According to the calculation of Longzhong Information, as of the ninth working day of the price adjustment cycle (September 29th), the comprehensive change rate of crude oil was 3.35%, and the corresponding increase rate was 1 10 yuan/ton. At present, although the international oil prices rose and fell during the National Day, they basically offset each other, and the upward adjustment is still a high probability event.
Meng Peng, an analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, believes that since the beginning of this cycle, affected by multiple factors such as the decline in US crude oil inventories, the increase in Libyan crude oil production, and the still severe global epidemic, the international oil price has fluctuated as a whole, with a one-day plunge. The change rate of crude oil has dropped from a positive high level, and the market has a strong wait-and-see mood.
Hu Xue, an analyst at Zhongyu Information, said that under normal circumstances, within the pricing mechanism of ten working days, the last two working days have little impact on the retail price adjustment of refined oil products, but this pricing period spans the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day holiday, which means six more crude oil trading days than normal. If the price level of crude oil fluctuates too much during the National Day, the price adjustment of refined oil may change accordingly.
As of local time1October 7 10, international oil prices fell. The New York Mercantile Exchange light crude oil futures price 1 1 closed at $39.95 per barrel, down1.77%; London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery closed at $465,438+$0.99 per barrel, a decrease of $65,438+$0.55%.
According to the data released by us energy information administration on the 7th, the US commercial crude oil inventory last week was 492.9 million barrels, an increase of 500,000 barrels from the previous month, higher than the market expectation of 294,000 barrels.
The Sino-Singapore Jingwei client noticed that since the beginning of this year, the domestic refined oil prices have been adjusted 18 times, of which 1 1 time was stranded, down 4 times and up 3 times, and the prices of gasoline and diesel oil were lowered 1.860 yuan/ton and 1.790 yuan/ton respectively. Among them, the "floor price" protection mechanism failed to be adjusted six times.
Longzhong Information said that in terms of retail, the prices of 92# and 95# gasoline in Shandong Sinopec gas station were 5.48 and 5.88 yuan/liter respectively. If this round of upward adjustment is implemented, oil prices may enter the "6 era". In terms of gas stations, the retail price of gasoline in private gas stations is 0.4-0.6 yuan/liter lower than that in main gas stations recently, and the preferential intensity during some site activities can reach 1.2- 1.3 yuan/liter.
The next price adjustment window will open at 24: 00 on October 22nd, 2020 10. Li Yan predicted that the next round of refined oil price adjustment is likely to increase slightly. Meng Peng analyzed that there will be a wave of centralized replenishment after the holiday, but with the decline of gasoline demand, it is expected that domestic gasoline prices may show a steady downward trend.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.