Therefore, stable comprehensive meat prices can help "consumers" and "farmers" find a balance point.
Everyone is more concerned about the follow-up trend. Is meat price really falling? Let's analyze it together.
First of all, pig market futures affect the decline in meat prices.
Judging from the pig futures 2209 contract, the pig price in the early stage dropped from the high point 13290 to 19965, with a decrease of about 20%. As a more important point, 19000 has certain restrictions on market adjustment.
It is unlikely that futures pigs will continue to fall. From the perspective of social fundamentals, the decline has already appeared, and the follow-up is mainly the delay of time.
Second, the impact of supply and demand on the live pig market
Judging from the supply side of live pigs in the market, most of the live pigs in July and August are piglets at the beginning of the year. As we all know, due to the extreme climate change and the extreme low temperature at the beginning of the year, the stock of the aquaculture end is relatively reduced, which reduces the market productivity.
Especially in early July, the previous price drop led to changes in breeding stock.
Under the previous blessing, many people gradually withdrew from the market because of losses, resulting in a decline in production capacity.
From the perspective of market demand, the market weather has gradually turned cold since the autumn of August. For autumn and fattening, the market consumption of live pigs will increase, especially the arrival of Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, which will stimulate market consumption, increase demand and increase meat prices.
Judging from the national policy, the overall price of meat is under control at present, and the pig market will develop gradually and orderly in the future, and the state will give certain market subsidies. In addition, the establishment of regulatory measures such as futures and purchasing and storage is of great significance for stabilizing the market.
On the whole, pork market consumption has a certain trend, and the whole will be in a stable whole. From the point of view of reproduction, it is better to land. After all, there are too many uncontrollable factors in the market.
August has arrived, pork has a certain upward trend, and there is a certain upward support in the second half of the year.
In terms of pig price, the overall price will remain at 18 to 20 yuan per catty.
Therefore, the overall pork price will not change much, so don't worry too much.
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