Small investigation
The curse of the World Cup may reappear.
Analysts believe that due to the arrival of the World Cup, investors' attention tends to be distracted, leading to light trading. In fact, historical data shows that in the past month when the 14 World Cup was held, the global stock market only rose three times, with a decline probability of 78.57%. The historical average increase in the month when the World Cup was held was-1.65%, which was significantly lower than the average increase of 0.3 1% in June of the past 56 years. The A-share market has also performed in the past. In the history of the four World Cups, it has gone out of the trend of decline or correction. Now that the market continues to slump, A shares may once again be unable to escape the influence of the "World Cup curse".
3.5 billion left the World Cup before the festival. Will the stock market be cursed?
The launch of some World Cup concept stocks has made many investors look forward to the "World Cup Quotes". Unfortunately, according to statistics, during the previous World Cups, the global stock market only rose three times, and the probability of decline was as high as 78.57%, forming an unbreakable "World Cup curse". As for the "World Cup curse", it is generally understood in the industry that due to the interlocking events during the World Cup, investors' energy will be dispersed, especially the "distraction" of institutional investors, which will reduce operations, reduce trading volume and make the market performance dull.
Speculative benefit shares from watching the World Cup (attached shares)
The World Cup is coming! 19 World Cup was held in ten stadiums in nine cities in South Africa from June 1 1 Sunday to July 12. This is the first World Cup held in South Africa. It is a major event that attracts the attention of the whole of Africa, and it is also a global fan feast every four years. For investors, we can't just focus on the ball game. Can the World Cup bring good development opportunities to A-share listed companies? In fact, some brokers have recently begun to pay attention to the possible investment opportunities of the World Cup theme in the stock market.
A shares pierce the curse of the World Cup. Agricultural Bank of China's listing or turning point of adulthood
The four-year World Cup has begun, and the curse of the global stock market has come. According to the statistics of online foreign stock markets, in the nearly one month since the World Cup was held in 14, the market has only experienced three overall rises, with a decline probability of 78.57%. On June 9, the A-share surge triggered by banking stocks pierced the curse of the World Cup, and A-shares began to fluctuate upward.
At present, when the valuation of bank stocks has fallen below 1664, it has entered a safe area, although this year's real estate policy, loan tightening, bad debt risk after large-scale lending, and asymmetric interest rate hike expectations may all affect the growth rate of bank performance. According to the latest forecasts of Bohai Securities Research Institute and Hongyuan Securities Research Institute, GDP growth this year may be around 9.5%.
World Cup and Global Stock Market
The closing price of the World Cup stock market bear list fell during the year.
Greece 1476.47%
China 2569.94%
Spain -22.96% 9798.2
France
China and Hongkong -8.96% 19909.22
The closing price of the world cup stock market bull list during the year.
Copenhagen 1.82
Venezuela 1
Indonesia 2804.85
Philippines 6.97% 3265.44
Sweden 6.28%
The latest World Cup Bear List released by A-shares in the stock market followed Greece and won the runner-up.
Before the start of the 20 10 World Cup in South Africa, injuries became one of the topics concerned by fans. Beckham missed the game early, and Ballack, Ferdinand and Robben also decided to watch the whole cup. It was reported that the star player could not participate in the World Cup due to injury, so that some netizens joked that the World Cup in South Africa became an "injured World Cup".
In fact, not only the stars of the World Cup team were injured, but also investors all over the world kept standing guard, quilt cover and even cutting meat. Under the spell of the World Cup, the stock markets in Europe, America, Asia-Pacific and other places all showed a "tragic" side, and major stock markets such as the United States, China, France, China, Hong Kong, Brazil, Japan, Australia, Britain, the Netherlands, Argentina and South Korea all fell from the beginning of the year.
14 World Cup global stock market fell 1 1 times.
Statistics show that in the past month when the 14 World Cup was held, the global stock market only rose three times, with a decline probability of 78.57%. Some investors also told reporters that there is no conflict between stock trading and watching the ball. The time difference between China and South Africa is six hours, except that the opening time of the third group match is 2: 30am Beijing time, and the opening time of the first two matches is19: 30am and 22: 00pm Beijing time respectively, while the trading time of A shares is from 9: 30am to 15, with a short lunch break. "This is completely wrong.
The curse of the World Cup may further depress European stock markets.
During recent World Cups, the major European stock indexes are basically in a downward trend. 1June 998 10 to July 12, just after the opening of the World Cup in France, the London stock market began to weaken. During the games, the FTSE 100 index in Britain fell by 6.6%. Although the Paris stock market fluctuated only within a narrow range during the World Cup, as soon as the World Cup ended, the CAC40 index in Paris, France began to fall continuously in July 13, and by the beginning of June 10, the CAC40 index in France had fallen by 30%. From May 3, 2002 to June 30, 2002, the World Cup in Japan and South Korea, the European market plummeted, and the British FTSE 100 index fell from 5085 on May 3, 2002 to 3626 on July 24. Both the Paris stock market and Frankfurt stock market fell sharply. During the 2006 World Cup in Germany, the "curse" reappeared, global stock markets plummeted, and commodity futures such as gold and oil also fell from high levels.