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202 1 is corn expected to rise or fall?
1. Judging from the auction situation, so far, no new corn auction announcement has been released this week, so it seems that the auction of temporarily stored corn has ended. Up to now, 56.84 million tons of temporarily stored corn have been sold, plus 8.02 million tons of disposable stored corn, and 64.86 million tons of corn have been auctioned. The task of destocking is basically over, and the pressure of auctioning corn before the end of the year is greatly reduced.

2. In terms of futures, last Friday, the main contract of Dalian corn 210/kloc-0 rose to 2443 yuan/ton, an eight-year high since 20 12. From the spot price, the corn price rebounded 10-30 yuan/ton in recent two days. It can be said that the rise of futures has guided the future corn market.

3. Judging from the factors of corn yield, although the corn area has increased due to the increase of corn subsidies, since the end of August, three provinces and one district in Northeast China have been hit by three consecutive typhoons, and the decline of corn is bound to affect the whole corn yield.

4. From the consumption point of view, since the fourth quarter of 20 19, the pig production capacity has continued to grow. It is predicted that the first half of 20021will be a period of rapid growth of pig production capacity, and the demand for feed corn will continue to rise. Judging from the current soybean meal market and feed market, there has been an upward trend.

Extended data:

1, the corn price is in a gap period before the new grain goes on the market, after the old grain falls, and at the end of the auction, or there is a short-term price rebound, but the space is limited. Personally, I think it is unlikely to break through the previous high 1.25 yuan/kg. Corn rose in June 165438+ 10, and the price may be above 1.20 yuan/kg. When it comes to February 65438+February, corn prices will fall back until the end of March.

2. A comprehensive analysis of the corn market shows that in June 5438+ 10, a large number of new corn crops were put on the market, and the short-term corn prices rose only slightly, making it difficult to break through the previous high of 1.25 yuan/kg. However, after the downturn of 65438+February-20265438+March, corn prices will usher in a new trend.