Look at the following short story, and fully understand how the economic crisis came in 3 minutes:
Once upon a time, there were two countries: textile country and aircraft country. The textile country has a population of 1 100 million, and can weave and make clothes, with an annual output of 200 million pairs of trousers. Aircraft countries also have a population of 1 billion. They can not only spin, but also build airplanes, with an annual output of 200 million pairs of pants and 10 airplanes.
Textile countries have to sell 100 million pairs of trousers to aircraft countries before they can buy back an airplane. After the trade between the two countries, the distribution of social wealth is as follows: the textile country has 100 million trousers and one plane, and the aircraft country has 300 million trousers and nine planes. In a big textile country, one person only wears one pair of trousers a year, and 100 million people can only squeeze one plane. As for the airplane country, a person can fly nine times a year in three pairs of trousers, which is cheaper than taking the train in the textile country! The people of the two countries have paid the same labor and sweat, and the per capita wealth of aircraft countries is actually 3-5 times that of textile countries.
In the second year, the aircraft countries changed their strategy and decided not to produce pants, because they found that as long as they sold a few more planes, they could get hundreds of millions of pants, enough for the people of the whole country. Since then, the people in the airplane country have been liberated. They go clubbing every day, travel abroad for holidays, drink coffee and invest in textile countries. . . . . . In order to earn more money, people in textile countries work for more than ten hours every day, producing more pants: 300 million pants and 400 million pants, which are sold to aircraft countries and lead a hard life.
The life of ordinary people in airplane countries is getting better and better, working hours are getting shorter and shorter, workers are getting fewer and fewer, drinking coffee is getting longer and longer, and tourism, entertainment and service industries are developed. People in textile countries work longer and longer and have little time to drink coffee. Both the entertainment industry and the service industry serve a few rich people.
A few years later, the airplane country became richer and richer. Even the poor, even the homeless, can afford luxury houses at will, and the money is particularly large. However, big textile countries are still producing pants, with an annual output of 654.38 billion pairs. Aircraft countries are facing a crisis and a crisis of more money. No amount of money can buy pants. Too much money to spend.
Readers may wonder, too much money is also a crisis? Of course, it is not good for a banker to have billions of dollars in the bank. He has to find a way to lend it to make money, or he has to pay interest. No way, bankers try their best to encourage enterprises and people to borrow money, and encourage the poor and homeless to borrow money to buy a house. No way, no matter how rich it is. As a result, real estate rose first and then fell, and some poor people could not afford the loan, so they simply sold their luxury homes for one yuan and continued to move back to luxury rental houses.
The more textile countries export, the poorer they become. Do readers not understand? Textile countries have not become rich because of exports, but aircraft countries have become richer and richer, because more than 50% of the goods produced in China are sold to other countries in exchange for 5%- 10% of the goods produced in other countries. As a result, the aircraft countries are rich, while the textile countries are still living at the bottom, and the textile countries that suffer the most are those that exchange less for more.
Textile countries are facing a greater crisis. Originally, they didn't make much money exporting pants, only one pair of pants earned 1-2 yuan. Once the aircraft countries reduce their imports, countless people in the textile countries are directly laid off and unemployed.
This short story tells the top secret of the economic crisis: without high-tech industries, the export economy that relies on doing more with less money can only get poorer and poorer, which is the source of the crisis that creates polarization between the rich and the poor!
Only by mastering high-tech products that others don't have can a country truly become a strong country and a rich country, and can other countries work for themselves instead of making wedding dresses for other countries.
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Author: scorching sun on 2008-12-29 09: 51:35.0 Published by: SMS.
★ The secret of the Tang Dynasty becoming the world's largest power: silk ★
Why did China prosper in the Tang Dynasty? Hundred-nation worship? Because there was silk in the Tang Dynasty!
In order to get China silk, in the era when there were no planes, trains and cars, businessmen from all over the world rode camels as far away as Wan Li, abruptly embarked on a silk road from the desert Gobi in Wan Li, and exchanged their most precious gold, jewelry and jade articles for some silk to take home and make a fortune. The Tang Dynasty was not only prosperous, but also famous all over the world.
