MACD is an ancient and classic indicator that is deeply loved by new and old investors, so using the macd indicator to trade stocks is a very common method. So how do you use the macd indicator to trade stocks? Today I will share my thoughts on macd indicator stock trading. The new method is the seven magic weapons. The specific content is explained below. (The following is the information about the magical functions of the MACD indicator that the editor has collected for you. I hope you like it.)
Method 1: First, look at the big or small. When doing stocks, you should judge the market. Look at the macd of the market. At what position, when the stock index and macd are rising at the same time, it indicates that the market trend is very healthy and you can hold shares patiently. If the market index is rising and macd is falling, and the two directions are moving in opposite directions, you must be cautious at this time. , generally the indicator will divergence 2 or even 3 times. When the third divergence occurs, the stock must be sold.
Method 2: Oversold rebound. If the market and individual stocks have been in a downward trend in the early stage, and you interrupt to make an oversold rebound, you need to see clearly the trend between the market and macd to see whether there is a bottom. The divergence trend (whether the extreme reverse channel has reached the blue oversold line) means that the market or individual stocks are still falling, and the macd indicator is indeed not at a new low. At this time, there is a bottom divergence. Generally, the bottom divergence of big black horses lasts a long time. When the bottom appears, you can enter the market to buy the bottom.
Method 3: Look at the position of macd, macd two lines, if it is a golden cross formed on the 0 axis**, the red pillar begins to lengthen, at this time it is best to have the mentality of rebounding before, and protect if there is profit. , don’t be greedy. Then decide the next step of buying and selling based on the changes in the market.
Method 4: If the two lines of macd form a golden cross above the 0-axis (preferably near the 0-axis), or a golden cross formed a little below the 0-axis, then it is a The market opportunities in the band are often the main upward trend of wave 3, and the buying profit is relatively generous.
Method 5: Turn the white line and apply oil on the soles of your feet. This means that if the market strengthens, the white line of macd will be farther away from the yellow line, and the two lines will also be further away from the 0 axis. . You must be careful at this time, there will be a callback.
Method 6: When the macd white line and the yellow line are far away from the zero axis, the white line takes an obvious downward arc shape, the macd red column becomes smaller, and the yellow line no longer moves upward. The yellow line and Once the white line crosses at a high level, no matter what others say, you must first avoid risks.
Method 7: If the stock in your hand is trapped, when the white line and the yellow line fall downward below the 0 axis, or when the next two lines are at the 0 axis**, the golden cross is not fully formed. It goes down again, indicating that the stock is still in a weak position, and it is very weak. You must not miss the stock at this time, don't have any illusions, and stop it in time.
1. The convenience and shortcomings of the MACD indicator
The MACD indicator is relatively intuitive and easier to interpret and use than other indicators, making it easier for beginners to use. For trending market conditions, this indicator can more accurately capture trending market conditions and will not be "deceived" by short-term fluctuations in the trend. Investors can enjoy a larger portion of profits in the trend band.
The MACD indicator is a trend indicator - a medium and long-term indicator. When a buy or sell signal occurs, the price difference between the current price and the lowest and highest price is already large. When the market is in a range-bound oscillation or consolidation trend that fluctuates up and down with a small amplitude, investors enter the market based on the signal provided by the MACD indicator and then leave the market again. There may be no profit between buying and selling, and they may even have to lose money. There may even be losses due to handling fees. This indicator cannot effectively identify and filter "consolidation trend", which is one of the shortcomings of the MACD indicator.
If the price rises or falls sharply in the short term (for example, within one or two days), MACD has no time to react. Because MACD moves relatively slowly, there is a certain time lag between the market changes. Therefore, once the price rises or falls rapidly, MACD will not respond in time. There will be "hysteresis", and the signal will not be generated immediately, and short-term, rapid, and large fluctuations in the market can be captured in time. This is the second shortcoming of the MACD indicator.
2. The use of "divergence"
"Divergence" is divided into top divergence and bottom divergence, which are short and long signals respectively. The so-called bottom divergence means that the current "two lines" (DEA and DIFF lines) of the MACD indicator cross upward in stages at a higher position than the previous upward cross, but the current price is lower than the price at the previous upward cross. In this case, we call the change in the MACD indicator a bottom divergence signal. This signal is a long signal, and sometimes it is a reversal signal (reversal from the early short trend to a long trend).
