In recent days, the "second brother" is in full swing, and the price of pigs has risen on a large scale for five consecutive days. It soared in the first two days and entered the "eighth era" in one fell swoop. Although it is slightly weak today, there are still 15 provinces and cities where pig prices have entered the "ninth era", and the pig price difference in Guangdong Province has reached "10", which makes many people think it is broken.

According to China Storage Network, on June 24th, 2022, China planned to purchase and store 40,000 tons, but the actual transaction volume was zero, and the starting price was 25,330 yuan/ton.

At present, in 2022, 13 batches 16 pork storage has been completed nationwide, with a cumulative bid transaction of 518,000 tons, and the actual transaction of1/2,200 tons, and the last two were "zero transactions", indicating that the market is still bullish.

At present, the pig-to-grain ratio is in the second warning range, but the purchasing and storage action continues unabated, which has released a positive signal to the market and also released the confidence of the official market to avoid further large fluctuations in pig prices in the later period.

According to industry insiders, this round of pig prices has risen sharply, mainly because there are too few breeding ends.

Because most of the pork was sold off, the pig futures hit a new high after the callback, and the market bullish sentiment was high. At the end of the month, the number of pigs to be slaughtered may be further reduced, and the price of pigs will rise again.

However, the right to speak of large-scale pig enterprises has been improved, the bidding has been greatly improved, and the procurement of slaughtering enterprises has been difficult, which has also aggravated the bullish sentiment of scattered pig farms. In short, the pig market was stimulated by multiple factors, and the pig price soared to a new high.

However, the recent surge in pig prices has deviated from the fundamentals of market supply and demand. Due to poor follow-up by consumers, it will obviously restrict the excessive rise of pig prices, especially with the increase of standard pig prices, the purchasing pressure of slaughterhouses will increase obviously.

However, after the price of live pigs soared in the terminal market, the price of pork also soared, further leading to insufficient consumption support. Slaughtering enterprises' gross-white price difference has narrowed again, and the pressure of loss has intensified, and the willingness of slaughtering enterprises to reduce prices will gradually strengthen.

With the substantial increase of domestic pig slaughter profits, the pig slaughter mood will gradually loosen. After all, the acceptance of the big pig market is biased at present, and some free-range pig farms are in the mood of selling at a loss during the critical slaughter window of secondary fattening. The slaughter of big pigs may curb the excessive rise of pig prices, and it is expected that there will still be the risk of "high prices and low prices" in the short term. However, due to the end of the month and the beginning of the month, the output of pig enterprises has been completed or further reduced, and the pig price does not have the basis for a sharp decline in the short term.

According to the monitoring of pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs increased by 1 and decreased by 17, accounting for 66% of all monitored areas. The average price of live pigs monitored nationwide is the lowest 8.76 yuan/kg, the highest 9.00 yuan/kg, and the overall average price of live pigs is 8.88 yuan/kg, which is a very auspicious figure. Moreover,

Judging from the procurement difficulty of slaughter enterprises, the procurement difficulty of slaughter enterprises is still relatively large, and some slaughter enterprises in Northeast China have certain price reduction phenomena. However, the effect is average. Due to the rapid increase in pig prices, the price increase of slaughter enterprises and wholesale markets is slow, and many enterprises and wholesale markets have a certain degree of pressure on goods, and the constraint phenomenon is gradually reflected.

Market sentiment has obviously weakened, and many traders have a certain bearish mood.

The pig price in the breeding group is adjusted downwards and upwards, and the pig price in the breeding group is obviously weakened. Pig prices in some regional groups have gone up and down. In the northern region, the pig price premium of the breeding group has weakened, and the number of pigs listed by the leading group has been raised or lowered, and the overall situation has shrunk. Pig prices have been adjusted to a certain extent, traders' bidding enthusiasm has been significantly reduced, and high prices in some areas have dropped.

The ex-factory price of white striped pigs in northern slaughter enterprises has been adjusted. The price of white pigs in some enterprises dropped by 200 yuan/ton, and the enthusiasm of traders for receiving goods was obviously weakened. The loss phenomenon of slaughter enterprises is still obvious.

Forecast of live pig price trend tomorrow: Based on the analysis of recent live pig market factors, it is expected that the live pig price will show a "steady decline" phenomenon tomorrow.

The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome everyone to exchange views on the hog market, grasp the market dynamics, collect and share, and tomorrow will be more exciting. I believe that with your help, the price of pigs will rise again.