China sold silk, tea and porcelain to merchants from all over the world, but got a lot of gold and silver, which caused a huge trade surplus in the ancient global economy. The Tang Dynasty was the economic center of the world at that time, and Europe and Japan were models of learning with humility.
The technology of silk fabrics has been monopolized by China for hundreds of years. The ancient dynasty of China strictly controlled the technology circulation of silk weaving and sericulture and prohibited it from flowing to foreign countries. The Tang Dynasty was the heyday of silk production, and the output, quality and variety reached an unprecedented level. Silk production organizations are divided into three types: palace handicraft, rural sideline and independent handicraft, and their scale is greatly expanded compared with the previous generation. At the same time, the foreign trade of silk has also developed greatly. Not only has the number of "Silk Roads" increased to three, but the frequency of trade is unprecedented. The production and trade of silk made great contributions to the prosperity of the Tang Dynasty.
Look at how American middle school history books write about Sino-Western trade: The book says that as early as the Han Dynasty in China, the Silk Road, an important channel for East-West trade, was gradually formed, and the Han Dynasty exported a lot of expensive silk to West Asia. In order to protect the silk trade, China people have always kept the secret of silk production technology. The rulers of China have been strictly restricting foreign businessmen and only allowing them to operate in Guangzhou. China sold them silk, tea and porcelain, but got a lot of gold and silver, resulting in a huge trade surplus. 1793, the British demanded to increase trade rights, which was rejected by Emperor Qianlong. He said, "There is nothing in the West that China can use."
The unprecedented economic prosperity of silk trade in the Han and Tang Dynasties was introduced from West Asia to China by the Silk Road. After coming to China, Italian businessman Kyle Polo 127 1 went to Zheng He's voyage to bring giraffes back from Africa. This book is well written. The book extracts the description of Kublai Khan's palace in Marco Polo's Travels: "The roof of the palace is very high, the hall is inlaid with gold and silver, and the walls are carved with dragons, birds, shepherds, all kinds of wild animals and battle scenes. The ceiling is the same, full of gold and pictures. The hall is very wide and long, and can accommodate a banquet of 6,000 people. " Explain how prosperous China was at that time, far exceeding the economic level of all countries in the world at that time.
It is precisely because during the Tang and Song Dynasties, we were always ahead of the world in selling high-tech products: silk and porcelain. From the17th century to the middle of18th century, a "China fever" appeared all over Europe and even Russia. China at that time was recommended as a "model civilization" by the whole world. At that time, China's influence on the West was far greater than that of the West on China.
History has proved that a country can only achieve real economic prosperity by monopolizing high technology that other countries do not have, and naturally it will become a "model civilization" envied by the whole world.
If Zhang impermanence, Li Yining and other "economists" returned to the Tang Dynasty and offered suggestions to the court, what would happen to the development of the Tang Dynasty? Within a few years, it was discovered that silk technology had been leaked. Vietnam, Thailand and Indonesia all began to produce silk on a large scale. The Tang Dynasty tried to increase the output of silk, but the international price of silk became lower and lower. It turns out that a catty of silk can sell a catty of gold, and finally it falls to a catty of silver, a catty of copper and a catty of iron.
Silk clothes that only European royalty, aristocrats and wealthy businessmen could afford eventually became cheap goods that African refugees could afford. By the Tang Dynasty, people all over the country were mobilized to produce silk crazily, only to find themselves poorer and poorer, and the profit of silk was reduced to almost no profit. Needless to say, after 10-20 years, rampant silk caused the world economic crisis, and the world no longer needed so much silk. In the Tang Dynasty, a large number of silk factories closed down and workers were unemployed, but all the people in the world were rich, even beggars on the roadside put on silk pants, while the unemployed in the Tang Dynasty could not put on silk pants themselves.
This is the real economics. . . . . .
