According to market feedback, at present, the national average price of lean pigs is 15.4 1 yuan/kg, up 0.26 yuan from the previous day. In the last three days, the price of pigs has risen as high as 0.74 yuan, and the price of pigs has stopped falling, with an increase of nearly 5%! The price of pigs has soared. In the domestic north and south markets, the price of pigs continues to rise, and the price of pigs in many places has entered the "8 prefix"!
According to data analysis, in May 1 1 day, pig prices in Beijing and Tianjin in the northern market soared to 8 yuan/kg, 7.5 yuan in Liaoning/kg, and pig prices in Hebei and Shanxi also climbed to 7.7 yuan/kg. It is only a matter of time before the pig price is far from 8 yuan/Jin! Pig prices in most parts of South China and East China have entered the "8 yuan era", and the Fujian market has skyrocketed to 8.2 yuan/kg.
In Guangdong, the price of pigs has risen to 8.9 yuan/Jin, and the market is generally on the rise. So, what is the support for the rise in pig prices?
Personally, I predict that this round of pig prices will rise sharply, which is supported by market sentiment differences. With the rise of the domestic mainstream pig futures market, the bullish sentiment of the market for pig prices increased sharply in the third and fourth quarters, and fattening piglets also became the focus of hot money operation. The price sentiment of farmers has increased, and the supply of live pigs in the market has decreased, which has also promoted the continued strength of pig prices! However, in May, due to Guangdong's restrictions on importing pigs from other provinces, the mood of local pig enterprises weakened and the market pressure was greater. Although the influx of pigs that meet the requirements of point-to-point transportation has increased, the price of pigs has temporarily decreased. However, with the strict investigation of pig transportation across provinces in Guangdong, the arrival of pigs from local slaughterhouses is insufficient, and the arrival of white pigs in some wholesale markets is obviously delayed. Under the influence of large-scale precipitation in Puying, the market supply and demand were blocked, and the pig price was temporarily lowered.
However, with the high price of live pigs, the price of live pigs will also face a 1 crisis, and the price of live pigs will once again "change its face", and the market will have a high and low foundation!
On the one hand, due to the rapid rebound of pig prices, pork market prices have risen, and consumer support is obviously insufficient. The resistance of traders to high-priced white bars has increased sharply, while the domestic mask problem continues, the demand for catering and large pieces of pork is poor, the enthusiasm of residents for purchasing has weakened, and the market consumption has gradually warmed up!
On the other hand, the price of live pigs has risen too fast, and the price of live pigs in the north and south has risen to the "8 prefix", which has weakened the pressure on farmers to lose money in slaughter. In some high-priced areas, the price of pigs has risen to the fattening cost line. Due to the high stock of sows in China, the supply of live pigs in the market is still sufficient. After the pig price rises sharply, the mood of large pig enterprises will become stronger, and the circulation of pigs in the market will gradually accelerate. Slaughterhouse is limited by consumption constraints, so it will be less difficult to collect pigs, or the price will be reduced.
Therefore, based on the short-term sharp rise in pig prices, the market lacks continuous support. With the intensification of the game between supply and demand, the price of pigs may change, and the market is at risk of rising and falling! However, due to the large-scale rainfall weather process in South China and Jiangnan, this may affect the slaughter of live pigs in the market and the arrival of live pigs in the wholesale market. Therefore, although the slaughterhouse is depressed, the downward trend of pig prices may be delayed. Pig prices in South China and other places may continue to rise!
The price of pigs has increased by 25%, and many places in the north and south have entered the "8 prefix". There are 1 new crises. Is the price of pigs going to change? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet! # Pig price #