What does futures mean and how to understand it?
The essence of futures is to sign long-term contracts with others to buy and sell goods (or stock indexes, foreign exchange, interest rates) in order to achieve the purpose of maintaining value or making money. If you think the futures price will go up, go long (buy and open positions), go up (sell) and close positions, and earn: price difference = close positions-open positions. If you think the futures price will fall, short (sell the position), fall (buy) and close the position, and earn: price difference = opening price-closing price. It is generally easy to understand how long futures are, but it is not easy to understand how short futures are. Let's take shorting wheat as an example (the seller may have no goods in hand when signing the selling contract) to explain the principle of futures shorting: when the price of wheat is 2000 yuan per ton, it is estimated that the price of wheat will fall. You signed a (first-hand) contract with the buyer in the futures market, for example, agreeing that you can sell him 10 ton of standard wheat at the price of 2000 yuan per ton. This is short selling (selling open positions). In fact, you are selling open wheat futures contracts. Why should a buyer sign a contract with you? Because he's awesome. When signing a contract, you don't necessarily have wheat in your hand (generally you don't really want to sell wheat). You are observing the market. If the market drops to 1800 yuan per ton as you wish, you can buy 100 tons of wheat per ton 1800 yuan and sell it to the buyer at 2000 yuan per ton. After the completion of the contract (your performance bond is returned to you), you earn: (2000-1800) × 10 = 2000 (yuan) (the handling fee is generally returned10 yuan, which is ignored). This is profit liquidation. In practice, you buy and close the primary wheat futures contract. The buyer (not specified) who signed the contract with you lost 2000 yuan (the handling fee was ignored). In the whole operation, you only need to sell a hand of wheat in 2000 and buy a flat at 1800, which is very convenient. After the futures are opened, they can be closed at any time before the delivery date, or they can be bought and sold many times in the same day (generally, there is no handling fee for closing positions on the same day). If the price of wheat rises within half a year, you have no chance to buy low-priced wheat to close your position, you will be forced to buy high-priced wheat to close your position (the contract must be closed at the expiration), you will lose money, and the buyer who signed with you will make a profit. If you close your position at 2200, you will lose money: (2200-2000)× 10=2000 (yuan) +60. The buyer (not specified) who signed the contract with you earned 2000 yuan (the handling fee was ignored).