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Will oil prices rise again next week?
This year, combined with the epidemic factors and the influence of a series of international events, the commodity prices in the whole world market have risen obviously, especially the oil prices. Our domestic refined oil prices have changed a lot this year, showing a trend of 8 up 1 down at present. What deserves our attention is that the oil price will be adjusted for the fourth time 14 tomorrow night. If the oil price rises again this time, No.92 gasoline may be close to 9 yuan. Let's look at the details. I. Changes in oil prices this year First of all, let's review the changes in domestic refined oil prices this year. Since the beginning of this year, the domestic price of refined oil in China has increased by eight times. The increase in overall oil prices is really terrible. The price of domestic refined oil once entered the 9 yuan era, such as 98 # gasoline, and even stabilized at around 10 yuan. This has increased the travel costs of many car owners and made them feel very headache. In mid-April this year, China's domestic refined oil prices finally fell sharply. The reason behind this is that the United States and mobile oil-producing countries voluntarily released their original production capacity, which stimulated the rapid decline of international oil prices. However, the price of refined oil in our country has changed accordingly. At that time, the overall oil price could reach about one ton of 600 yuan, and a full tank of oil could save more than 20 yuan. However, the downward trend of oil prices did not last. After May 1 and mid-May this year, our domestic oil prices have risen twice again. These two rises almost completely offset the previous decline in oil prices, bringing oil prices back to a high level. According to China's oil price management regulations, domestic refined oil products will open the 10 price adjustment window this year around 24: 00 next Monday. So how will the oil price change this time? Second, the oil price will go up again tomorrow night. According to the prediction of relevant market institutions, the domestic oil price will still rise again. So how much did it go up? From the perspective of the international market, Brent crude oil and several other major crude oil sectors fluctuated and rose in the past few working days, among which Brent crude oil futures prices rose by about 0. 12 percentage points. This has strengthened the confidence that international oil prices will continue to rise. According to the prediction of relevant domestic market institutions, in the next price adjustment window, the price of domestic refined oil in China may increase by about 0.3-0.4 yuan per ton, which means that the price of refined oil per liter may increase by 0.3-. If calculated according to the current oil price level, the price of No.92 gasoline in most cities in China is basically maintained at around 8.65 yuan per liter. If it goes up by 0.3-0.4 yuan again, the No.92 gasoline may be close to 9 yuan, or it may completely enter the 9 yuan era. As for No.95 gasoline, the current price remains at 9.25 yuan. If we go through another upward adjustment, the price of No.95 gasoline may reach the level of 9.5 yuan per liter. The price of No.98 gasoline is already in the era of 10 yuan, and further increase may bring No.98 gasoline closer to the threshold of 1 1 yuan. Third, will it rise in the future this year? According to the current oil price level, it is really high, which brings inconvenience to people's travel. Will oil prices continue to rise this year? In response to this question, the answers given by many market institutions are relatively negative, and almost all think that domestic refined oil prices will continue to rise this year. Why do you judge like this? 1 The pattern of the international market today is really complicated. It is difficult for many countries to conduct trade normally as before, and there are also some major oil-producing countries, which may reduce crude oil production in the international market and stimulate oil prices to rise. On the other hand, it's summer, and rising temperatures will ease the epidemic. This also shows that most countries will enter the stage of economic recovery, and the consumption and demand for crude oil products in the industrial market will increase significantly, thus indirectly raising the international oil price. Based on these two aspects, there is still room for international oil prices to continue to rise in the future, and our domestic refined oil prices will change at any time and continue to rise again.