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How is the soybean harvest this year?
In a word, not good.

According to the information provided by relevant parties, the soybean harvest began and the market price dropped.

At present, the soybean harvest in Anhui and Henan has basically ended, and the soybean harvest in Shandong and Hebei has exceeded.

After 1990, most of the harvest in Jilin, Liaoning and Inner Mongolia exceeded 80%.

Jiangsu soybean harvest area has exceeded 60%.

This year, the quality of soybeans is good, and the oil yield of soybeans in Shandong and Anhui can basically reach.

15 - 16%。

However, the moisture content of newly harvested soybeans is somewhat high.

The purchase price of Anhui new soybean is 0.96 yuan/kg (1920 yuan/ton).

The purchase price of Henan 1-2 cents/kg is 0.97-0.98 higher than that of Anhui.

Yuan/Jin (1940- 1960 yuan/ton). Purchase price of soybean in Shandong Oil Plant

At around 2000 yuan/ton. The water content and oil yield of these new soybeans are 15-

16%, but there are relatively few commodities. Heilongjiang soybean purchase price is still maintained at

At the level of 0.87 yuan/kg. Farmers are reluctant to sell oil because the large-scale listing has not yet arrived.

With the prices of soybean meal and soybean oil falling, the factory is afraid to buy it rashly.

In the domestic market, the backlog of port soybeans was very serious in August and September, which inhibited the domestic market.

With the increase of soybean market price, it is reported that the backlog of Shandong Port is 420,000 tons, and the evacuation speed is fast.

The temperature is very slow. In late September, newly produced soybeans in Henan and Anhui took the lead in harvesting, and local soybeans in Shandong also landed.

Continue to harvest and go on the market, and the large-scale listing of Northeast soybean 10 will directly lead to the supply of raw materials.

It should be sufficient. Domestic crushing enterprises have experienced crushing peaks in July, August and August.

The demand for soybeans will decrease. Farmers will accelerate the listing of soybeans under the pressure of liquidation.

In the short term, the contradiction between supply and demand has put great pressure on the rise of soybean prices. In addition, considering that it has been downloaded.

The palm oil quota of 600,000 tons must be used up before the end of the year, and the import of rapeseed has increased recently.

Domestic soybean prices rebounded before the end of the year.

Imports of soybeans in North China fell by 30-80 yuan/ton compared with the previous year, and Dalian, Shandong and

Tianjin is basically around 2050 yuan per ton, and the transaction price of East China ports is mostly 2 150.

Yuan or so, basically the same as the first ten days.

In the international market, the smooth progress of soybean harvesting in the United States is the main reason for the decline in soybean prices.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) 10 June 5438+00 said that the United States has harvested 58% of soybeans, higher than.

The five-year average is 4 1%. 10 The monthly crop report released by the US Department of Agriculture on June 5 predicts that

In 2000, US soybean output was 2.823 billion bushels (76.5 million tons) and exported.

The turnover is 965 million bushels (266,543.8+0.6 million tons), and the ending inventory is still estimated at 365 million.

Bushels (9.89 million tons), and the soybean crushing capacity is161500 million bushels (43.77).

Ten thousand tons). The USDA estimated that the soybean production in Brazil in 2000/0 1 year was 33.5 million tons.

The export volume is 9.9 million tons; It is estimated that Argentina will produce 22.6 million tons of soybeans and export 4.4 million tons.

China imported 7.25 million tons of soybeans.