It is less likely that the oil price will return to 6 yuan era in 2022, but it is more likely that No.92 gasoline will return to 7 yuan era, depending on whether the oil price can return to 6 yuan era in 2023. From the perspective of development, it is impossible for oil prices to return to the 6 yuan era. There are three factors that determine oil prices:

1. The first is oil supply. Theoretically speaking, the greater the oil supply, the lower the oil price will be in competition with each other. From this perspective, it is possible for oil prices to return to the 6 yuan era, but those oil-producing countries in the world are not stupid. When oil is supplied to the market, they will reduce production and stabilize oil prices. At present, the world's largest oil organization, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, often does this and tends to cut production, so it is basically impossible to let oil prices fall sharply.

2. The second is the change of market consumption. From the perspective of economic theory, the greater the market demand for oil, the higher the price of oil will be. On the contrary, when the market consumption of oil shrinks, oil producers are forced to cut prices to ensure their market share. However, as we all know, with the development of industrialization, more and more machines need to consume oil, especially more and more private cars, which will further promote the social demand for oil, so oil prices will continue to rise.

3. Third, the monetary factor. Money will have a direct impact on prices. The more money is issued, the more prices will rise. On the contrary, if the money is reduced, the price will fall. Generally speaking, it is expected that oil prices will fall in 2022, depending on whether it is possible to fall in the second half of the year. There is little possibility that oil prices will fall back to the 6 yuan era this year, and the possibility is almost zero.