However, it should be noted that not all bottom divergence signals that meet the above two conditions will produce a large rebound or even a reversal of the market. In terms of probability (or certainty), in order to generate a relatively good bull signal, it is best to have the following signs: the trend before the crossover has experienced an accelerated decline, and the crossover is accompanied by a highly resistant bull signal. (For example, the Dayang K-line or the Doji K-line with a long lower shadow, etc.).
For example, the "bottom divergence" signal on the daily K-line chart of the Shanghai Silver Index on March 11, 2013 (indicated by A) relative to January 9, 2013 (indicated by B) , this signal conforms to the basic bottom divergence signal characteristics, but the trend before A is not an accelerating downward trend, and the K line near A does not have a strong resistant bull signal, so there is no major resistance after the bottom divergence. A big rebound or reversal. The Shanghai Silver Index on July 9, 2013 (indicated by point C) also showed a bottom divergence signal relative to May 3, 2013 (indicated by point D), but the previous trend at point C had accelerated its decline, and at the same time The K line near C (July 1) is a medium-level Yang K line that jumps upward. Point C not only conforms to the basic characteristics of bottom divergence, but also shows what the author calls "signs". Therefore, there was a bull market that rose from about 4,000 yuan/kg to around 5,100 yuan/kg at C, while A not only did not see a decent rebound, but also continued the early short trend in the later period and continued to break down.
3. The application of "potential"
The so-called application of "potential" here refers to using the MACD indicator to determine the "potential" of the current price. This "potential" Is it in a bullish or bearish trend? Furthermore, is it a bullish trend in a rising market or a small rebound bullish trend in a falling market, or vice versa. At the same time, it can also be judged whether the current "potential" is in a continuation or even strengthening trend, or whether it is in a "shrinking" or even turning into a reverse "potential". This application mainly uses the changes in the bars in the MACD indicator and the relationship between price and the medium and long-term moving average (especially the 60 moving average) to judge. The specific method is as follows:
(1) When the MACD indicator column is red, a——if both DEA ??and DIFF lines are above zero, it means that the price is in a bullish trend, unless The red column has obvious signs of continued shrinking, otherwise the price trend will continue to rise; b - If both DEA ??and DIFF lines are below zero, it means that the price is in a bullish rebound trend, unless the red column has an obvious trend. Continue to amplify the signs, otherwise the price trend can only be treated as a short-term rebound.
(2) When the MACD indicator column is green, a——if both DEA ??and DIFF lines are below zero, it means that the price is in a short trend in a downward trend, unless the green column has obvious There are signs of continued shrinkage, otherwise the price trend will continue the downward trend; b - If both DEA ??and DIFF lines are above zero, it means that the price is in a short-term adjustment trend in a bullish trend, unless there are obvious signs of continued amplification of the green column. Otherwise, the price trend can only be treated as a short-term consolidation trend.
In addition, if the above various situations are judged based on the relationship between futures prices and the 60 moving average, the accuracy will be further improved. For example, in the case of "b" in "(1)" above, if the price at that time is at the 60-day moving average**, and the 60-day moving average is turning downward, then the short-term rebound at this time will provide a good short-selling opportunity. . For example, the daily K-line of the Shanghai Silver Index rebounded from January 10 to January 22, 2013. In this case, the better approach is not to do short-term long orders, but to wait for the rebound to a certain extent to make short-term arrangements. . By the same token, for the Rapeseed Meal 1401 contract from October 16 to October 29, 2013, a better strategy is to wait for the adjustment to a certain level before placing a long order. This situation belongs to the above-mentioned "(2) "B" situation in "."
In short, the use of the MACD indicator cannot simply copy the textbook method, but should be combined with the actual long and short trends (such as moving average systems, K-line conditions, etc.) for comprehensive analysis and judgment, and at the same time when opening a transaction Finally, risk prevention measures should also be taken at the same time, so that while striving to maximize profits, we can avoid risks and reduce losses as much as possible, in order to achieve a stable and winning state.