Data expansion:
Stock index futures arbitrage can be simply divided into:
1. Arbitrage between stock index futures and stock index spot: The trading behavior of arbitrage by using the unreasonable relationship between futures index and spot index is called risk-free arbitrage.
2. Arbitrage between different contracts of stock index futures: arbitrage trading by using the unreasonable relationship between futures contract prices is called spread arbitrage principle: futures index and spot index (CSI 300) maintain a certain dynamic relationship.
However, sometimes the futures index deviates from the spot index. When this deviation exceeds a certain range (the upper and lower limits of the arbitrage-free pricing range), there will be arbitrage opportunities (in order to make profits from the price difference of the same group of stocks in the futures and spot markets).
① positive set: when the actual futures price is greater than the theoretical price, sell the stock index futures contract and buy the constituent stocks in the index to obtain risk-free arbitrage income.
② Reverse hedging: When the actual futures price is lower than the theoretical price, buy the stock index futures contract and sell the constituent stocks in the index to obtain risk-free arbitrage income. The pricing of futures is more complicated. You can learn the no-arbitrage pricing theory and the holding cost pricing theory of futures investment analysis.
Take a simple arbitrage process (futures arbitrage of non-dividend stocks) as an example: f = se r (t-t) Let a stock be quoted as 30 yuan, and the stock will not pay dividends for two years. If the 2-year futures price is 35 yuan (for convenience of example, there is basically no 2-year futures contract in reality), you can carry out the following arbitrage: buy stocks, sell futures, borrow 3000 yuan at an annual interest rate of 5%, buy 100 shares, and sell 1 00 shares of1year futures at the same time. Two years later, the cash of futures trading contract is 3,500 yuan, the loan principal and interest are repaid by 3,000 * (1.05) 2 = 3,307.5 yuan, and the profit is 3,500-3,307.5 =192.5 yuan.