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Author: scorching sun on 2008-12-29 09: 51:52.0 Published by: SMS.
★ Japan's Road to Power ★
The day before World War II, it was a world textile industry power. After World War II, it was transformed into a manufacturing power, and it was transformed into a high-tech power in the 1960s and 1970s. In other words, China is still stuck in the Japanese economic development ideas in the 1950s and 1960s!
Some people say that Japan is an export-oriented economy, which is obviously an ignorant lie. People can see such a sharp contrast: Japanese foreign trade is small (15% of GDP), while China's foreign trade is large (60% of GDP);
Japan's exports are all high prices and low prices, buying more and buying less. China's exports are low-priced and high-priced, which is worth the money;
Article 1 of Japan's Foreign Investment Law "only foreign capital that is conducive to Japan's self-reliance and sound economic development and can improve the balance of payments is allowed to invest." Foreign investment only accounts for 1%. China, on the other hand, has an open door, with foreign investment exceeding 30%, and 2 1 of 28 domestic industries is controlled by foreign investment;
Japan has a "national income multiplication plan", which never relies on foreign consumption and always gives priority to domestic products. China has no similar planning and policies, and its dependence on foreign countries is as high as 70%. Its citizens are second-class citizens.
It can be seen that the economic policies of China and Japan have nothing in common, and they are completely opposite.
China is the only country in the world, serving the world with its limited resources and the blood and sweat of its people.
The United States bought China's trousers by plane, and Japan bought China's trousers by camera and car. The final outcome of China is just like the textile country in the above story. Once the consumption of aircraft countries drops, textile countries suffer the most.
The content of history is constantly changing, but the laws of history have never changed. If a nation can't make high-tech products that other countries don't have, and can't make airplanes and silk that other countries don't have, we will never be really rich and strong, and we will never be rich and strong by producing what other countries can produce, fighting for prices and selling blood and sweat.
Why are the United States, Japan and Germany rich and strong? Comparing the total GDP, China may surpass the United States in 10-20 years, but the per capita wealth may never surpass these countries! Because the United States, Japan and Germany can make modern "diaosi": big planes, high-tech equipment, electronics, superconductivity, liquid crystals and automobiles.
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Author: scorching sun on 2008- 12-29 09:52:09.0 Published from: SMS.
★ Revisit "Science and technology are the primary productive forces" ★
Comrade Deng Xiaoping put forward that "science and technology are the primary productive forces". How far-sighted!
Decades have passed, why can't our scientific and technological level catch up? Today, we are still stuck in the technical level of 65,438+10,000 workers and sisters working hard to make 100 million pairs of pants a year in exchange for an airplane? Willing to be a second-rate country?
Any powerful country in the world, such as the United States, Japan, Germany and Russia, firmly controls the core scientific and technological secrets and never leaks them out. China's traitorous economist's theory of "exchanging market for technology" not only failed to exchange any technology, but also lost the market, and the meat steamed stuffed bun beat the dog forever.
Two years ago, Jack Welch, the former president of GE in the United States, was a smash hit, leading GE back to glory, and was praised as a master of business management in the world. In fact, his core secret is only one: let GE give up making the same products as others and become the best high-tech product that GE can do exclusively! Produce "planes" and "silk" that others can't do.
After Edison invented the electric light bulb, the American General Electric Company GE was established for mass production of electric light bulbs. Later, he gradually withdrew from the lighting industry and transformed into a refrigerator TV. Later, GE abandoned these sunset industries. In the era of Jack Welch, it was transformed to produce a large number of high-tech products: medical equipment, aircraft engines, power generation equipment and so on. The development history of GE is actually a history of constantly pursuing high-tech products and giving up low-tech products. As for what management theory he advocated, in fact, most of them were boasting after success, so don't take it seriously. The so-called "one sentence is true, a thousand words are false" is precisely the truth.
Science and technology are the primary productive forces, so is a successful enterprise and so is a country?
