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Moreover, in 2020, domestic oil prices recorded a good situation of "8 up and 5 down 12 stranded" and continued to rise for two months at the end of the year. At present, No.92 gasoline is close to 6 yuan/liter. 202 1 The date of the first round of oil price adjustment is1October 5, 202 1 65438+24: 00. As of the seventh working day of 1 12, it is currently in the upward range, and gasoline and diesel are expected to increase by1. As far as the short-term trend is concerned, after the oil price broke through 120 USD, new funds intervened and the profit target reached 130 USD. The huge call option contract near the above price is expected to form a "forced position" pattern for the market. Fundamentally, the rebound of the dollar is expected to come to an end near 73.5-74. Although the dollar is adjusted back, it has limited effect on pushing up oil prices. The surge in crude oil inventories announced last Wednesday and the high import volume of10 million barrels will put pressure on the short-term trend. Especially near the US President's visit to Saudi Arabia, the focus is on increasing supply, which poses potential pressure on bulls. Therefore, the short-term oil price is likely to start a correction in the range of 125- 130 USD.
In addition, as of the current second working day, the cumulative increase rate of refined oil is 95 yuan/ton, which is converted into 0.07-0.08 yuan/ton. Judging from the current price increase, the oil price is likely to rise again next time, but there is still 12 days before the oil price adjustment, and there is still a chance that the oil price will run aground or fall, depending on the next international oil price trend. International oil prices rose on the 5th. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for February delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange increased by 0.69 USD to 57.23 USD per barrel, with an increase of 1.22%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery on June 5438+ 10 in 2020 rose 0.83 USD to close at 62.96 USD per barrel, with an increase of 1.34%.
Finally, as of the first ten days of 165438+ 10, the price of diesel increased the most, reaching the highest value, which was 363 yuan/ton higher than that of the second ten days of 65438+ 10, or 5.8%. In mid-June, the price of diesel oil dropped the most in 5438+ 10. Compared with 5438+ 10 in early June, the price dropped by 182.9 yuan/ton, with a drop of 2.9%.