In the pig market, the pig price has risen to a new height. Especially in the last three days, the price of pigs has risen, the average price has risen sharply, and the loss performance of farmers has gradually eased.
In the domestic fattening sheep market, the price of sheep still falls below the bottom line, and farmers are facing a new crisis. So, what happened in the market? The specific analysis is coming!
Egg prices staged "Waterloo", and the market was depressed in May!
In the domestic egg market, since February, the price of eggs in the market has continued to soar. The data shows that the average domestic egg price was only 3.78 yuan/kg in early February, but at the end of April, the average market egg price rose to 5.2 yuan/kg, and in some terminal retail markets, the egg price generally rose to more than 6 yuan/kg. Especially due to the mask problem, the average arrival price of eggs in Beijing wholesale market once soared to 6.65438+.
However, with the poor follow-up of domestic consumption, the market gradually cooled down after the egg price rose sharply. After the May Day holiday, the price of eggs suddenly fell. At present, the average wholesale price of eggs in the domestic production and marketing market has generally dropped to "4 prefix", among which the price of eggs in Beijing and Shanghai markets has dropped to about 4.7 yuan/Jin! However, in the producing areas of Hebei, Henan and Shandong, the delivery price of eggs in farms has generally dropped to 4.7~4.9 yuan/kg, and the egg price performance in the production and marketing market is still upside down!
According to industry insiders, the price of this round of eggs has dropped. On the one hand, the terminal market is dominated by inventory consumption, and the market is unsalable. Due to the higher price of eggs, residents' willingness to buy has declined, the temperature has risen, the difficulty of egg storage has increased, the market has a strong destocking sentiment, and the price of eggs lacks support; On the other hand, the stock of eggs at the breeding end continues to increase, farmers' shipping sentiment is high, and their enthusiasm for hoarding goods is high. With the increasing number of newly opened laying hens in China, the number of eliminated chickens gradually decreased, while the laying capacity gradually recovered. However, due to consumption constraints and high temperature and high humidity environment, the stocking mood at the breeding end is poor, traders are cautious, and the price of eggs in the market outlook lacks support! In the short term, egg prices are still in a downward trend. Under the mismatch of production and marketing, there is still a risk of further decline in egg prices!
The price of pigs has risen to a new height!
Nowadays, the price of eggs is low, but the price of pigs is rising. In recent three days, the price of pigs has intensified. The price of pigs has increased by 0.74 yuan/kg, with an increase of 5%, and the average price of pigs has also climbed to 15.4 1 yuan/kg. The price of pigs rose to a new height and the market reached a new high. Pig prices have risen in some markets.
The rise of pig prices against the trend is rooted in the strong bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the continuous heavy rainfall in the southern region, the arrival of pigs in the terminal market was delayed, the supply of pigs in slaughterhouses was tight, and the slaughter rhythm of pigs was limited, so slaughterhouses were forced to raise prices to collect pigs. Farmers in the northern region also have a strong price-holding sentiment, the rhythm of pig slaughter in the market has slowed down, and the price of pigs has risen sharply!
From the market fundamentals, due to the high prices of soybean meal and corn after the Spring Festival in the Year of the Tiger, the feed cost is rising, and the farmers' enthusiasm is poor. The supply of live pigs in the market is mainly standard pigs, and the phenomenon of secondary fattening is increasing. Some medium and low standard pigs flowed into secondary fattening, and the supply of pigs gradually decreased, while the domestic piglet market continued to rise, further strengthening the bullish sentiment of farmers, and the supply of pigs in the market shrank.
In the consumer market, the operating rate of slaughterhouses is low, the loading of pigs in the wholesale market is reduced, and large-scale rainfall is ushered in in the south, further limiting the supply scale of pigs in the market, and traders rebound in receiving goods, and the price of pigs is outstanding!
However, with the intensification of the market game, the price of pigs has risen sharply in the short term, but the consumer market lacks obvious follow-up performance. With the increase in the price of pigs with white stripes, the difficulty of fleeing goods in the wholesale market is gradually increasing, and the situation of consumption constraints is obviously strengthened. At the same time, the enthusiasm of large pig enterprises to sell at high prices has increased sharply, and the supply of pigs has been relaxed one after another. Therefore, although the pig price has risen sharply, the increase is difficult to maintain, and the market still has room for decline in the short term.
The price of sheep fell below the bottom line!
In my hometown of southwest Shandong, the local rural market, the price of ordinary lamb chops hovers around 33~34 yuan/kg, while the price of pure mutton is still as high as 37~40 yuan/kg. The price of mutton is on the high side, mainly mutton in the market, and mutton will be more expensive!
However, the price of mutton remains high, but the domestic fattening sheep market is sluggish. It is understood that the current price of sheep seedlings in the Northeast market is generally 400~600 yuan/head; In Shandong market, the price of small-tailed Han sheep hovered around 12~ 12.5 yuan/kg from 120~ 140 kg, and the price of some sheep above 140 kg dropped to1.7 yuan. As for 120~ 130 kg of fine-wool sheep and Xinmin sheep, the price is only hovering at 12~ 13 yuan/kg! However, due to the obvious weight difference of fattening sheep, the price also fluctuates greatly. For example, in some parts of Henan, the price of 70 kg goat reaches 17.5 yuan/kg, while the price of 100 kg Du Hanmian sheep is only 13 yuan/kg!
At present, the domestic fattening sheep prices are different, but some sheep prices have fallen below the fattening cost line 12~ 12.5 yuan/kg! Farmers face certain loss pressure, but in stages, the consumer market lacks obvious support, and the production pressure at the breeding end is great. Therefore, it is still difficult for the fattening sheep market to turn around. Personally, I predict that after entering the third quarter, with the increase of pig price, the enthusiasm for mutton consumption will rebound and overlap, the enthusiasm for sheep fattening will gradually weaken and the price will gradually increase!
Egg prices staged "Waterloo", pig prices rose to new heights, and sheep prices fell below the bottom line. What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!
# Pig price #