot rolled coil decreased by 5.7% and 9.7% respectively.

(3) Rapid growth of steel exports. The imbalance between supply and demand in the domestic steel market stimulates the export of enterprises. From June to June, China exported 30.69 million tons of steel, up 65.438+02.6% year-on-year. Imported steel was 6.83 million tons, down by 1.8%, and imported steel billets and ingots were 320,000 tons, up by 50%. When billet is converted into crude steel, the cumulative net export is 25.06 million tons, up by 17.3% year-on-year, accounting for 6.4% of China's crude steel output. From the export price, the average export price of bars and wires from June to June was 624.3 USD/ton, down18% year-on-year; Medium plate was USD 835.2/ton, down 2.8% year-on-year.

(4) Steel mills and social stocks run at a high level. The contradiction between supply and demand in the market spread to the circulation field, and domestic steel stocks continued to grow at the end of last year. /kloc-reached an all-time high of 22.52 million tons in March/May, an increase of 35 10000 tons over the previous year, of which 1432 million tons was the construction steel inventory, accounting for 63.6% of the total inventory. After that, with the increase of seasonal consumption, the inventory gradually fell back, and fell to 654.38+054 million tons on July 26th. The oversupply of the market has also pushed up the inventory of steel mills. In mid-March, the steel inventory of key enterprises reached a historical record, reaching 145 1000 tons, up by 29.7% year-on-year, and dropped to 1268 tons in late June, still up by 29.9% compared with the beginning of the year and up by/kloc-0 compared with 20 100 tons in the same period.

(V) The profitability of steel mills is declining month by month. In the first half of 20 13, the metallurgical industry realized a profit of 73.69 billion yuan, up 65.438+03.7% year-on-year, of which the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry realized a profit of 45.44 billion yuan, up 22.7% year-on-year. From June to May, the profitability of key large and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises was far less than the overall level of the industry, showing a downward trend month by month. Although the profit has increased by 34%, it is only 2.8 billion yuan, and the sales profit rate is 0. 19%. In the month of May, 86 key large and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises only realized a profit of 654.38+0.5 billion yuan, which declined for five consecutive months, among which 34 enterprises suffered losses, with losses as high as 40%.

(VI) The growth rate of investment in fixed assets in the steel industry dropped significantly. From June to June in 20 13, the investment in fixed assets in steel industry was 303.5 billion yuan, up 4.3% year-on-year, of which the investment in ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry was 235.6 billion yuan, up 3.3% year-on-year, down 6. 1 percentage point compared with the same period in 20/0/2. The investment in ferrous metal mining and dressing industry was 67.9 billion yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed down by 15 percentage points.