Since this pricing cycle, US crude oil production and inventories have both declined, and the exchange rate of the US dollar has declined. At the same time, at the meeting held by OPEC and non-OPEC members in Russia, Saudi Arabia announced that it would "substantially reduce production in August, and will continue to urge oil-producing countries to implement the production reduction agreement well and set an example". Supported by these good news, the overall trend of international oil prices is mainly rising.
As of the close of August 2, local time, the US (WTI) crude oil futures price rose by 0.9% to US$ 49.59 per barrel; Brent crude oil futures rose 1. 1% to $52.36 a barrel.
The comprehensive change rate of crude oil is monitored at 5.57%, and the domestic retail price limit of refined oil is expected to increase by 170 yuan/ton; Zhuo Chuang Information expects gasoline and diesel to increase by 165 yuan/ton.
This year, China's refined oil price limit has experienced a situation of "five rises, six falls and three stranded". Gasoline is lowered by 530 yuan/ton, which translates into a price increase of 0.39 yuan/liter; Diesel oil decreased by 505 yuan/ton, equivalent to an increase of 0.43 yuan/liter. Domestic oil prices rose slightly in the last round. If this round of upward adjustment is implemented, the oil price will be raised for the sixth time this year, which will also achieve "two consecutive rises".
Dai Tiandong, an analyst of refined oil products, said that the current domestic terminal demand situation has not improved, and the delivery performance of the main units is still light.
According to the monitoring of oil analyst Li Yan, the preferential margin of main gas stations and private gas stations such as Sinopec and PetroChina has been reduced recently. At present, the preferential rates of major gas stations such as Sinopec are mostly around 0.5- 1.3 yuan/liter, while those of private gas stations are mostly around 0.4- 1.2 yuan/liter, 1.5- 1.7 yuan/liter, and the number is already very rare.
"Recently, domestic oil merchants are very motivated to push prices, and the increase in various regions of the country ranges from 100-200 yuan/ton." Analyst Ma said, however, the downstream inventory is abundant, the enthusiasm for taking goods is not high, and the buyers and sellers in the market are in a stalemate, mainly waiting to see the market outlook.
"In the first half of August, the peak of summer travel in the United States is still there, and the favorable factors of international oil prices may continue. The next round of refined oil price adjustment has the possibility of three consecutive rises. " Li Yan thinks so.
Ups and downs have become the norm, and there will be no more fuss.