Under normal circumstances, when the stock price rises for a period of time, the rising range deviates from the trading volume of the day. Then, retail investors should consider leaving the market, and the dealer is likely to be shipping.
The stock price refers to the transaction price of the stock, which is a concept relative to the stock value. The real meaning of stock price is the value of enterprise assets. The value of the stock price is equal to the earnings per share multiplied by the price-earnings ratio.
According to the trend theory, there are three trends in stock price movement.
The most important thing is the basic trend of the stock.
That is, broad or comprehensive stock price changes. This change usually lasts for a year or more, and the total increase (decrease) of the stock price exceeds 20%. For investors, the basic trend continues to rise to form a long market, and continues to fall to form a short market.
The second trend of stock price movement is called the second trend of stock price.
Because the secondary trend is often opposite to the basic trend and has a certain inhibitory effect on it, it is also called the correction trend of stock price. This trend varies from three weeks to several months, and its share price generally rises or falls by 65438+ 0/3 or 2/3 of the basic trend of the share price.
The third trend of stock price movement is called short-term trend.
Reflects the change of stock price in a few days. A revised trend usually consists of three or more short-term trends.
Among these three trends, long-term investors are most concerned about the basic trend of stock prices, with the aim of buying as many stocks as possible in the bull market and selling them in time before the short market is formed. Speculators are more interested in the correction trend of stock prices. Their purpose is to make short-term profits from it. Short-term trend is not very important, easy to be manipulated, and inconvenient to be the object of trend analysis. People generally can't manipulate the basic trend and correction trend of stock prices, and only the national financial department can make limited adjustments.
The relationship between trading volume and stock price is reflected in the following two situations:
Volume and price are in the same direction: that is, the stock price changes in the same direction as the volume. The stock price rises, and the trading volume also rises, which is the performance that the market continues to be optimistic; When the stock price falls, the trading volume decreases, indicating that the seller is optimistic about the market outlook and unwilling to sell the position, and there is still great hope for a turnaround rebound.
Deviation between volume and price: that is, the stock price and volume show opposite trends. The stock price rises while the trading volume decreases or remains flat, indicating that the upward trend of the stock price cannot be supported by the trading volume, and this upward trend is difficult to maintain; The decline in stock price but the increase in trading volume is a precursor to the downturn in the market outlook, indicating that investors are afraid of catastrophe and sell the market.
Volume is a mirror reflecting the popularity of the stock market. People can only be enthusiastic about buying and selling when they are red, and when they are angry, the transaction volume will naturally increase; On the contrary, when people's hearts are shaken and their popularity is low, investors will be disheartened and the turnover will definitely shrink.
Volume is an effective way to observe the dynamics of big bookmakers. Huge funds are the essence of big bookmakers, and all their intentions must be realized through transactions. The sudden increase in trading volume is likely to be that the dealer is buying and selling.