The US presidential election is clear, and the alternation of old and new presidents is a foregone conclusion, which is conducive to the redeployment of the United States to prevent and control the epidemic. In addition, vaccines are progressing rapidly, and the effective rate of vaccines such as Pfizer is relatively high. The United States will start vaccination as early as the end of the year. Even if the vaccine is not vaccinated until next year, the prospect of the COVID-19 epidemic has improved. In other words, the United States has seen the dawn and can find a solution to the epidemic and quickly organize economic recovery. The American economy is promising.
Although the current position of U.S. stocks is out of touch with the economic situation in the United States, it has gone up after all, and it is difficult to fall again without major negative interest. This position is the result of market game. US stocks are not without short positions, and short positions are also to suppress US stocks. However, after the actual game, US stocks once again reached below 30,000 points, indicating that US stocks are still attractive, especially some technology stocks and pharmaceutical stocks, which are sought after by the market, so it is not false for US stocks to rise again.
At present, there is still more than one month before the end of the year. During this period, the vaccine has made rapid progress, and the United States is likely to act in advance, that is, vaccinate on a small scale. This is the third phase of clinical trials and beyond. The vaccine in the United States has entered this period, and the speed is still very fast. It can stimulate US stocks to continue to rise ahead of schedule and further try the 30,000-point mark. After all, the distance is very close now, and it can be reached in a single day.
Once the US stock market passes 30,000 points, it may continue to rise, and 32,000 points or 35,000 points are close at hand. US stocks will continue to rise, expanding the operating space above 30,000 points. It is unrealistic to rise too high, but the increase of 3000 to 5000 points can still be seen. Therefore, the US stock market will continue to lead the global stock market, and this indestructible bubble will continue to blow up. As for when it will reach 40 thousand points, at present,
There are also many problems and contradictions during the carnival of US stocks. For example, gundlach, the new creditor, pointed out that the position of the US stock market was too high, and Bauer, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, also warned that asset prices might fall. This shows that short positions in the US stock market are also accumulating energy, waiting for the opportunity to plunge short. The American stock market has never lacked short positions. The last plunge by half fully demonstrated the power of short positions in the US stock market. This time, the time and location of the empty warehouse may be delayed, but the empty warehouse will not disappear.
American technology giants have basically been sentenced to death by the US Congress. Because they are recognized monopoly enterprises, they will inevitably face the situation of spin-off in the future. The rising market dominated by technology giants is about to peak. Once the technology giants are forced to split up, technology stocks will inevitably plummet, so there are many opportunities and tools to short US stocks. The positions of American investment institutions in the stock market have a normal distribution probability model, that is, many institutions are short and just waiting for opportunities.
Generally speaking, the U.S. stock market will break through 30,000 points in 2020 and will continue to rise after the breakthrough. If the vaccination is successful next year, US stocks may continue to rise, but at present, 40,000 points is still far away, and a substantial medium-term adjustment will be launched around 35,000 points. Of course, if there is substantial progress in Sino-US trade next year, it is not excluded that US stocks will continue to rise. As long as it is an American economic system, the American stock market represents the wealth of Americans.