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The ins and outs of the "327 incident" in treasury bonds futures?
327 is a national debt product, and the payment method is coupon rate 8% plus premium. Due to the uncertainty of discount, this product has a certain speculative value in the futures market and became the hottest speculative material of the year. The resulting 327 case is called the darkest day in the history of CITIC Construction Investment. (explanation: 327 is the national debt code, not the day of the crime, but the day of the accident is1February 23, 995)

Event development process

During the period of 1995, the national macro-control put forward measures to significantly reduce the inflation rate within three years. By the end of 1994 and the beginning of 1995, the inflation rate was controlled at around 2.5%. As we all know, during the three years from 19 1 to 1994, the inflation rate in China has remained high, and the discount rate for hedging has remained at the level of 7-8%. According to these data, Guan Jinsheng, then general manager of IWC and godfather of CITIC Construction Investment, predicted that the discount rate of 327 national debt could not be increased, even if it was not reduced, it would be maintained at 8%. According to this calculation, the 327 national debt will be paid at the price of 132 yuan. Therefore, when the market price fluctuates between 147 and 148 yuan, IWC and Liaoning Guofa Group become the main short sellers in the market.

On the other hand, China Economic Development Co., Ltd. at that time was affiliated to the Ministry of Finance, and thought it was reasonable that it had known that the Ministry of Finance would raise the discount rate. Therefore, Zhong Jingkai became the main force of bulls.

1February 23, 995, the Ministry of Finance announced that 327 national debt 148.50 yuan was paid, and the short judgment was completely wrong. On the same day, Economic Development led many parties to buy in large quantities while taking advantage of the profits, pushing the price to 15 1.98 yuan. Later, when the situation was unfavorable to the bears, Liao Gaoling and Plateau brothers quickly closed 500,000 short positions and bought 500,000 short positions backhand. 327 national debt 1 minute rose by 2 yuan. This means a heavy blow to all countries-a huge loss of 6 billion yuan. In order to protect his own interests, Guan Jinsheng made crazy measures to avoid huge losses eight minutes before the close: overdraft to sell treasury bonds futures and short treasury bonds. At 4: 22 pm, on the premise that the deposit on hand was not enough, the empty side suddenly launched an attack. First, 500,000 people blew the price from 15 1.30 yuan to 150 yuan, then to 148 yuan, and finally to 147.40 yuan, with a huge selling order of 7.3 million people. And the face value of this 7.3 million selling order is 654.38+04.6 billion yuan. On the same day, all the parties who opened the market broke their positions. Due to the rush of time, many parties had no time to react, which made this fierce long-short strangulation finally end in the profit of the world. On the other hand, the bulls represented by China Economic Development Bank suffered huge losses of about 4 billion yuan.

On the evening of February 23rd 10, after an emergency meeting, the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced that all transactions after February 23rd 16: 22 and 13 seconds were abnormally invalid. After this adjustment, the turnover of national debt on that day was 540 billion yuan, and the closing price of 327 varieties on that day was 15 1.30 yuan. In other words, all the long selling orders within 8 minutes before the close of the day are invalid, and the redemption price of 327 products is determined by the membership agreement. This decision of the Shanghai Stock Exchange instantly wiped out the later operation of the world. Global losses of 5.6 billion, on the verge of bankruptcy.

On February 24th, the Shanghai Stock Exchange issued the Emergency Notice on Strengthening the Supervision of Treasury bond futures trading, which made six provisions on the supervision of treasury bond futures trading, namely, 1, and implemented the price limit system of treasury bond futures trading from February 24th, 2, strictly strengthened the management of the maximum position contract limit, 3, established the customer position limit regulations, 4, prohibited member companies from borrowing positions from each other, 5. 6. Strictly manage the use of treasury bond futures funds. At the same time, in order to maintain market stability, a special session of agreement clearing was held.