The highest proportion of R&D investment in the gross national product in Europe and America is between 1.5%-2.6%. The highest year of China 1950- 1979 is 2.32%, with an average of 1.28%. At that time, China could build satellites, rockets, high-yield rice and big planes, but now it is busy producing pants, shoes and toys.
In China in 1980s and 1990s, China's investment in science and technology dropped to 0.6% year after year. Car computers can only be assembled with shells, and a brand is put up to pretend to be domestic products. 1999, the United States bombed the embassy of China. We finally understand: "history tells us that some things can't be bought with money." In the same year, the state held a celebration for those who made meritorious deeds with two bombs and one satellite, and the scientific and technological policy of "building a ship is better than buying a ship" that lasted for 20 years began to slowly reverse.
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Author: scorching sun on 2008- 12-29 09:52:27.0 Published from: SMS.
Money doesn't have war, technology does.
Talking about money, is China really poor? Really no money? Let's see what the essence of money is!
Look at some bullshit theory that makes China people have no money!
Recently, there is a very popular book called Currency War, which says that it is a conspiracy for the United States to abandon the gold standard, and the dollar will continue to depreciate, encouraging everyone to collect gold to preserve its value. This view is actually out of date. Gold is only a rare metal, so there is no need to raise its status so high.
The real "gold" of a country is actually a high-tech product that others don't have. Money is only a symbol of barter trade. When silk can be made in the Tang Dynasty, whether it is iron or copper, it must be the hardest hard currency. Therefore, for the Tang Dynasty and the world, silk is the gold currency. When other countries could also produce silk, the currency of the Tang Dynasty immediately depreciated. At this time, if the Tang Dynasty still insisted on currency appreciation, its head must be in the water.
The relationship between the Tang Dynasty and silk, the relationship between the Song Dynasty and porcelain, is just like the relationship between the United States and oil and high technology today. When the United States controlled high technology and oil, the dollar became the gold currency. Without the support of oil, high technology and sophisticated weapons, the dollar is as worthless as a stone. This is also the deep reason why the United States did not hesitate to kill Saddam Hussein in Iraq for oil.
According to Keynes's monetary theory, currency issuance is not limited by the gold standard or the silver standard, and each country can provide sufficient monetary funds for its own economic development without relying on foreign currencies at all. Solved the biggest bottleneck of economic development: the problem of money.
Keynes also put forward the demand-driven theory, explaining that as long as every country protects workers, improves the consumption power of working people and expands market consumption, the production of enterprises will naturally rise, so why rely on external demand?
The United States and western countries have long seen through this. It is wise and far-sighted for them to give up the gold standard, not a conspiracy, but an open plan! A country's real gold reserve is not the gold bricks hidden in the underground warehouse of banks, but the intellectual property hidden in the State Patent Office, which is a real high-tech product. A Boeing plane built in the United States is equivalent to an extra ton of gold reserves in the United States.
We need to understand one thing: money is only a symbol of barter. As much as a country can produce, it should create as much money to encourage people to spend.
Therefore, there should be no countries short of money, only countries short of money! A country is poor and backward, not because they lack money, but because they produce too few goods or have low technology content.
Don't believe the bullshit theories of foreign economists and traitorous economists that there should be no bubble in the stock market and the state should control the circulation of money. In fact, these theories are the real trap for China to fall into the economic crisis.
Look at America. The annual GDP is only $65,438 +0.3 trillion, but there are $50 trillion in national debt. If China had the courage to issue 50 trillion national debt to boost domestic demand, the economic crisis would not be so serious.
It is a correct choice for China to change from a planned economy to a market economy and carry out reform and development behind closed doors. But China's road to market economy is by no means to return to before liberation! Let's go back to the semi-feudal and semi-colonial road. Globalization, privatization, liberalization, world factory, export-oriented economy and comparative advantage are just the new packages of this old road.
Americans can buy everything in China: pants, shoes, toys, factories, real estate, banks and manpower by starting the printing press and printing dollars. This is the biggest joke in the world, and China people can never do it!