The plastic PE market will rise slightly in April.

Time: April 0, 2006107: 00.

Market analysis in January and March

In March, after nearly a month of consolidation, the polyolefin market gradually walked out of the trough that lasted for several days, and the price rebounded slightly. With the decrease of social inventory and the light transaction in the early stage, the supply began to decrease. However, when the demand remains basically stable, the agricultural film in the polyethylene market coincides with the peak demand season, and the market price is on the rise. However, its floating space and rising strength must be supported by further downstream demand, so the increase is not very significant.

In March, the transaction price of ordinary LDPE (East China market, the same below) was 1 1200 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month and1/50 yuan/ton at the end of the month; The price of HDPE film from the beginning of the month to the end of the month:11300-11500 yuan/ton; HDPE drawing:11050-11350 yuan/ton; PP drawing:11000-11300 yuan/ton; PP * * * Poly:11500-11600 yuan/ton; GPPS: 10500- 10200 yuan/ton.

Main factors affecting the market trend in March:

Analysis on the characteristics and factors of market trend in March;

1, the downstream demand of PE is hard to see.

In March, although the downstream factories started well and were in the peak season of agricultural film demand, the procurement methods were still mainly a small number of times and bargain-hunting, and the demand was hard to see. Most traders have moderate or few positions and few open positions. Most merchants mainly ship goods. Recently, there are many "brick movers" in the market, and merchants often take the operation of fast-forward and fast-out.

2. The short-term bottom of 2.PE dollar market is established.

In the import market, the inventory pressure of most suppliers has eased after centralized transactions. Recently, the bottom of the external market has been established, and there is no intention to continue to depress the dollar price in the near future. In addition, some sellers who waited and saw in the early stage and did not have a large number of transactions also completed some sales one after another, and the price was basically the same as that of the previous transaction.

Second, April market forecast

It is expected that the overall polyolefin market price will show signs of improvement in April, and there may be a slight upward trend. From the perspective of market operation, when the market rose slightly in the early stage, most traders did not wait to get the goods, but actively shipped them. Then the market turned cold, and most people stopped selling goods at low prices. The overall market continues to consolidate, and traders' mentality is not very optimistic about the market outlook. Therefore, there will be obvious differences in the market mentality in April, and some traders may control the quantity of shipments and are unwilling to clear their positions; Other businesses will adhere to the "fast-forward and fast-out" operation idea, listing and shipping to avoid risks.

1. polyethylene: At present, the domestic polyethylene market is generally stable and the price is maintained. Low-pressure varieties are less affected by the supply of goods, and the price rises slightly. It is expected that the market will be stable in April, and some varieties, such as low-voltage wire drawing, have room for further growth due to scarcity. However, the downstream demand is not strong, and considering the centralized transaction in the previous US dollar market, imported goods may arrive in Hong Kong in mid-April, so the market outlook is not optimistic, and the monomer situation will be the focus of attention.